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1465 3rd St
D- Composite 35.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$160,000

1465 3rd St · Nanty-Glo, PA 15943
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,668 sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 1958 0.28 ac lot Est $128k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 2 bath brick & stone ranch home on 1/4 acre+ corner lot. Sunken LR, DR, Spacious eat-in kitchen. Large rear deck with a great view & outdoor area under the deck. Finished family room in the basement. 1 Car integral garage. New 200 amp electrical service.

Key facts

  • Finished family room
  • Corner lot
  • Large rear deck

Tags

BRICK AND STONE RANCHCORNER LOTSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENLARGE REAR DECKOUTDOOR AREA UNDER THE DECKFINISHED FAMILY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-440/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (19.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Blacklick Valley SD (town): math 37% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Blacklick Valley El Ctr (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 318 students, 100% FRL); Blacklick Valley Jshs (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #265 of 437 statewide, top 63%, 282 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 43% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,024 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,436
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1297 3rd St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,465 (-12%) 7mo $127,500 $87 65
1071 2nd St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,786 (+7%) 7mo $140,000 $78 64
1020 Cardiff Rd 0.42mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,764 (+6%) 5mo $40,000 $23 60
1452 Roberts St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,800 (+8%) 9mo $143,000 $79 58
1396 2nd St 0.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,456 (-13%) 9mo $75,000 $52 57
1375 Davis St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-7%) 8mo $120,000 $77 53
1199 Rodgers St 0.30mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,836 (+10%) 21mo $149,900 $82 45
651 Mccoy St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,890 (+13%) 12mo $70,000 $37 32
637 Mccoy St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,480 (-11%) 20mo $89,900 $61 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$663
Equity at exit
$54,638
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$27,592
Equity at exit
$72,622

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15943

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,803/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,337
Max offer price $153,527
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $54 -5% $9 +0% $-37 +5% $-82 +10% $-127
Rent -10% $-139 -5% $-88 +0% $-37 +5% $14 +10% $65
Rate -1.0pp $44 -0.5pp $4 base $-37 +0.5pp $-78 +1.0pp $-120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    soldstatus $170,000 Closed 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath brick & stone ranch home on 1/4 acre+ corner lot. Sunken LR, DR, Spacious eat-in kitchen. Large rear deck with a great view & outdoor area under the deck. Finished family room in the basement. 1 Car integral garage. New 200 amp electrical service.

  2. 2026-04-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath brick & stone ranch home on 1/4 acre+ corner lot. Sunken LR, DR, Spacious eat-in kitchen. Large rear deck with a great view & outdoor area under the deck. Finished family room in the basement. 1 Car integral garage. New 200 amp electrical service.

  3. 2026-04-11
    status Pending 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath brick & stone ranch home on 1/4 acre+ corner lot. Sunken LR, DR, Spacious eat-in kitchen. Large rear deck with a great view & outdoor area under the deck. Finished family room in the basement. 1 Car integral garage. New 200 amp electrical service.

  4. 2026-04-01
    listed $160,000 Active 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath brick & stone ranch home on 1/4 acre+ corner lot. Sunken LR, DR, Spacious eat-in kitchen. Large rear deck with a great view & outdoor area under the deck. Finished family room in the basement. 1 Car integral garage. New 200 amp electrical service.

  5. 2026-04-01
    listed $160,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath brick & stone ranch home on 1/4 acre+ corner lot. Sunken LR, DR, Spacious eat-in kitchen. Large rear deck with a great view & outdoor area under the deck. Finished family room in the basement. 1 Car integral garage. New 200 amp electrical service.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,803 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,165 · $180/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 20.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,483
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,803
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,239
− Management
−$1,239
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$3,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$771
After-tax cash flow
$332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blacklick Valley SD
NCES district ID
4203690
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$38,550
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4712
State rank
#310 of 539 in PA

Livability — Nanty-Glo

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Nanty-Glo, PA
City population
3,747
Population (ZIP)
3,747

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.00%
Current HPI
97.1064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Sold (MLS) $170,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $160,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $160,000 AHARMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,803 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…