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772 Lucas St 🔨 Auction
F Composite 22.54
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

772 Lucas St · Scottsburg, IN 47170
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1960 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home! This well-maintained brick ranch offering 1,568 sq. ft. of comfortable living space will be offered at AUCTION on 6/27/26 (Tobias Auction Service). The home is offered with a reserve. This home features a spacious living room, 3 generously sized bedrooms with large closets and ceiling fans, and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen and dining area showcase granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a gas range, and ample cabinet space. The refrigerator and dishwasher are included. The utility room includes a front-load stainless steel washer and dryer that will remain with the home. One full bath features a walk-in shower, while the second offers a Safe Step walk-in tub and gra

Key facts

  • Ample cabinet space
  • Granite countertops
  • Gas range

Tags

BRICK RANCHGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGAS RANGEAMPLE CABINET SPACEFRONT-LOAD WASHER AND DRYER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer
  • Home design: Resale property; Above-grade finished living area reported
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Covered patio; Screened porch; Patio; Paved driveway; Yard fenced; Fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Heat pump; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Main-level primary bedroom; Utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $249,312 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-775 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 2.6% vs local median 4.1% in Scottsburg — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#152 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Scott County School District 2 (town): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #166 of 301 in IN (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 373968.0% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.48%
Cap rate
2.56%
Cash-on-cash
-13.32%
DSCR
0.41
GRM
17.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,312
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1114 N Pine St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 3mo $225,500 $161 72
1230 Woodland Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,587 (+1%) 3mo $252,500 $159 70
1225 Ironwood Pass Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,580 (+1%) 6mo $255,000 $161 69
901 Lakeview Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,648 (+5%) 7mo $135,000 $82 68
1118 W Carla Ln 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,512 (-4%) 3mo $235,000 $155 61
1239 Rolling Meadows Ct 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 6mo $215,000 $154 57
127 Keith St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,716 (+9%) 1mo $190,000 $111 57
1236 Woodland Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,434 (-8%) 4mo $225,000 $157 56
1237 Woodland Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,417 (-10%) 6mo $229,750 $162 52
1229 Ironwood Pass Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 6mo $238,900 $171 52
1231 Woodland Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,417 (-10%) 7mo $224,900 $159 52
155 N Gardner St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,341 (-14%) 4mo $139,000 $104 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-41.3%
Equity multiple
-0.29×
Total profit
$-89,737
Equity at exit
$37,173
10-year hold
IRR
-68.4%
Equity multiple
-1.03×
Total profit
$-141,622
Equity at exit
$21,556

Cash invested: $69,807 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47170

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
106

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,307
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,740/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$-775

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,181
Max offer price $137,177
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,328
Closing costs
$7,479
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
432 N Meridian St Scottsburg, IN 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 0.51mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-12
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$13,965
− Property taxes
−$3,740
− Insurance
−$1,247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$7,253
Taxable loss
−$14,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,386
After-tax cash flow
$-5,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County School District 2
NCES district ID
1810020
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$45,529
Composite
32.37/100
National rank
#5734
State rank
#166 of 301 in IN

Livability — Scottsburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#152
US rank
#7609

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsburg, IN
Population (ZIP)
15,279

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,525 people
By 2030
21,609 · -4.1%
By 2040
19,536 · -13.3%
By 2050
17,370 · -22.9%
By 2075
12,862 · -42.9%
By 2100
9,340 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.4% · R 74.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-49.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+6.2 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.30%
Current HPI
223.9909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $551 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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