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131 W 2nd St
B+ Composite 75.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$73,900

131 W 2nd St · Newburg, MO 65550
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1940 10,454 sqft lot $37/sqft · 8% below area Est $80k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perched proudly on a hill in the heart of Newburg, this stately 1.5-story home offers timeless charm paired with extensive recent upgrades and endless potential. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the home welcomes you with a spacious open-concept living room and kitchen, complete with a cozy freestanding wood-burning stove—perfect for gathering on cooler evenings. Step outside to the expansive wraparound porch and take in the breathtaking views of the river valley below, an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining. Major improvements provide peace of mind, including a fully updated electrical system with a new 200-amp service, weatherhead, meter box, and all new wiring on the main level, plus a separate breaker panel for the upstairs. The upper level has been completely gutted, fully insulated to R-30, features brand new windows, a whole-house exhaust fan, and is partially finished with one room drywalled and two additional rooms ready for completion. Additional upgrades include new plumbing throughout, new Schedule 40 sewer lines connected to the city main, brand new stove and dishwasher (plus an additional dishwasher in the mudroom), as well as a washer, dryer, and new toilets in both bathrooms. A large unfinished basement offers even more space for storage or future expansion. With its stunning setting, substantial updates, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for your finishing touches. Don't miss this opportunity! Schedule your private tour of this timeless property today!

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 70 days

Tags

EXPANSIVE WRAPAROUND PORCHNEW PLUMBING THROUGHOUTLARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#758 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Newburg R-II (rural): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #299 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 162 units permitted in Phelps County in 2024 (83 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($511 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Phelps County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,466 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.48%
Cash-on-cash
22.10%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,394
List price
$73,900
Delta
-8.08%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 W 4th St 0.14mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,885 (-6%) 4mo $104,500 $55 76
316 Bench St 0.21mi 5/2.0 2,016 (+1%) 24mo $38,290 $19 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$33,186
Equity at exit
$33,229
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
5.07×
Total profit
$84,166
Equity at exit
$51,209

Cash invested: $20,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65550

Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,108/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $646
Max offer price $73,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,475
Closing costs
$2,217
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $73,900 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $73,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $73,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $73,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $73,900 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $73,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $73,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,900 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $73,900 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $88,900 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $88,900 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $88,900 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $88,900 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    price $89,900 1527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1527 chars)

    Perched proudly on a hill in the heart of Newburg, this stately 1.5-story home offers timeless charm paired with extensive recent upgrades and endless potential. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the home welcomes you with a spacious open-concept living room and kitchen, complete with a cozy freestanding wood-burning stove—perfect for gathering on cooler evenings. Step outside to the expansive wraparound porch and take in the breathtaking views of the river valley below, an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining. Major improvements provide peace of mind, including a fully updated electrical system with a new 200-amp service, weatherhead, meter box, and all new wiring on the main level, plus a separate breaker panel for the upstairs. The upper level has been completely gutted, fully insulated to R-30, features brand new windows, a whole-house exhaust fan, and is partially finished with one room drywalled and two additional rooms ready for completion. Additional upgrades include new plumbing throughout, new Schedule 40 sewer lines connected to the city main, brand new stove and dishwasher (plus an additional dishwasher in the mudroom), as well as a washer, dryer, and new toilets in both bathrooms. A large unfinished basement offers even more space for storage or future expansion. With its stunning setting, substantial updates, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for your finishing touches. Don't miss this opportunity! Schedule your private tour of this timeless property today!

  18. 2026-04-09
    listed $109,000 Active 1527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1527 chars)

    Perched proudly on a hill in the heart of Newburg, this stately 1.5-story home offers timeless charm paired with extensive recent upgrades and endless potential. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the home welcomes you with a spacious open-concept living room and kitchen, complete with a cozy freestanding wood-burning stove—perfect for gathering on cooler evenings. Step outside to the expansive wraparound porch and take in the breathtaking views of the river valley below, an ideal setting for relaxing or entertaining. Major improvements provide peace of mind, including a fully updated electrical system with a new 200-amp service, weatherhead, meter box, and all new wiring on the main level, plus a separate breaker panel for the upstairs. The upper level has been completely gutted, fully insulated to R-30, features brand new windows, a whole-house exhaust fan, and is partially finished with one room drywalled and two additional rooms ready for completion. Additional upgrades include new plumbing throughout, new Schedule 40 sewer lines connected to the city main, brand new stove and dishwasher (plus an additional dishwasher in the mudroom), as well as a washer, dryer, and new toilets in both bathrooms. A large unfinished basement offers even more space for storage or future expansion. With its stunning setting, substantial updates, and room to make it your own, this home is ready for your finishing touches. Don't miss this opportunity! Schedule your private tour of this timeless property today!

  19. 2023-11-06
    soldstatus
  20. 2023-10-06
    soldstatus Closed 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    They don't build them like this anymore! Perfectly situated on a corner lot, atop a hill, this stately home overlooks the beautiful Little Piney Valley in the heart of Newburg. Just minutes from MS&T, this home offers so much character and potential. The views from the covered wrap-around porch are spectacular! The living room boasts original hardwood flooring, period millwork, a wood-burning stove, and exposed brick accents. The dining room features a bay window and provides additional access to the impressive covered porch. The kitchen leads to the rear entrance. Completing the main level of the home is the main floor master suite with a full bathroom, a 2nd nonconforming bedroom (no closet), and a full guest bath. Upstairs is the 2nd master suite with a half bath. There is also a partial basement for your additional storage needs. Make this the home of your dreams or add to your rental portfolio! Priced to sell, this investment opportunity won't last. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING NOW!

  21. 2023-09-07
    status Pending 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    They don't build them like this anymore! Perfectly situated on a corner lot, atop a hill, this stately home overlooks the beautiful Little Piney Valley in the heart of Newburg. Just minutes from MS&T, this home offers so much character and potential. The views from the covered wrap-around porch are spectacular! The living room boasts original hardwood flooring, period millwork, a wood-burning stove, and exposed brick accents. The dining room features a bay window and provides additional access to the impressive covered porch. The kitchen leads to the rear entrance. Completing the main level of the home is the main floor master suite with a full bathroom, a 2nd nonconforming bedroom (no closet), and a full guest bath. Upstairs is the 2nd master suite with a half bath. There is also a partial basement for your additional storage needs. Make this the home of your dreams or add to your rental portfolio! Priced to sell, this investment opportunity won't last. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING NOW!

  22. 2023-08-23
    status Active 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    They don't build them like this anymore! Perfectly situated on a corner lot, atop a hill, this stately home overlooks the beautiful Little Piney Valley in the heart of Newburg. Just minutes from MS&T, this home offers so much character and potential. The views from the covered wrap-around porch are spectacular! The living room boasts original hardwood flooring, period millwork, a wood-burning stove, and exposed brick accents. The dining room features a bay window and provides additional access to the impressive covered porch. The kitchen leads to the rear entrance. Completing the main level of the home is the main floor master suite with a full bathroom, a 2nd nonconforming bedroom (no closet), and a full guest bath. Upstairs is the 2nd master suite with a half bath. There is also a partial basement for your additional storage needs. Make this the home of your dreams or add to your rental portfolio! Priced to sell, this investment opportunity won't last. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING NOW!

  23. 2023-08-18
    status Pending 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    They don't build them like this anymore! Perfectly situated on a corner lot, atop a hill, this stately home overlooks the beautiful Little Piney Valley in the heart of Newburg. Just minutes from MS&T, this home offers so much character and potential. The views from the covered wrap-around porch are spectacular! The living room boasts original hardwood flooring, period millwork, a wood-burning stove, and exposed brick accents. The dining room features a bay window and provides additional access to the impressive covered porch. The kitchen leads to the rear entrance. Completing the main level of the home is the main floor master suite with a full bathroom, a 2nd nonconforming bedroom (no closet), and a full guest bath. Upstairs is the 2nd master suite with a half bath. There is also a partial basement for your additional storage needs. Make this the home of your dreams or add to your rental portfolio! Priced to sell, this investment opportunity won't last. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING NOW!

  24. 2023-08-16
    listed $39,900 Active 1004-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1004 chars)

    They don't build them like this anymore! Perfectly situated on a corner lot, atop a hill, this stately home overlooks the beautiful Little Piney Valley in the heart of Newburg. Just minutes from MS&T, this home offers so much character and potential. The views from the covered wrap-around porch are spectacular! The living room boasts original hardwood flooring, period millwork, a wood-burning stove, and exposed brick accents. The dining room features a bay window and provides additional access to the impressive covered porch. The kitchen leads to the rear entrance. Completing the main level of the home is the main floor master suite with a full bathroom, a 2nd nonconforming bedroom (no closet), and a full guest bath. Upstairs is the 2nd master suite with a half bath. There is also a partial basement for your additional storage needs. Make this the home of your dreams or add to your rental portfolio! Priced to sell, this investment opportunity won't last. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING NOW!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,545
− Mortgage interest
−$4,140
− Property taxes
−$1,108
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,084
− Management
−$1,084
− Depreciation
−$2,150
Taxable income
$3,611
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$867
After-tax cash flow
$3,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newburg R-II
NCES district ID
2922140
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$39,225
Composite
18.08/100
National rank
#8976
State rank
#299 of 324 in MO

Livability — Newburg

Score
55/100
State rank
#758
US rank
#23594

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newburg, MO
Population (ZIP)
3,119

Population outlook (Phelps County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,188 people
By 2030
43,524 · -1.5%
By 2040
41,211 · -6.7%
By 2050
38,977 · -11.8%
By 2075
33,846 · -23.4%
By 2100
27,828 · -37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Phelps

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.9) · D 27.9% · R 70.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -42.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.9 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $109,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-10-06 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-07 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-23 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-18 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-16 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $138 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…