301 County Road 5716 · Natalia, TX 78059

$155,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 61 Days on market

Built 2001 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.8/30.0
• DSCR +9.2/10.0
• 1% rule +7.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.1/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 2001

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot landscaped with large backyard grass and many trees; Soil type: Fill; Lot other structures and features include gates and metal/wire/barbed wire fencing; Lot size approximately 1 acre; Other equipment: Satellite dish; list available
• HOA & community: No association; Community features: Stables

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (1 covered carport space); Driveway; Additional private parking; Aggregate surface
• Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm
• Utilities: City water; Co-op electric; Rural water district; Municipal utility district: No
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Property attached: Yes
• Construction: Built in 2001 (preowned); Frame construction; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
• Exterior features: Covered deck; Fire pit; Stable/Barn; Storage; Barn(s); Mobile home; RV/Boat storage; Workshop with electric

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island; Pantry; Water line to refrigerator; Electric oven; Vented exhaust fan
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 with ensuite bath, linen closet, and separate shower; Total of 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric heating
• Interior features: Chandelier; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings; One living area; One dining area; Room count: 3; Levels: One
• Laundry & utility: Utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
• Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.3% in Natalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#821 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Natalia ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #735 of 826 in TX (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Natalia El (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,247 of 4,322 statewide, top 76%, 323 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools at 78% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 102 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
• Medina County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 10 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.72%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 16.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.92×
• Total profit: $39,930
• Equity at exit: $63,538

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.58×
• Total profit: $111,841
• Equity at exit: $93,378

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78059

• Home prices YoY: 1.0%
• Active inventory: 98
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,950 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$813
• Tax from tax record: −$239 /mo · $2,872/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$410
• Net cashflow: $424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,414

Max offer price $155,000

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $511	-5% $468	+0% $424	+5% $380	+10% $336
Rent	-10% $270	-5% $347	+0% $424	+5% $501	+10% $578
Rate	-1.0pp $502	-0.5pp $463	base $424	+0.5pp $384	+1.0pp $343

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,750
• Closing costs: $4,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16345 FM 463 Lytle, TX	2.0	2.0	925	$1,950	$2.11	2d	1	0.94mi

Listing history 43 events

1. 2026-04-30
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-23
   historical Active Option Contract
3. 2026-04-08
   price $155,000
4. 2026-04-03
   price $174,000
5. 2026-04-01
   price $184,000
6. 2026-03-26
   price $195,000
7. 2026-03-18
   price $199,000
8. 2026-03-13
   price $205,000
9. 2026-03-06
   price $210,000
10. 2026-02-28
    listed $215,000 Active
11. 2017-04-04
    soldstatus
12. 2017-04-03
    soldstatus Sold 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

13. 2017-03-12
    status Pending 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

14. 2017-02-14
    price $92,000 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

15. 2017-02-13
    status Back on Market 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

16. 2017-02-09
    status Pending 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

17. 2017-01-29
    historical Active Option 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

18. 2017-01-07
    price $89,000 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

19. 2016-11-01
    price $95,000 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

20. 2016-10-18
    status Back on Market 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

21. 2016-08-05
    status Pending 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

22. 2016-01-16
    historical 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

23. 2015-12-15
    historical Active Option 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

24. 2015-11-04
    price $99,900 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

25. 2015-10-22
    price $109,900 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

26. 2015-10-08
    status Back on Market 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

27. 2015-06-23
    historical 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

28. 2015-06-09
    status Back on Market 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

29. 2015-06-09
    price $112,000 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

30. 2015-02-14
    status Pending 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

31. 2015-02-12
    historical 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

32. 2015-02-08
    status Back on Market 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

33. 2015-01-15
    historical 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

34. 2014-12-18
    price $88,000 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

35. 2014-12-18
    status Back on Market 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

36. 2014-10-27
    status Pending 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

37. 2014-10-23
    listed $85,000 New 519-char remark

    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    BOM,buyer could not qualify, beautiful 3x2,priced below market value. very desired area 1 acre, no restriction.Located just off hwy for country living but close for easy commute. new paint throughout, custom walls in living & dining area, new vanity in master bath, air conditioner 3 yrs old, upgraded floors, custom builtin cabinets in kitchen, awesome covered deck almost full length of house in back. circular drive for large trailers. extend lot for amimals, in ground sprinklers. & more. home is a must see

38. 2012-02-24
    soldstatus 409-char remark

    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Owner financing available, please call for details. Affordable country living at its best! Private lot, all fenced just over 1 acre in size on paved road minutes away from I-35 and shopping in Lytle. Comfortable, well-maintained home with covered back deck, and storage shed, and room to grow. Several upgrades including recent laminate floor and A/C unit replaced less than 1 year ago per owner. Must see!

39. 2012-02-23
    soldstatus
40. 2012-01-24
    historical 409-char remark

    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Owner financing available, please call for details. Affordable country living at its best! Private lot, all fenced just over 1 acre in size on paved road minutes away from I-35 and shopping in Lytle. Comfortable, well-maintained home with covered back deck, and storage shed, and room to grow. Several upgrades including recent laminate floor and A/C unit replaced less than 1 year ago per owner. Must see!

41. 2011-10-31
    listed $99,000 409-char remark

    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Owner financing available, please call for details. Affordable country living at its best! Private lot, all fenced just over 1 acre in size on paved road minutes away from I-35 and shopping in Lytle. Comfortable, well-maintained home with covered back deck, and storage shed, and room to grow. Several upgrades including recent laminate floor and A/C unit replaced less than 1 year ago per owner. Must see!

42. 2011-10-31
    historical

    Show marketing remark (409 chars)

    Owner financing available, please call for details. Affordable country living at its best! Private lot, all fenced just over 1 acre in size on paved road minutes away from I-35 and shopping in Lytle. Comfortable, well-maintained home with covered back deck, and storage shed, and room to grow. Several upgrades including recent laminate floor and A/C unit replaced less than 1 year ago per owner. Must see!

43. 2011-05-19
    listed $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,872 · $239/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,872 · $239/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,682
• − Property taxes: −$2,872
• − Insurance: −$775
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,872
• − Management: −$1,872
• − Depreciation: −$4,509
• Taxable income: $2,817
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$676
• After-tax cash flow: $4,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Natalia ISD
• NCES district ID: 4832130
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $44,941
• Composite: 19.86/100
• National rank: #8692
• State rank: #735 of 826 in TX

Livability — Natalia

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #821
• US rank: #14875

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,139

Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 54,332 people
• By 2030: 57,250 · +5.4%
• By 2040: 62,563 · +15.1%
• By 2050: 67,386 · +24.0%
• By 2075: 79,538 · +46.4%
• By 2100: 84,624 · +55.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 27% White 27% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 66%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Medina

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.8) · D 28.2% · R 71.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.9pp · 2024: -42.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.8 2020: R+39.2 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+39.2 2008: R+33.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.28%
• Current HPI: 231.2357
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+56.6% since first listed

43 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-04-23 Contingent — NTREIS
• 2026-04-08 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
• 2026-04-03 Price Changed $174,000 NTREIS
• 2026-04-01 Price Changed $184,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-18 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-13 Price Changed $205,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $210,000 NTREIS
• 2026-02-28 Listed $215,000 NTREIS
• 2017-04-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2017-04-03 Sold (MLS) — LERA
• 2017-03-12 Pending — LERA
• 2017-02-14 Price Changed $92,000 LERA
• 2017-02-13 Relisted — LERA
• 2017-02-09 Pending — LERA
• 2017-01-29 Contingent — LERA
• 2017-01-07 Price Changed $89,000 LERA
• 2016-11-01 Price Changed $95,000 LERA
• 2016-10-18 Relisted — LERA
• 2016-08-05 Pending — LERA
• 2016-01-16 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2015-12-15 Contingent — LERA
• 2015-11-04 Price Changed $99,900 LERA
• 2015-10-22 Price Changed $109,900 LERA
• 2015-10-08 Relisted — LERA
• 2015-06-23 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2015-06-09 Price Changed $112,000 LERA
• 2015-06-09 Relisted — LERA
• 2015-02-14 Pending — LERA
• 2015-02-12 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2015-02-08 Relisted — LERA
• 2015-01-15 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2014-12-18 Relisted — LERA
• 2014-12-18 Price Changed $88,000 LERA
• 2014-10-27 Pending — LERA
• 2014-10-23 Listed $85,000 LERA
• 2012-02-24 Sold (MLS) — LERA
• 2012-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2012-01-24 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2011-10-31 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2011-10-31 Listed $99,000 LERA
• 2011-05-19 Listed $99,000 LERA

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,872 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.