330 W Highway 246 #20 · Buellton, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming mobile home located in a desirable 55+ community in the beautiful city of Buellton. This home features a spacious floor plan with comfortable living areas and plenty of natural light throughout. Recent upgrades include a new roof coating, exterior paint, new water heater, and a high-quality ramp at the front entry, offering peace of mind for years to come. Outside, you'll appreciate the easy-care yard, perfect for low-maintenance living, along with two convenient storage sheds providing ample space for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of this great community while being close to local shops, restaurants, and all that Buellton has to offer. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed Central Coast living in a welcoming neighborhood. Space fee to new owner to be $669.57 Seller will offer a $3,000 credit for flooring.
Key facts
- Exterior paint
- Easy-care yard
- New roof coating
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with limitations; Directions: Hwy 246 West, turn left into first park entrance
- HOA & community: Association amenities include tennis courts, clubhouse, pool, greenbelt, and guest parking; Association covers trash, property management, and common area maintenance; Association present (HOA)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Sewer: other
- Home design: Double wide mobile home (Golden West); Pier & post foundation; Vinyl siding; Other roof; Entry faces Park Circle area
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Pier & post foundation; Other roof type
- Exterior features: Level lot; Near public transit; Setting view; Tennis court(s); Clubhouse; Pool; Greenbelt; Guest parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Gas stove
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Laundry room; Enclosed patio/porch; Shed on property; Traditional style, average condition
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $228k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.0% in Buellton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#438 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Santa Ynez Valley Union High (town): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #386 of 1,400 in CA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.95%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $349,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 W Highway 246 #120 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $243 | 92 |
| 330 W Hwy 246 #54 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (-3%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $189 | 92 |
| 330 W Hwy 246 #24 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+7%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $160 | 80 |
| 330 west hwy 246 #64 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+7%) | 8mo | $349,950 | $228 | 78 |
| 330 W hwy 246 #90 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (+8%) | 5mo | $444,000 | $285 | 77 |
| 330 W Hwy 246 #230 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 15mo | $217,000 | $161 | 76 |
| 330 W Hwy 246 #91 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (+7%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $153 | 74 |
| 330 W Highway 246 #47 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 21mo | $228,515 | $170 | 71 |
| 330 W Highway 246 #51 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+12%) | 4mo | $459,000 | $283 | 70 |
| 330 W Hwy 246 #92 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+8%) | 20mo | $458,000 | $295 | 65 |
| 80 Zaca St #35 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 15mo | $330,000 | $246 | 65 |
| 330 W hwy 246 #137 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+12%) | 15mo | $449,950 | $278 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $52,604
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $162,737
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93427
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$810
- Net cashflow
- $1,423
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258 Dairyland Rd Buellton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $4,400 | $2.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 595 Avenue of the Flags #203 Buellton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,300 | $2.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 627 Central Ave Unit C Buellton, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1037 | $2,950 | $2.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$235,000 Active
-
2026-05-16$235,000 Active 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Welcome to this charming mobile home located in a desirable 55+ community in the beautiful city of Buellton. This home features a spacious floor plan with comfortable living areas and plenty of natural light throughout. Recent upgrades include a new roof coating, exterior paint, new water heater, and a high-quality ramp at the front entry, offering peace of mind for years to come. Outside, you'll appreciate the easy-care yard, perfect for low-maintenance living, along with two convenient storage sheds providing ample space for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of this great community while being close to local shops, restaurants, and all that Buellton has to offer. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed Central Coast living in a welcoming neighborhood. Space fee to new owner to be $669.57 Seller will offer a $3,000 credit for flooring.
-
2026-05-15historical $235,000 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Welcome to this charming mobile home located in a desirable 55+ community in the beautiful city of Buellton. This home features a spacious floor plan with comfortable living areas and plenty of natural light throughout. Recent upgrades include a new roof coating, exterior paint, new water heater, and a high-quality ramp at the front entry, offering peace of mind for years to come. Outside, you'll appreciate the easy-care yard, perfect for low-maintenance living, along with two convenient storage sheds providing ample space for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Enjoy the friendly atmosphere of this great community while being close to local shops, restaurants, and all that Buellton has to offer. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy relaxed Central Coast living in a welcoming neighborhood. Space fee to new owner to be $669.57 Seller will offer a $3,000 credit for flooring.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,703
- − Management
- −$3,703
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $14,177
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,403
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Ynez Valley Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0635850
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,622
- Composite
- 46.97/100
- National rank
- #5151
- State rank
- #386 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Buellton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #15010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buellton, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,866
Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,679 people
- By 2030
- 505,323 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 545,783 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 584,263 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 682,586 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 723,188 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -432.89%
- Current HPI
- 247.882
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $235,000 SBMLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $235,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $235,000 NSBCRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…