201 Five Cities #133 · Pismo Beach, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 80°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to coastal living at its finest! This beautifully updated mobile home, offered at $399,000, is ideally located just a five-minute walk from the stunning shores of Pismo Beach. Nestled within a desirable 55+ senior community, this home offers both comfort and convenience in a peaceful, well-maintained setting. Ideally situated directly across from a breathtaking 70-acre ecological preserve, you'll enjoy serene natural views and a tranquil environment right outside your door. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior complemented by brand-new flooring throughout, creating a bright and modern feel. The home can come fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready--perfect for those seeking a seamless transition to beachside living. Residents of this rent-controlled park enjoy an impressive array of amenities, including a relaxing hot tub, sparkling swimming pool, dog parks, a fully equipped workout room, a billiards room, and a spacious party hall for gatherings and social events. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a coastal retreat, this home offers an unbeatable combination of location, lifestyle, and value. Don't miss your opportunity to enjoy the best of Pismo Beach living!
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Ecological preserve
- Swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported from public records; Property has one story; Directions: Five Cities Drive to A Ave; Located in Foothills neighborhood
- HOA & community: Senior community; Located in Haciendo Del Pismo park; Monthly land lease of $535.85 (park-managed)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space); Total of 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story home; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Year built reported from public records
- Exterior features: Community (association) pool; Level-with-street lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Front entry
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $341k (11.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.1% in Pismo Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#229 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lucia Mar Unified (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #433 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Shell Beach Elementary (325 students, 38% FRL); Judkins Middle (458 students, 64% FRL); Arroyo Grande High (1,991 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $385k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.35%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $534,844
- List price
- $385,000
- Delta
- -28.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Five Cities Dr #42 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 2mo | $532,000 | $504 | 88 |
| 140 S Dolliver St #157 | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,064 (-3%) | 22mo | $410,000 | $385 | 55 |
| 140 S Dolliver St #144 | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+14%) | 5mo | $515,000 | $413 | 48 |
| 140 S Dolliver St #174 | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 964 (-12%) | 18mo | $427,300 | $443 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-65,751
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-9,951
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93449
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$481 /mo · $5,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$627
- Net cashflow
- $-301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-35 | -5% $-168 | +0% $-301 | +5% $-434 | +10% $-567 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-537 | -5% $-419 | +0% $-301 | +5% $-183 | +10% $-65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-107 | -0.5pp $-203 | base $-301 | +0.5pp $-401 | +1.0pp $-503 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Newport Ave Unit 2 Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,600 | $3.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 379 N 3rd St Grover Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 596 Saratoga Ave Unit A Grover Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $3,500 | $2.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 450 Manhattan Ave Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 538 N 16th St Apt A Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 551 Bay St Pismo Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $4,950 | $3.64 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 657 Trouville Ave #1 Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 265 N 16th St Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,900 | $3.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 153 N 16th St Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $2,725 | $3.35 | 15d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 1625 Ramona Ave Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $2,800 | $2.64 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1415 Longbranch Ave Unit 1419 D Longbranch Grover Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,450 | $2.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1629 Longbranch Ave Grover Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $1,000 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $385,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $385,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $385,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $385,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $385,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $385,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $385,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $385,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $385,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $385,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $385,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $385,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-03price $385,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 38 DOM
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to coastal living at its finest! This beautifully updated mobile home, offered at $399,000, is ideally located just a five-minute walk from the stunning shores of Pismo Beach. Nestled within a desirable 55+ senior community, this home offers both comfort and convenience in a peaceful, well-maintained setting. Ideally situated directly across from a breathtaking 70-acre ecological preserve, you'll enjoy serene natural views and a tranquil environment right outside your door. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior complemented by brand-new flooring throughout, creating a bright and modern feel. The home can come fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready--perfect for those seeking a seamless transition to beachside living. Residents of this rent-controlled park enjoy an impressive array of amenities, including a relaxing hot tub, sparkling swimming pool, dog parks, a fully equipped workout room, a billiards room, and a spacious party hall for gatherings and social events. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a coastal retreat, this home offers an unbeatable combination of location, lifestyle, and value. Don't miss your opportunity to enjoy the best of Pismo Beach living!
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $399,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-27$399,000 Active 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to coastal living at its finest! This beautifully updated mobile home, offered at $399,000, is ideally located just a five-minute walk from the stunning shores of Pismo Beach. Nestled within a desirable 55+ senior community, this home offers both comfort and convenience in a peaceful, well-maintained setting. Ideally situated directly across from a breathtaking 70-acre ecological preserve, you'll enjoy serene natural views and a tranquil environment right outside your door. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior complemented by brand-new flooring throughout, creating a bright and modern feel. The home can come fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready--perfect for those seeking a seamless transition to beachside living. Residents of this rent-controlled park enjoy an impressive array of amenities, including a relaxing hot tub, sparkling swimming pool, dog parks, a fully equipped workout room, a billiards room, and a spacious party hall for gatherings and social events. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a coastal retreat, this home offers an unbeatable combination of location, lifestyle, and value. Don't miss your opportunity to enjoy the best of Pismo Beach living!
-
2026-04-25$399,000 Active 1239-char remark
-
2007-07-28historical
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.
-
2007-07-28soldstatus $105,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.
-
2007-03-20$129,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.
-
2007-03-20$129,000
Show marketing remark (99 chars)
Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥80°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,838
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$5,775
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,867
- − Management
- −$2,867
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$10,362
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,487
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lucia Mar Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0623080
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,681
- Composite
- 45.19/100
- National rank
- #5782
- State rank
- #433 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Pismo Beach
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #7505
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pismo Beach, CA
- County
- San Luis Obispo County · 224,651 people
- City population
- 8,014
- Metro
- San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,014
- Household income
- $118,072
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 368.0
Population outlook (San Luis Obispo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 306,977 people
- By 2030
- 320,378 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 343,933 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 366,853 · +19.5%
- By 2075
- 428,329 · +39.5%
- By 2100
- 460,687 · +50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Russian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Luis Obispo
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 5.4pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+8.3 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -272.08%
- Current HPI
- 410.1711
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.20%
- Metro
- San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+198.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $385,000 CRMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $385,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $399,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
- 2007-07-28 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2007-07-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 CRMLS
- 2007-03-20 Listed $129,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2007-03-20 Listed $129,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…