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1810 Niagara St Triplex
B- Composite 67.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.3/10.0

$184,900

1810 Niagara St · Niagara Falls, NY 14303
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,227 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1925 3,530 sqft lot $83/sqft · 7% above area Est $173k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1810 Niagara St. This lovely 3 unit home sits on a double lot with so much space as well as updates. 3 remodeled units. New Electric. New Roof. New Water Heaters and Furnaces, New Sewer Line. New Flooring and Paint. New Plumbing. New Glass Block Windows. Legal 3 unit. Offers Reviewed as Received.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Remodeled units
  • New water heaters

Tags

DOUBLE LOTREMODELED UNITSNEW ELECTRICNEW ROOFNEW WATER HEATERSNEW FURNACES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $476/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,524/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 230% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $185k implies a 516% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $162,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
15.56%
Cash-on-cash
33.11%
DSCR
2.47
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$172,694
List price
$184,900
Delta
7.07%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
412 19th St 0.01mi 5/2.0 2,208 (-1%) 11mo $80,000 $36 84
444 20th St 0.11mi 5/3.0 2,385 (+7%) 6mo $25,000 $10 78
417 18th St 0.02mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,080 (-7%) 10mo $166,000 $80 70
541 20th St 0.29mi 5/2.0 1,917 (-14%) 1mo $112,000 $58 59
2219 Walnut Ave 0.38mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,023 (-9%) 4mo $62,500 $31 58
2460 Grand Ave 0.67mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,162 (-3%) 0mo $175,000 $81 55
519 Tronolone Pl 0.35mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,000 (-10%) 11mo $142,500 $71 53
2219 Cudaback Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-10%) 8mo $80,000 $40 53
1023 15th St 0.73mi 5/4.0 2,304 (+4%) 5mo $190,000 $82 52
2230 Grand Ave 0.57mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,348 (+5%) 11mo $165,000 $70 50
609 24th St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-10%) 4mo $140,000 $70 48
2449 Grand Ave 0.63mi 5/2.0 1,918 (-14%) 4mo $135,000 $70 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$61,120
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$170,783
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14303

Home prices YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,524 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$309 /mo · $3,706/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$740
Net cashflow
$1,428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,716
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 54%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,524

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 17d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,900 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,900 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,900 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2025-12-02
    listed $184,900 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Welcome to 1810 Niagara St. This lovely 3 unit home sits on a double lot with so much space as well as updates. 3 remodeled units. New Electric. New Roof. New Water Heaters and Furnaces, New Sewer Line. New Flooring and Paint. New Plumbing. New Glass Block Windows. Legal 3 unit. Offers Reviewed as Received.

  5. 2025-11-30
    historical
  6. 2025-07-04
    listed $184,900 Active
  7. 2023-06-01
    historical
  8. 2023-05-11
    price $90,000
  9. 2023-05-10
    status Active
  10. 2023-04-23
    historical
  11. 2023-02-07
    listed $120,000 Active
  12. 2009-07-28
    soldstatus $30,000
  13. 2009-06-15
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,706 · $309/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,706 · $309/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,288
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$3,706
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,383
− Management
−$3,383
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$15,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,637
After-tax cash flow
$13,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
6,156
Household income
$45,646
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
230.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.37%
Current HPI
311.8094
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+824.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $184,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-04 Listed $184,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-01 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-11 Price Changed $90,000 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-10 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2023-04-23 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-02-07 Listed $120,000 WNYREIS
  • 2009-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2009-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,706 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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