Triplex
1810 Niagara St · Niagara Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1810 Niagara St. This lovely 3 unit home sits on a double lot with so much space as well as updates. 3 remodeled units. New Electric. New Roof. New Water Heaters and Furnaces, New Sewer Line. New Flooring and Paint. New Plumbing. New Glass Block Windows. Legal 3 unit. Offers Reviewed as Received.
Key facts
- Double lot
- Remodeled units
- New water heaters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $476/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,524/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 230% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $185k implies a 516% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.11%
- DSCR
- 2.47
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,694
- List price
- $184,900
- Delta
- 7.07%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 19th St | 0.01mi | 5/2.0 | 2,208 (-1%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $36 | 84 |
| 444 20th St | 0.11mi | 5/3.0 | 2,385 (+7%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $10 | 78 |
| 417 18th St | 0.02mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (-7%) | 10mo | $166,000 | $80 | 70 |
| 541 20th St | 0.29mi | 5/2.0 | 1,917 (-14%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $58 | 59 |
| 2219 Walnut Ave | 0.38mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,023 (-9%) | 4mo | $62,500 | $31 | 58 |
| 2460 Grand Ave | 0.67mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,162 (-3%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $81 | 55 |
| 519 Tronolone Pl | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-10%) | 11mo | $142,500 | $71 | 53 |
| 2219 Cudaback Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-10%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $40 | 53 |
| 1023 15th St | 0.73mi | 5/4.0 | 2,304 (+4%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $82 | 52 |
| 2230 Grand Ave | 0.57mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,348 (+5%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $70 | 50 |
| 609 24th St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-10%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $70 | 48 |
| 2449 Grand Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 | 1,918 (-14%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $70 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $61,120
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- 35.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $170,783
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14303
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,524 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$309 /mo · $3,706/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$740
- Net cashflow
- $1,428
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $3,525 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,175 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,175 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,175 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,524 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $184,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $184,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $184,900 Active 180 DOM
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2025-12-02$184,900 Active 308-char remark
Show marketing remark (308 chars)
Welcome to 1810 Niagara St. This lovely 3 unit home sits on a double lot with so much space as well as updates. 3 remodeled units. New Electric. New Roof. New Water Heaters and Furnaces, New Sewer Line. New Flooring and Paint. New Plumbing. New Glass Block Windows. Legal 3 unit. Offers Reviewed as Received.
-
2025-11-30historical
-
2025-07-04$184,900 Active
-
2023-06-01historical
-
2023-05-11price $90,000
-
2023-05-10status Active
-
2023-04-23historical
-
2023-02-07$120,000 Active
-
2009-07-28soldstatus $30,000
-
2009-06-15soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,706 · $309/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,706 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$3,706
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,383
- − Management
- −$3,383
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable income
- $15,156
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Niagara Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620820
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,488
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7655
- State rank
- #578 of 590 in NY
Livability — Niagara Falls
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #956
- US rank
- #18749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Niagara Falls, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 62,983
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,156
- Household income
- $45,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 230.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.37%
- Current HPI
- 311.8094
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+824.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-02 Listed $184,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-07-04 Listed $184,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-06-01 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2023-05-11 Price Changed $90,000 WNYREIS
- 2023-05-10 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2023-04-23 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2023-02-07 Listed $120,000 WNYREIS
- 2009-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,706 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…