16702 Sonoma Breeze Dr · Austin, TX 78653

$247,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,348 sqft · Townhouse public records · 93 Days on market

Built 2023 Good condition 2,482 sqft lot $184/sqft · 33% below area Est $316k · 22% under $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +9.9/30.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texass most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livablethis is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

Key facts

• Geothermal grid
• Private carport
• Granite countertops

Tags

• LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• BUILT-IN AUDIO SYSTEM
• PRIVATE CARPORT
• SOLAR PANELS
• GEOTHERMAL GRID

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $248k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (10.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (14.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $211k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 1.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#16 in TX, #1,208 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
• Del Valle ISD (rural): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #749 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 664 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $211,227 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.56%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.63%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $315,968
• List price: $247,900
• Delta: -21.54%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
9504 Grapevine Leaf Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,325 (-2%)	7mo	$299,900	$226	78
9506 Grapevine Leaf Dr	0.13mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,325 (-2%)	13mo	$318,929	$241	73
9510 Grapevine Leaf Dr	0.13mi	2/1.5	1,183 (-12%)	11mo	$279,900	$237	62
9508 Grapevine Leaf Dr	0.13mi	2/1.5	1,183 (-12%)	12mo	$279,900	$237	61
16803 Radiant Dr	0.09mi	2/1.5	1,183 (-12%)	23mo	$290,000	$245	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -24.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.20×
• Total profit: $-55,725
• Equity at exit: $36,963

10-year hold

• IRR: -31.5%
• Equity multiple: -0.21×
• Total profit: $-83,667
• Equity at exit: $21,434

Cash invested: $69,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78653

• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 664
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,112 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,300
• Tax from tax record: −$401 /mo · $4,809/yr
• Insurance: −$103
• HOA: −$17
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$444
• Net cashflow: $-152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,305

Max offer price $220,988

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $61,975
• Closing costs: $7,437
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16722 Sonoma Breeze Dr Manor, TX	3.0	2.5	1306	$2,500	$1.91	1d	1	0.04mi
9608 Grapevine Leaf Dr Manor, TX	3.0	2.5	1786	$2,250	$1.26	10d	1	0.12mi
9605 Grapevine Leaf Dr Manor, TX	3.0	2.5	1383	$2,150	$1.55	23d	1	0.14mi
9615 Morning Iris Dr Manor, TX	3.0	2.5	1372	$1,890	$1.38	23d	1	0.20mi
9513 Balmy Ln Manor, TX	3.0	2.5	1519	$3,320	$2.19	4d	1	0.23mi
16601 E Braker Ln Manor, TX	3.0	1.0–2.0	995	$2,058	$2.07	1d	107	0.33mi
9909 Dalliance Ln Manor, TX	3.0	2.0	1640	$2,100	$1.28	17d	1	0.37mi
16601 Braker Ln Unit 611 Austin, TX	2.0	2.0	1095	$1,506	$1.38	3d	1	0.42mi
16601 Braker Ln Unit 7110 Austin, TX	2.0	2.0	1115	$1,449	$1.30	43d	1	0.42mi
16601 Braker Ln Unit 711 Austin, TX	3.0	2.0	1395	$1,872	$1.34	3d	1	0.42mi
9616 Whisper Willow Blvd Manor, TX	3.0	2.5	1325	$1,895	$1.43	23d	1	0.45mi
9808 Becoming St Manor, TX	3.0	2.0	1868	$2,350	$1.26	44d	1	0.51mi
10014 Farm to Market Road 973 Unit 973 Manor, TX	2.0	2.0	1139	$1,820	$1.60	43d	1	1.27mi
10014 Farm to Market Road 973 Unit 1 Manor, TX	2.0	2.0	1139	$1,820	$1.60	23d	1	1.27mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $17 · $204/yr

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $247,900 Active 93 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $247,900 Active 92 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $247,900 Active 91 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $247,900 Active 90 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $247,900 Active 88 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $247,900 Active 84 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $247,900 Active 83 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $247,900 Active 82 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $247,900 Active 79 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $247,900 Active 78 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $247,900 Active 77 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $247,900 Active 76 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $247,900 Active 75 DOM
14. 2026-04-17
    status Active 858-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

15. 2026-04-17
    price $250,000 858-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

16. 2026-04-17
    price $250,000 914-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

17. 2026-04-16
    status Active 914-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

18. 2026-03-12
    historical 858-char remark

    Show marketing remark (858 chars)

    Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texass most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livablethis is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

19. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 914-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

20. 2026-02-14
    price $250,900 858-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

21. 2026-02-14
    price $250,900 914-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

22. 2026-02-12
    price $269,900 858-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

23. 2026-02-12
    price $269,900 914-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

24. 2026-02-09
    listed $289,900 Active 914-char remark

    Show marketing remark (914 chars)

    MLS# 5423491 - Built by Pacesetter Homes - Ready Now! ~ Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texas most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livable this is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

25. 2025-12-23
    listed $289,900 Active 858-char remark

    Show marketing remark (858 chars)

    Welcome to this move-in-ready duplex in the highly sought-after Whisper Valley community of Manor, TX, where modern comfort meets sustainable living. Designed with a spacious, open living area and a smart, roommate-friendly floorplan, this home features brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring, elegant granite countertops, and a built-in audio system perfect for entertaining or everyday enjoyment. A private carport adds convenience, while solar panels and connection to Whisper Valleys geothermal grid offer exceptional energy efficiency and lower utility costs. Located just steps from the amenity center and with quick access to scenic hike and bike trails, this home delivers an active, connected lifestyle in one of Central Texass most innovative communities. Stylish, efficient, and effortlessly livablethis is a rare opportunity you wont want to miss.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,809 · $401/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,809 · $401/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,347
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,886
• − Property taxes: −$4,809
• − Insurance: −$1,240
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,028
• − Management: −$2,028
• − HOA: −$204
• − Depreciation: −$7,212
• Taxable loss: −$6,058
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,454
• After-tax cash flow: $-374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready townhouse in Whisper Valley, Manor, TX, is in good condition with fresh paint and landscaping. Minor updates to the exterior and interior would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Interior touch-ups — Freshens the interior and enhances value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Interior touch-ups — Freshens the interior and enhances value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Del Valle ISD
• NCES district ID: 4816620
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $41,322
• Composite: 19.13/100
• National rank: #8830
• State rank: #749 of 826 in TX

Livability — Austin

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #16
• US rank: #1208

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Austin, TX
• County: Travis County · 1,299,254 people
• City population: 1,066,854
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• Population (ZIP): 41,291
• Household income: $93,900
• Rent vs Own: 16.1% rent · 83.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 336.0

Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,545,133 people
• By 2030: 1,729,269 · +11.9%
• By 2040: 2,097,596 · +35.8%
• By 2050: 2,463,890 · +59.5%
• By 2075: 3,249,374 · +110.3%
• By 2100: 3,801,868 · +146.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 53% White 24% Two or more races 18% Black 16% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 57% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Travis

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -152.30%
• Current HPI: 201.4917
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.12%
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-13.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Relisted — Zillow
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $250,000 Zillow
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $250,000 Unlock MLS
• 2026-04-16 Relisted — Unlock MLS
• 2026-03-12 Delisted — Zillow
• 2026-03-11 Pending — Unlock MLS
• 2026-02-14 Price Changed $250,900 Zillow
• 2026-02-14 Price Changed $250,900 Unlock MLS
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $269,900 Zillow
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $269,900 Unlock MLS
• 2026-02-09 Listed $289,900 Unlock MLS
• 2025-12-23 Listed $289,900 Zillow

Property tax history

+48.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,809 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.