1482 S University Blvd · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investment Property. Zoning can be turned into commercial- Per the owner.
Key facts
- 0.52 acre lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 40 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.3% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Olive J Dodge Elementary School (math 6% / reading 35%, grade F, #453 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 875 students, 67% FRL); Denton Magnet School of Technology (math 26% / reading 69%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 314 students, 94% FRL); Wp Davidson High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,535 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.15%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,396
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -33.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5120 Ridgedale Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+1%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $91 | 82 |
| 4259 Raines Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,394 (-2%) | 4mo | $184,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 4300 David Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+8%) | 5mo | $287,800 | $189 | 70 |
| 660 Halifax Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (+3%) | 1mo | $79,500 | $55 | 66 |
| 615 Dartmoor Ln | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,355 (-4%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $125 | 65 |
| 1611 Cortez Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,268 (-10%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 717 Kasserine Pass | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,377 (-3%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $129 | 57 |
| 713 Raines Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,347 (-5%) | 5mo | $73,000 | $54 | 55 |
| 657 Raines Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,286 (-9%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $136 | 51 |
| 4077 Lancewood Dr S | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,284 (-9%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $97 | 45 |
| 668 Ynestra Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,218 (-14%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $135 | 45 |
| 708 Merritt Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (+8%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $147 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $11,386
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $46,726
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 26 active · 27 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.1 mo (24%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $187,250 ($135/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 37 d
- This list price
- 4% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -17.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 36609
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,408 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $881/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $504 | -5% $474 | +0% $445 | +5% $415 | +10% $385 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $333 | -5% $389 | +0% $445 | +5% $500 | +10% $556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $497 | -0.5pp $471 | base $445 | +0.5pp $417 | +1.0pp $390 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5155 Ridgedale Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1263 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 109d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 833 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $1,125 | $1.43 | 0d | 6 | 0.19mi |
| 4161 Yorkshire Ln Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4118 Seabreeze Rd N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 139d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 550 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 139d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 552 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 139d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4306 Via Alta Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 139d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4161 Rebecca Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 109d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4052 Cresthaven Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4057 Gaylark Rd N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 117d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 654 Ynestra Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 109d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 654 Ynestra Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1662 Andover Blvd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4077 Lancewood Dr S Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1283 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 139d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4242 Marmora Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 139d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4213 Malibar Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,458 | $1.33 | 117d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 713 Raines Dr Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,858 | $1.16 | 109d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5617 Vista Bonita Dr S Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $1,936 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3905 San Juan Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 282 Jackson Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,400 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5900 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1259 | $1,600 | $1.27 | 109d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 315 Bomar Pl Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,850 | $1.13 | 109d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1724 Rustic Wood Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1651 Knollwood Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,235 | $1.48 | 0d | 24 | 0.97mi |
| 3853 San Juan Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 900 Downtowner Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1029 | $1,545 | $1.50 | 0d | 29 | 1.12mi |
| 651 Azalea Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 890 | $1,232 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1250 Henckley Ave Unit AVE104 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 6d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 506 Seville Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 109d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3800 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $1,091 | $1.12 | 0d | 10 | 1.18mi |
| 5901 Ole Mill Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 139d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5608 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 879 | $1,199 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6075 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,240 | $1.42 | 0d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 965 Wildwood Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 964 Wildwood Ave Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1824 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4670 Rosewood Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4670 Rosewood Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 109d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4017 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $1,495 | $0.93 | 139d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4017 Cottage Hill Rd #69 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $1,495 | $0.93 | 117d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4017 Cottage Hill Rd #2 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-06price $105,000 79-char remark
-
2026-04-28price $115,000 79-char remark
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 79-char remark
-
2023-07-29$220,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$881
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,352
- − Management
- −$1,352
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,851
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$924
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The property requires moderate renovations, focusing on exterior siding, landscaping, and interior touch-ups. These improvements will significantly enhance its curb appeal and overall value, making it an attractive investment.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be missing or damaged, exposing the structure underneath.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows are not visible, but the structure suggests they may be in poor condition.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — The structure appears to be in a state of disrepair, which could indicate electrical issues.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior of the house is in a state of disrepair, with visible damage and missing elements.
- Major Other — The overall condition of the house suggests significant structural and functional issues that need immediate attention.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and discolored, needs repainting.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown yard with debris, needs trimming and planting.
- Minor Interior walls/paint — Paint appears faded in some areas, needs touch-up paint.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Interior paint touch-up — Enhances interior appearance and value. ↑
- Both Deep cleaning — Prepares the property for showing and potential buyers. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 415,303 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,820
- Household income
- $49,830
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.06%
- Current HPI
- 200.0811
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-52.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $115,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-07-29 Listed $220,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $881 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…