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3890 Auerville Rd
F Composite 31.62
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0

$219,000

3890 Auerville Rd · Bainbridge, OH 45612
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,970 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 2005 1.86 ac lot $74/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.

Key facts

  • Central ac
  • Hot water heater
  • Detached garages

Tags

WRAPAROUND PORCHPRIVATE WOODED SETTINGDETACHED GARAGESCENTRAL ACHOT WATER HEATERREPLACEMENT WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (34.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (40.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.1% in Bainbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#546 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Western Local (rural): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #567 of 656 in OH (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $131,372 (40.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
3.96%
Cash-on-cash
-8.34%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$462,188
List price
$219,000
Delta
-52.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-19,771
Equity at exit
$78,257
10-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-6,985
Equity at exit
$106,754

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45612

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$-426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,853
Max offer price $143,723
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    status $219,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.

  4. 2026-04-28
    price $219,000 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.

  5. 2026-04-17
    listed $240,000 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.

  6. 2020-01-15
    soldstatus $160,000
  7. 2020-01-10
    soldstatus $160,000 Sold 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

  8. 2019-11-12
    historical Contingency Pending 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

  9. 2019-10-18
    price $165,900 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

  10. 2019-10-16
    price $165,500 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

  11. 2019-07-13
    price $169,500 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

  12. 2019-06-06
    price $179,500 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

  13. 2019-04-22
    listed $189,900 Active 358-char remark
    Show marketing remark (358 chars)

    Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,691 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,054 · $254/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 13.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,765
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$2,691
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,261
− Management
−$1,261
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$9,182
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,204
After-tax cash flow
$-2,910/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Local
NCES district ID
3904915
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$36,144
Composite
28.57/100
National rank
#6724
State rank
#567 of 656 in OH

Livability — Bainbridge

Score
68/100
State rank
#546
US rank
#9170

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ross · 75,517 people
Population (ZIP)
4,626
Household income
$50,500
Rent vs Own
22.9% rent · 77.1% own
Severe rent burden
1.4

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,762 people
By 2030
25,744 · -3.8%
By 2040
23,509 · -12.2%
By 2050
21,090 · -21.2%
By 2075
15,765 · -41.1%
By 2100
11,361 · -57.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Portuguese 4% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
2008→2024 swing
-52.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.0pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+0.4 2008: R+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.30%
Current HPI
226.3206
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $219,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $240,000 CBRMLS
  • 2020-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-10 Sold (MLS) $160,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-11-12 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2019-10-18 Price Changed $165,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-10-16 Price Changed $165,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-07-13 Price Changed $169,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-06-06 Price Changed $179,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-04-22 Listed $189,900 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,691 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…