1482 S University Blvd · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Property. Zoning can be turned into commercial- Per the owner.
Key facts
- 0.52 acre lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 40 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.34%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,833
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -31.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5120 Ridgedale Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+1%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $91 | 85 |
| 5100 Ridgedale Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,358 (-4%) | 4mo | $132,000 | $97 | 78 |
| 4259 Raines Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,394 (-2%) | 1mo | $184,000 | $132 | 73 |
| 4300 David Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (+8%) | 2mo | $287,800 | $189 | 72 |
| 4115 Tamworth Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-3%) | 8mo | $172,600 | $125 | 71 |
| 4126 Springdale Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-2%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $122 | 71 |
| 717 Kasserine Pass | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,377 (-3%) | 1mo | $178,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 410 St. John Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (+7%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 713 Raines Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,347 (-5%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 4077 Lancewood Dr S | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,284 (-9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $97 | 48 |
| 708 Merritt Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (+8%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $147 | 47 |
| 5401 Raines Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+14%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $121 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $10,120
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $43,987
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36609
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,383 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $881/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5155 Ridgedale Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1263 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 833 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,190 | $1.39 | 13d | 12 | 0.19mi |
| 4118 Seabreeze Rd N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 550 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 552 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4306 Via Alta Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 701 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,093 | $1.58 | 21d | 10 | 0.42mi |
| 4161 Rebecca Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4057 Gaylark Rd N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 654 Ynestra Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,300 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4077 Lancewood Dr S Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1283 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4242 Marmora Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4213 Malibar Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,458 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 713 Raines Dr Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,858 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5900 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1259 | $1,600 | $1.27 | 13d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 315 Bomar Pl Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,850 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1724 Rustic Wood Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1651 Knollwood Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,247 | $1.49 | 13d | 16 | 0.97mi |
| 900 Downtowner Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1029 | $1,449 | $1.41 | 13d | 32 | 1.12mi |
| 651 Azalea Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 890 | $1,232 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 506 Seville Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3800 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $942 | $1.10 | 13d | 15 | 1.18mi |
| 5901 Ole Mill Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6075 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,215 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4670 Rosewood Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4017 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $1,495 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4017 Cottage Hill Rd #69 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $1,495 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 561 Village Green Dr E Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 13d | 4 | 1.37mi |
| 3993 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $895 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-06price $105,000 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great Investment Property. Zoning can be turned into commercial- Per the owner.
-
2026-04-28price $115,000 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great Investment Property. Zoning can be turned into commercial- Per the owner.
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Great Investment Property. Zoning can be turned into commercial- Per the owner.
-
2023-07-29$220,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $881 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$881
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,328
- − Management
- −$1,328
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,598
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$864
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,233/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,820
- Household income
- $49,830
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1379.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.06%
- Current HPI
- 200.0811
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-52.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $115,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-07-29 Listed $220,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $881 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…