Triplex
268 Georgia St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$499,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this stately, fully remodeled all-brick Victorian 3 unit, brimming with turn-of-the-century character and modern comfort. A welcoming front porch leads you into the expansive two-story owner’s unit, offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, refinished hardwood floors, and soaring 10-foot ceilings. The charming entry foyer and open staircase flow into a spacious living room with a fireplace and elegant plaster crown moldings, a formal dining room, and a beautifully updated kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large island with bar seating. An office, half bath and convenient in-unit laundry complete the main level. Upstairs, the second floor boasts a generous primary suite with ample closets and a stylish ensuite bath adorned with a natural-wood vanity and tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms share an updated hallway bath with a walk-in shower. The two rear 1 bedroom apartments enjoy a private entrance and modern amenities, including updated kitchens with stainless steel appliances and granite counters, as well as refreshed bathrooms, ideal for generating rental income. A full basement, accessible from the owner’s unit, offers solid mechanicals and abundant storage. Outside, a large fenced yard with a storage shed provides the perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. Additional highlights include separate electric meters for all units, with a shared gas meter for the two rear apartments.
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- All-brick victorian
- 4,679 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3.0-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $554/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $500k).
- Recommended offer: $440k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,869/mo this rent would consume 174% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1213% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.24%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $647,229
- List price
- $499,900
- Delta
- -22.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258 Hudson St | 0.53mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 3,359 (+0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $45 | 59 |
| 81,83,85 West Ave | 0.32mi | 5/4.0 | 3,590 (+7%) | 22mo | $432,500 | $120 | 53 |
| 348 Virginia St | 0.36mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,882 (-14%) | 2mo | $328,000 | $114 | 51 |
| 108 Plymouth Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 | 3,240 (-3%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $86 | 41 |
| 286 W Tupper St Unit S | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,892 (-14%) | 12mo | $365,500 | $126 | 39 |
| 58 Mariner St | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 3,017 (-10%) | 10mo | $314,150 | $104 | 36 |
| 132 Cottage St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,960 (-12%) | 19mo | $432,000 | $146 | 27 |
| 422 Busti Ave | 0.65mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,020 (-10%) | 21mo | $335,000 | $111 | 25 |
| 286 Hudson St | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,860 (-15%) | 16mo | $307,000 | $107 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $32,202
- Equity at exit
- $74,537
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $195,628
- Equity at exit
- $43,222
Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14201
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 21.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,869 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,754/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,232
- Net cashflow
- $1,661
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3.0 | 2.5 | $5,868 |
| #1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | $1,956 |
| #2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | $1,956 |
| #3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | $1,956 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,869 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,975
- Closing costs
- $14,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $499,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $499,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $499,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $499,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-06price $499,900 1464-char remark
Show marketing remark (1464 chars)
Discover this stately, fully remodeled all-brick Victorian 3 unit, brimming with turn-of-the-century character and modern comfort. A welcoming front porch leads you into the expansive two-story owner’s unit, offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, refinished hardwood floors, and soaring 10-foot ceilings. The charming entry foyer and open staircase flow into a spacious living room with a fireplace and elegant plaster crown moldings, a formal dining room, and a beautifully updated kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large island with bar seating. An office, half bath and convenient in-unit laundry complete the main level. Upstairs, the second floor boasts a generous primary suite with ample closets and a stylish ensuite bath adorned with a natural-wood vanity and tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms share an updated hallway bath with a walk-in shower. The two rear 1 bedroom apartments enjoy a private entrance and modern amenities, including updated kitchens with stainless steel appliances and granite counters, as well as refreshed bathrooms, ideal for generating rental income. A full basement, accessible from the owner’s unit, offers solid mechanicals and abundant storage. Outside, a large fenced yard with a storage shed provides the perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. Additional highlights include separate electric meters for all units, with a shared gas meter for the two rear apartments.
-
2026-02-23price $535,900 1464-char remark
Show marketing remark (1464 chars)
Discover this stately, fully remodeled all-brick Victorian 3 unit, brimming with turn-of-the-century character and modern comfort. A welcoming front porch leads you into the expansive two-story owner’s unit, offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, refinished hardwood floors, and soaring 10-foot ceilings. The charming entry foyer and open staircase flow into a spacious living room with a fireplace and elegant plaster crown moldings, a formal dining room, and a beautifully updated kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large island with bar seating. An office, half bath and convenient in-unit laundry complete the main level. Upstairs, the second floor boasts a generous primary suite with ample closets and a stylish ensuite bath adorned with a natural-wood vanity and tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms share an updated hallway bath with a walk-in shower. The two rear 1 bedroom apartments enjoy a private entrance and modern amenities, including updated kitchens with stainless steel appliances and granite counters, as well as refreshed bathrooms, ideal for generating rental income. A full basement, accessible from the owner’s unit, offers solid mechanicals and abundant storage. Outside, a large fenced yard with a storage shed provides the perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. Additional highlights include separate electric meters for all units, with a shared gas meter for the two rear apartments.
-
2025-12-04$569,900 Active 1464-char remark
Show marketing remark (1464 chars)
Discover this stately, fully remodeled all-brick Victorian 3 unit, brimming with turn-of-the-century character and modern comfort. A welcoming front porch leads you into the expansive two-story owner’s unit, offering 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, refinished hardwood floors, and soaring 10-foot ceilings. The charming entry foyer and open staircase flow into a spacious living room with a fireplace and elegant plaster crown moldings, a formal dining room, and a beautifully updated kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large island with bar seating. An office, half bath and convenient in-unit laundry complete the main level. Upstairs, the second floor boasts a generous primary suite with ample closets and a stylish ensuite bath adorned with a natural-wood vanity and tub/shower combo. Two additional bedrooms share an updated hallway bath with a walk-in shower. The two rear 1 bedroom apartments enjoy a private entrance and modern amenities, including updated kitchens with stainless steel appliances and granite counters, as well as refreshed bathrooms, ideal for generating rental income. A full basement, accessible from the owner’s unit, offers solid mechanicals and abundant storage. Outside, a large fenced yard with a storage shed provides the perfect space for entertaining or relaxing. Additional highlights include separate electric meters for all units, with a shared gas meter for the two rear apartments.
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2024-10-02historical
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2024-09-12price $500,000
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2024-07-26price $534,900
-
2024-07-03status Active
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2024-04-24status Pending
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2024-04-10price $539,900
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2024-01-30$549,900 Active
-
2022-11-09soldstatus $500,000
-
2022-11-01soldstatus $500,000 Closed Sale or Rented
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2022-08-02status Pending Sale
-
2022-07-25status Under Contract- Do Not Show
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2022-07-01$499,900 Active
-
2017-10-04soldstatus $300,000
-
2014-02-24soldstatus $312,000
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2014-02-24soldstatus $312,000
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2014-02-21soldstatus $312,000
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2013-08-28$317,000
-
2013-04-04$337,900
-
2013-02-13$337,900
-
2010-03-29soldstatus $62,000
-
2005-07-25soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,754 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,101 · $425/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,347/yr (+$279/mo · 190.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $70,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,754
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,634
- − Management
- −$5,634
- − Depreciation
- −$14,543
- Taxable income
- $12,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,967
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,369
- Household income
- $40,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1213.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 16% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.73%
- Current HPI
- 290.2643
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+1010.9% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $499,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $535,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $569,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-10-02 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2024-09-12 Price Changed $500,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-07-26 Price Changed $534,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-07-03 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2024-04-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-04-10 Price Changed $539,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-01-30 Listed $549,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-01 Sold (MLS) $500,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-08-02 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-07-25 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2022-07-01 Listed $499,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $312,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $312,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-21 Sold (MLS) $312,000 WNYREIS
- 2013-08-28 Listed $317,000 WNYREIS
- 2013-04-04 Listed $337,900 WNYREIS
- 2013-02-13 Listed $337,900 WNYREIS
- 2010-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,754 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…