3890 Auerville Rd · Bainbridge, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.
Key facts
- Central ac
- Hot water heater
- Detached garages
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (34.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (40.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.1% in Bainbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#546 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Western Local (rural): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #567 of 656 in OH (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $160k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.60% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.34%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 13.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $462,188
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -52.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-19,771
- Equity at exit
- $78,257
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,985
- Equity at exit
- $106,754
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45612
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 13.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $-426
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $219,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.
-
2026-04-28price $219,000 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.
-
2026-04-17$240,000 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Calling all investors and buyers with vision! This 3-bed, 2- bath, 2,500 sq ft home on nearly 2 acres of wooded land in Bainbridge is full of potential. Three finished levels including a unique third-floor bonus space, knotty pine hardwood floors throughout, two detached garages, and a wraparound porch set on a private, wooded lot. Central AC (4 yrs), hot water heater (1 yr), replacement windows and roof (2013). Property is being sold as-is. Ideal for buyers looking to add sweat equity and make this home their own. Paint Valley Schools. Minutes from Pike Lake State Park.
-
2020-01-15soldstatus $160,000
-
2020-01-10soldstatus $160,000 Sold 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
-
2019-11-12historical Contingency Pending 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
-
2019-10-18price $165,900 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
-
2019-10-16price $165,500 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
-
2019-07-13price $169,500 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
-
2019-06-06price $179,500 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
-
2019-04-22$189,900 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Tucked away on a hill is this rustic 3, poss 4 bedrm home, lg kit, custom cabintry, island, pantry, walks out to covered porch. Home has all knotty pine floors. Att 1 car gar, detach 26x26 gar & 12x26 workshop. This would be a great get-away or perman home. Surrounded by Pike State Forest, mi of riding trails & close to Paint Creek Lake, Rocky Fork
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,691 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,054 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- +$363/yr (+$30/mo · 13.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$2,691
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$9,182
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,910/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904915
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,144
- Composite
- 28.57/100
- National rank
- #6724
- State rank
- #567 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bainbridge
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #9170
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ross · 75,517 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,626
- Household income
- $50,500
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1.4
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,762 people
- By 2030
- 25,744 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 23,509 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 21,090 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 15,765 · -41.1%
- By 2100
- 11,361 · -57.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Portuguese 4% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.0pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+0.4 2008: R+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.30%
- Current HPI
- 226.3206
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+15.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $219,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $240,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-10 Sold (MLS) $160,000 Cincy MLS
- 2019-11-12 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2019-10-18 Price Changed $165,900 Cincy MLS
- 2019-10-16 Price Changed $165,500 Cincy MLS
- 2019-07-13 Price Changed $169,500 Cincy MLS
- 2019-06-06 Price Changed $179,500 Cincy MLS
- 2019-04-22 Listed $189,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,691 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…