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34014 Oregon Shores 2 Dr
C Composite 59.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$175,000

34014 Oregon Shores 2 Dr · Oregon Shores, OR 97624
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,027 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 249 Days on market
Built 1984 0.31 ac lot $86/sqft · 51% below area $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Dome home
  • Spruce trees

Tags

DOME HOMEFENCED YARDFRUIT TREESSPRUCE TREESPUBLIC COUNTY BOAT RAMP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.1% in Oregon Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 279 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.55%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$359,958
List price
$175,000
Delta
-51.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$109,721
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
7.36×
Total profit
$311,698
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97624

Home prices YoY
21.5%
Active inventory
279
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,364/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,419
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 249 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 248 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 247 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 246 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 670-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    price $175,000 Active 245 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 245 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 243 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $195,000 Active 242 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 239 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 238 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 237 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 234 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 232 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 231 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 230 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 229 DOM
  18. 2026-05-20
    price $195,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  19. 2026-03-19
    price $200,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  20. 2026-02-26
    price $210,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  21. 2026-01-22
    price $220,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  22. 2025-12-31
    price $230,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  23. 2025-12-01
    price $240,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  24. 2025-11-05
    price $250,000 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  25. 2025-10-13
    listed $275,000 Active 610-char remark
    Show marketing remark (610 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this unique home yours. There are some things that need repaired and the seller is unable to do them. Home is livable just needs some repairs. The home is a Dome Home so if you ever wanted to see inside a dome home now is your chance!! A 2-car garage with a storage building and a car port. Nice yard all fenced with several fruit trees and a nice group of spruce trees. There is a primary bedroom and two more bedrooms upstairs and another bedroom downstairs. Agency Lake is across the street with access to a public boat ramp and also a camping facility on the lake. BRING OFFER!!!

  26. 2025-07-26
    historical
  27. 2024-07-26
    listed $275,000 Active
  28. 2020-04-26
    historical
  29. 2017-03-01
    soldstatus $125,000
  30. 2015-11-29
    listed $179,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,364 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,698 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$333/yr (+$28/mo · 24.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 20 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,476
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,364
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$137
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$33
After-tax cash flow
$2,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Klamath County SD
NCES district ID
4107020
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,906
Composite
24.83/100
National rank
#7593
State rank
#46 of 58 in OR

Livability — Oregon Shores

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Oregon Shores, OR
Population (ZIP)
3,756

Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,870 people
By 2030
62,279 · -2.5%
By 2040
58,891 · -7.8%
By 2050
56,207 · -12.0%
By 2075
51,239 · -19.8%
By 2100
46,526 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Native American 16% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Klamath

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 85.46%
Current HPI
483.6619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $195,000 MLSCO
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $200,000 MLSCO
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $210,000 MLSCO
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $220,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $230,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $240,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $250,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $275,000 MLSCO
  • 2025-07-26 Listing Removed MLSCO
  • 2024-07-26 Listed $275,000 MLSCO
  • 2020-04-26 Listing Removed MLSCO
  • 2017-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2015-11-29 Listed $179,000 MLSCO

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,364 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…