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201 Five Cities #133
D Composite 44.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$385,000

201 Five Cities #133 · Pismo Beach, CA 93449
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 57 Days on market
Built 1975 $350/sqft · 28% below area Est $535k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to coastal living at its finest! This beautifully updated mobile home, offered at $399,000, is ideally located just a five-minute walk from the stunning shores of Pismo Beach. Nestled within a desirable 55+ senior community, this home offers both comfort and convenience in a peaceful, well-maintained setting. Ideally situated directly across from a breathtaking 70-acre ecological preserve, you'll enjoy serene natural views and a tranquil environment right outside your door. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior complemented by brand-new flooring throughout, creating a bright and modern feel. The home can come fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready--perfect for those seeking a seamless transition to beachside living. Residents of this rent-controlled park enjoy an impressive array of amenities, including a relaxing hot tub, sparkling swimming pool, dog parks, a fully equipped workout room, a billiards room, and a spacious party hall for gatherings and social events. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a coastal retreat, this home offers an unbeatable combination of location, lifestyle, and value. Don't miss your opportunity to enjoy the best of Pismo Beach living!

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Ecological preserve
  • Swimming pool

Tags

FIVE MINUTE WALKECOLOGICAL PRESERVEFRESHLY PAINTED INTERIORBRAND NEW FLOORINGHOT TUBSWIMMING POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported from public records; Property has one story; Directions: Five Cities Drive to A Ave; Located in Foothills neighborhood
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Located in Haciendo Del Pismo park; Monthly land lease of $535.85 (park-managed)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space); Total of 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Year built reported from public records
  • Exterior features: Community (association) pool; Level-with-street lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Front entry
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $385k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $341k (11.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (22.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $299k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.1% in Pismo Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#229 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Lucia Mar Unified (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #433 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Shell Beach Elementary (325 students, 38% FRL); Judkins Middle (458 students, 64% FRL); Arroyo Grande High (1,991 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,104 units permitted in San Luis Obispo County in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Luis Obispo County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $385k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $298,647 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.35%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$534,844
List price
$385,000
Delta
-28.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Five Cities Dr #42 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-4%) 2mo $532,000 $504 88
140 S Dolliver St #157 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,064 (-3%) 22mo $410,000 $385 55
140 S Dolliver St #144 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+14%) 5mo $515,000 $413 48
140 S Dolliver St #174 0.36mi 2/2.0 964 (-12%) 18mo $427,300 $443 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-65,751
Equity at exit
$57,405
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-9,951
Equity at exit
$33,288

Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93449

Rents YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,986 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,019
Tax est. 1.5%
$481 /mo · $5,775/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$627
Net cashflow
$-301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,368
Max offer price $341,396
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-35 -5% $-168 +0% $-301 +5% $-434 +10% $-567
Rent -10% $-537 -5% $-419 +0% $-301 +5% $-183 +10% $-65
Rate -1.0pp $-107 -0.5pp $-203 base $-301 +0.5pp $-401 +1.0pp $-503

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,250
Closing costs
$11,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
111 Newport Ave Unit 2 Grover Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,600 $3.06 45d 1 0.55mi
379 N 3rd St Grover Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,000 $3.00 45d 1 0.60mi
596 Saratoga Ave Unit A Grover Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1250 $3,500 $2.80 45d 1 0.61mi
450 Manhattan Ave Grover Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,700 $3.86 23d 1 1.09mi
538 N 16th St Apt A Grover Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,300 $3.07 45d 1 1.15mi
551 Bay St Pismo Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1361 $4,950 $3.64 15d 1 1.19mi
657 Trouville Ave #1 Grover Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,500 $3.12 45d 1 1.22mi
265 N 16th St Grover Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $2,900 $3.05 23d 1 1.24mi
153 N 16th St Grover Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 812 $2,725 $3.35 15d 2 1.29mi
1625 Ramona Ave Grover Beach, CA 2.0 1.5 1060 $2,800 $2.64 15d 1 1.30mi
1415 Longbranch Ave Unit 1419 D Longbranch Grover Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,450 $2.72 25d 1 1.32mi
1629 Longbranch Ave Grover Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1499 $1,000 $0.67 45d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $385,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $385,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $385,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $385,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $385,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $385,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $385,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $385,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $385,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $385,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $385,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $385,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    price $385,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 38 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1222 chars)

    Welcome to coastal living at its finest! This beautifully updated mobile home, offered at $399,000, is ideally located just a five-minute walk from the stunning shores of Pismo Beach. Nestled within a desirable 55+ senior community, this home offers both comfort and convenience in a peaceful, well-maintained setting. Ideally situated directly across from a breathtaking 70-acre ecological preserve, you'll enjoy serene natural views and a tranquil environment right outside your door. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior complemented by brand-new flooring throughout, creating a bright and modern feel. The home can come fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready--perfect for those seeking a seamless transition to beachside living. Residents of this rent-controlled park enjoy an impressive array of amenities, including a relaxing hot tub, sparkling swimming pool, dog parks, a fully equipped workout room, a billiards room, and a spacious party hall for gatherings and social events. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a coastal retreat, this home offers an unbeatable combination of location, lifestyle, and value. Don't miss your opportunity to enjoy the best of Pismo Beach living!

  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $399,000 Active 35 DOM
  18. 2026-04-27
    listed $399,000 Active 1222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1222 chars)

    Welcome to coastal living at its finest! This beautifully updated mobile home, offered at $399,000, is ideally located just a five-minute walk from the stunning shores of Pismo Beach. Nestled within a desirable 55+ senior community, this home offers both comfort and convenience in a peaceful, well-maintained setting. Ideally situated directly across from a breathtaking 70-acre ecological preserve, you'll enjoy serene natural views and a tranquil environment right outside your door. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior complemented by brand-new flooring throughout, creating a bright and modern feel. The home can come fully furnished, making it truly move-in ready--perfect for those seeking a seamless transition to beachside living. Residents of this rent-controlled park enjoy an impressive array of amenities, including a relaxing hot tub, sparkling swimming pool, dog parks, a fully equipped workout room, a billiards room, and a spacious party hall for gatherings and social events. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a coastal retreat, this home offers an unbeatable combination of location, lifestyle, and value. Don't miss your opportunity to enjoy the best of Pismo Beach living!

  19. 2026-04-25
    listed $399,000 Active 1239-char remark
  20. 2007-07-28
    historical
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.

  21. 2007-07-28
    soldstatus $105,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.

  22. 2007-03-20
    listed $129,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.

  23. 2007-03-20
    listed $129,000
    Show marketing remark (99 chars)

    Near Beach, & shopping. Very nice +55 park. Park features pool, spa, sauna, clubhouse , other.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥80°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,838
− Mortgage interest
−$21,566
− Property taxes
−$5,775
− Insurance
−$1,925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,867
− Management
−$2,867
− Depreciation
−$11,200
Taxable loss
−$10,362
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,487
After-tax cash flow
$-1,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lucia Mar Unified
NCES district ID
0623080
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$62,681
Composite
45.19/100
National rank
#5782
State rank
#433 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Pismo Beach

Score
70/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#7505

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pismo Beach, CA
County
San Luis Obispo County · 224,651 people
City population
8,014
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
Population (ZIP)
8,014
Household income
$118,072
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
368.0

Population outlook (San Luis Obispo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
306,977 people
By 2030
320,378 · +4.4%
By 2040
343,933 · +12.0%
By 2050
366,853 · +19.5%
By 2075
428,329 · +39.5%
By 2100
460,687 · +50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Russian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Luis Obispo

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 5.4pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+8.3 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+5.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -272.08%
Current HPI
410.1711
Rent YoY
▲ 9.20%
Metro
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+198.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $385,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $385,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $399,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-07-28 Listing Removed NSBCRMLS
  • 2007-07-28 Sold (MLS) $105,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-03-20 Listed $129,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 2007-03-20 Listed $129,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…