39222 Arapahoe Rd · Big Bear Lake, CA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 24 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- Cash flow +3.9/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience mountain living in this beautifully crafted log cabin retreat overlooking Big Bear Lake. Surrounded by year-round recreation, this spacious home offers a versatile floor plan and the perfect blend of comfort, adventure, and opportunity. The main level features a warm and inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath layout with natural wood finishes that capture the classic mountain cabin feel. Granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen create a stylish yet functional space for everyday living or hosting after a day outdoors. Central heating keeps the home warm and comfortable during the winter season, while the property is A/C ready for an easy upgrade to year-round climate control. Indoor laundry adds everyday convenience with a dedicated space that makes mountain living both practical and effortless. Downstairs, a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath lower level offers flexible use options, providing additional living space or potential income opportunities. The property also includes a dedicated workshop and extra storage, ideal for outdoor gear, hobbies, or projects. Step outside and unwind in the included jacuzzi while enjoying the peaceful mountain setting. A full security system provides added peace of mind, and the home is connected to all public utilities for ease of living. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer are included, making this property truly turn-key and ready to enjoy. Exciting new developments are on the horizon in Big Bear Lake with the planned IDM Arena, a state-of-the-art indoor venue designed for year-round skateboarding, basketball, and live events. This multi-use complex is expected to bring new energy and entertainment to the area, further enhancing Big Bear’s appeal as a premier mountain destination. For homeowners, this adds lifestyle convenience and may contribute to increased visitor demand, supporting both enjoyment and potential opportunities. Located just minutes from boating and fishing on Big Bear Lake, skiing and snowboarding at Bear Mountain and Snow Summit, as well as nearby golf, hiking trails, and mountain biking, this home places you at the center of everything Big Bear has to offer. Whether you're seeking a full-time residence, weekend escape, or flexible mountain property, this is an opportunity to enjoy the best of mountain living.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Log cabin retreat
- Versatile floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (52.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (55.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (55.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 2.4% in Big Bear Lake — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#420 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime C-, housing C-, health & safety D+.
- Bear Valley Unified (town): math 26% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #289 of 517 in CA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($409k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $335k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 55% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.45% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.26%
- DSCR
- 0.45
- GRM
- 18.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $491,832
- List price
- $449,990
- Delta
- -8.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39186 Mohawk Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-2%) | 18mo | $475,000 | $314 | 78 |
| 39474 Cline Miller Pl | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,513 (-2%) | 10mo | $477,000 | $315 | 66 |
| 39110 Choctaw Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (-10%) | 22mo | $400,000 | $290 | 52 |
| 954 Chinook Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,475 (-4%) | 8mo | $480,000 | $325 | 50 |
| 39389 N Shore Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (-13%) | 13mo | $585,000 | $437 | 44 |
| 39654 Flicker Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-12%) | 1mo | $760,000 | $563 | 42 |
| 1085 Canyon Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,314 (-15%) | 21mo | $519,900 | $396 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-158,504
- Equity at exit
- $67,095
- IRR
- -64.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.97×
- Total profit
- $-248,430
- Equity at exit
- $38,907
Cash invested: $125,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92333
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 18.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,025 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,360
- Tax from tax record
- −$339 /mo · $4,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $-1,343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,088 | -5% $-1,215 | +0% $-1,343 | +5% $-1,470 | +10% $-1,597 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,503 | -5% $-1,423 | +0% $-1,343 | +5% $-1,263 | +10% $-1,183 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,116 | -0.5pp $-1,228 | base $-1,343 | +0.5pp $-1,459 | +1.0pp $-1,578 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,498
- Closing costs
- $13,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $449,990 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $449,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $449,990 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $449,990 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,990 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,990 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $449,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $449,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $449,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $449,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $449,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $449,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $449,990 2343-char remark
Show marketing remark (2343 chars)
Experience mountain living in this beautifully crafted log cabin retreat overlooking Big Bear Lake. Surrounded by year-round recreation, this spacious home offers a versatile floor plan and the perfect blend of comfort, adventure, and opportunity. The main level features a warm and inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath layout with natural wood finishes that capture the classic mountain cabin feel. Granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen create a stylish yet functional space for everyday living or hosting after a day outdoors. Central heating keeps the home warm and comfortable during the winter season, while the property is A/C ready for an easy upgrade to year-round climate control. Indoor laundry adds everyday convenience with a dedicated space that makes mountain living both practical and effortless. Downstairs, a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath lower level offers flexible use options, providing additional living space or potential income opportunities. The property also includes a dedicated workshop and extra storage, ideal for outdoor gear, hobbies, or projects. Step outside and unwind in the included jacuzzi while enjoying the peaceful mountain setting. A full security system provides added peace of mind, and the home is connected to all public utilities for ease of living. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer are included, making this property truly turn-key and ready to enjoy. Exciting new developments are on the horizon in Big Bear Lake with the planned IDM Arena, a state-of-the-art indoor venue designed for year-round skateboarding, basketball, and live events. This multi-use complex is expected to bring new energy and entertainment to the area, further enhancing Big Bear’s appeal as a premier mountain destination. For homeowners, this adds lifestyle convenience and may contribute to increased visitor demand, supporting both enjoyment and potential opportunities. Located just minutes from boating and fishing on Big Bear Lake, skiing and snowboarding at Bear Mountain and Snow Summit, as well as nearby golf, hiking trails, and mountain biking, this home places you at the center of everything Big Bear has to offer. Whether you're seeking a full-time residence, weekend escape, or flexible mountain property, this is an opportunity to enjoy the best of mountain living.
-
2026-04-21price $479,499 2343-char remark
Show marketing remark (2343 chars)
Experience mountain living in this beautifully crafted log cabin retreat overlooking Big Bear Lake. Surrounded by year-round recreation, this spacious home offers a versatile floor plan and the perfect blend of comfort, adventure, and opportunity. The main level features a warm and inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath layout with natural wood finishes that capture the classic mountain cabin feel. Granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen create a stylish yet functional space for everyday living or hosting after a day outdoors. Central heating keeps the home warm and comfortable during the winter season, while the property is A/C ready for an easy upgrade to year-round climate control. Indoor laundry adds everyday convenience with a dedicated space that makes mountain living both practical and effortless. Downstairs, a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath lower level offers flexible use options, providing additional living space or potential income opportunities. The property also includes a dedicated workshop and extra storage, ideal for outdoor gear, hobbies, or projects. Step outside and unwind in the included jacuzzi while enjoying the peaceful mountain setting. A full security system provides added peace of mind, and the home is connected to all public utilities for ease of living. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer are included, making this property truly turn-key and ready to enjoy. Exciting new developments are on the horizon in Big Bear Lake with the planned IDM Arena, a state-of-the-art indoor venue designed for year-round skateboarding, basketball, and live events. This multi-use complex is expected to bring new energy and entertainment to the area, further enhancing Big Bear’s appeal as a premier mountain destination. For homeowners, this adds lifestyle convenience and may contribute to increased visitor demand, supporting both enjoyment and potential opportunities. Located just minutes from boating and fishing on Big Bear Lake, skiing and snowboarding at Bear Mountain and Snow Summit, as well as nearby golf, hiking trails, and mountain biking, this home places you at the center of everything Big Bear has to offer. Whether you're seeking a full-time residence, weekend escape, or flexible mountain property, this is an opportunity to enjoy the best of mountain living.
-
2026-03-17$495,000 Active 2343-char remark
Show marketing remark (2343 chars)
Experience mountain living in this beautifully crafted log cabin retreat overlooking Big Bear Lake. Surrounded by year-round recreation, this spacious home offers a versatile floor plan and the perfect blend of comfort, adventure, and opportunity. The main level features a warm and inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath layout with natural wood finishes that capture the classic mountain cabin feel. Granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a thoughtfully designed kitchen create a stylish yet functional space for everyday living or hosting after a day outdoors. Central heating keeps the home warm and comfortable during the winter season, while the property is A/C ready for an easy upgrade to year-round climate control. Indoor laundry adds everyday convenience with a dedicated space that makes mountain living both practical and effortless. Downstairs, a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath lower level offers flexible use options, providing additional living space or potential income opportunities. The property also includes a dedicated workshop and extra storage, ideal for outdoor gear, hobbies, or projects. Step outside and unwind in the included jacuzzi while enjoying the peaceful mountain setting. A full security system provides added peace of mind, and the home is connected to all public utilities for ease of living. Refrigerator, washer, and dryer are included, making this property truly turn-key and ready to enjoy. Exciting new developments are on the horizon in Big Bear Lake with the planned IDM Arena, a state-of-the-art indoor venue designed for year-round skateboarding, basketball, and live events. This multi-use complex is expected to bring new energy and entertainment to the area, further enhancing Big Bear’s appeal as a premier mountain destination. For homeowners, this adds lifestyle convenience and may contribute to increased visitor demand, supporting both enjoyment and potential opportunities. Located just minutes from boating and fishing on Big Bear Lake, skiing and snowboarding at Bear Mountain and Snow Summit, as well as nearby golf, hiking trails, and mountain biking, this home places you at the center of everything Big Bear has to offer. Whether you're seeking a full-time residence, weekend escape, or flexible mountain property, this is an opportunity to enjoy the best of mountain living.
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2020-08-18soldstatus $335,000 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
This Classic Fawnskin Cabin originally built in 1940 has loads of Big Bear charm. Located in secluded like location. Large fabricated low maintenance deck to relax and take in the mountain air. Rustic cedar exterior siding. Some original windows add to the charm. The upper level has living room with wood-burning insert fireplace, kitchen with knotty alder cabinets, 2 bedrooms, an office that could be a small bedroom, and a bath. Forced natural air gas heat upstairs. Downstairs has a game room /den and a bedroom with an on-suite bath, Laundry Room, and storage room for the toys. Separate natural-gas heating downstairs. Updated modern plumbing and electrical. Please follow this link to see Posted Rules for Entry bit.ly/2AZM6dl
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2020-08-18soldstatus $335,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
This Classic Fawnskin Cabin originally built in 1940 has loads of Big Bear charm. Located in secluded like location. Large fabricated low maintenance deck to relax and take in the mountain air. Rustic cedar exterior siding. Some original windows add to the charm. The upper level has living room with wood-burning insert fireplace, kitchen with knotty alder cabinets, 2 bedrooms, an office that could be a small bedroom, and a bath. Forced natural air gas heat upstairs. Downstairs has a game room /den and a bedroom with an on-suite bath, Laundry Room, and storage room for the toys. Separate natural-gas heating downstairs. Updated modern plumbing and electrical. Please follow this link to see Posted Rules for Entry bit.ly/2AZM6dl
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2020-08-18soldstatus $335,000
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
This Classic Fawnskin Cabin originally built in 1940 has loads of Big Bear charm. Located in secluded like location. Large fabricated low maintenance deck to relax and take in the mountain air. Rustic cedar exterior siding. Some original windows add to the charm. The upper level has living room with wood-burning insert fireplace, kitchen with knotty alder cabinets, 2 bedrooms, an office that could be a small bedroom, and a bath. Forced natural air gas heat upstairs. Downstairs has a game room /den and a bedroom with an on-suite bath, Laundry Room, and storage room for the toys. Separate natural-gas heating downstairs. Updated modern plumbing and electrical. Please follow this link to see Posted Rules for Entry bit.ly/2AZM6dl
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2020-07-20status Pending
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2020-07-17price $299,900
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2020-07-16$299,900 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
This Classic Fawnskin Cabin originally built in 1940 has loads of Big Bear charm. Located in secluded like location. Large fabricated low maintenance deck to relax and take in the mountain air. Rustic cedar exterior siding. Some original windows add to the charm. The upper level has living room with wood-burning insert fireplace, kitchen with knotty alder cabinets, 2 bedrooms, an office that could be a small bedroom, and a bath. Forced natural air gas heat upstairs. Downstairs has a game room /den and a bedroom with an on-suite bath, Laundry Room, and storage room for the toys. Separate natural-gas heating downstairs. Updated modern plumbing and electrical. Please follow this link to see Posted Rules for Entry bit.ly/2AZM6dl
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2020-07-16$249,900 Active
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
This Classic Fawnskin Cabin originally built in 1940 has loads of Big Bear charm. Located in secluded like location. Large fabricated low maintenance deck to relax and take in the mountain air. Rustic cedar exterior siding. Some original windows add to the charm. The upper level has living room with wood-burning insert fireplace, kitchen with knotty alder cabinets, 2 bedrooms, an office that could be a small bedroom, and a bath. Forced natural air gas heat upstairs. Downstairs has a game room /den and a bedroom with an on-suite bath, Laundry Room, and storage room for the toys. Separate natural-gas heating downstairs. Updated modern plumbing and electrical. Please follow this link to see Posted Rules for Entry bit.ly/2AZM6dl
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,073 · $339/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,073 · $339/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥83°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,206
- − Property taxes
- −$4,073
- − Insurance
- −$2,916
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,944
- − Management
- −$1,944
- − Depreciation
- −$13,091
- Taxable loss
- −$24,876
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,970
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bear Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604230
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,222
- Composite
- 29.12/100
- National rank
- #6588
- State rank
- #289 of 517 in CA
Livability — Big Bear Lake
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #14284
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 5,215
- Population (ZIP)
- 403
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Italian 6% Scottish 6%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.30%
- Current HPI
- 318.6629
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+50.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $449,990 CRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $479,499 CRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $495,000 CRMLS
- 2020-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $335,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-18 Sold (MLS) $335,000 GPSMLS
- 2020-08-18 Sold (MLS) $335,000 MRCAOR
- 2020-07-20 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2020-07-17 Price Changed $299,900 GPSMLS
- 2020-07-16 Listed $249,900 GPSMLS
- 2020-07-16 Listed $299,900 MRCAOR
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,073 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…