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220 N Commerce St
B- Composite 66.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,000

220 N Commerce St · Burleson, TX 76028
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1958 5,750 sqft lot $212/sqft · 19% below area Est $156k · 19% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

Key facts

  • 5,750 sq ft lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 97 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.5% in Burleson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#53 in TX, #2,133 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Burleson ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #236 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 687 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,570 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.79%
Cash-on-cash
8.93%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,275
List price
$127,000
Delta
-18.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 N Commerce St 0.00mi 1/1.0 600 (0%) 0mo $127,000 $212 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-5,408
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$10,268
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76028

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
687
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,370 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,191/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,036
Max offer price $127,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $336 -5% $301 +0% $265 +5% $229 +10% $193
Rent -10% $156 -5% $210 +0% $265 +5% $319 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $329 -0.5pp $297 base $265 +0.5pp $232 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 N Main St Unit 2303 Burleson, TX 1.0 1.0 720 $1,399 $1.94 23d 1 0.15mi
125 N Main St Unit 1503 Burleson, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 45d 1 0.15mi
200 Village Creek Pkwy Unit 215 Burleson, TX 1.0 1.0 644 $1,358 $2.11 0d 1 0.49mi
200 Village Creek Pkwy Unit 221 Burleson, TX 1.0 1.0 644 $1,293 $2.01 14d 1 0.49mi
200 Village Creek Pkwy Burleson, TX 1.0 1.0 644 $1,288 $2.00 14d 1 0.58mi
200 Village Creek Pkwy Burleson, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,377 $1.52 22d 11 0.58mi
406 SW Gordon St Burleson, TX 1.0 1.0 525 $1,049 $2.00 45d 1 0.76mi
400 SW Gordon St Burleson, TX 1.0 420 $814 $1.94 45d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    historical Active Contingent 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  2. 2026-05-12
    price $135,900 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  3. 2026-04-07
    status Active 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  4. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Option Contract 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  5. 2026-03-28
    price $139,900 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  6. 2026-03-13
    price $145,000 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  7. 2026-02-18
    listed $155,000 Active 1205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1205 chars)

    CHARMING DOWNTOWN BURLESON BUNGALOW– Walkable, Updated, and Full of Potential! Don’t miss this adorable 1-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow perfectly positioned in the heart of downtown Burleson, just steps from local dining, shopping, and vibrant nightlife. This inviting home offers 600 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, making it ideal for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to downsize without sacrificing location. Inside, you’ll find fresh interior paint, beautifully refurbished hardwood floors, and a cozy living room that welcomes you in. The eat-in kitchen provides a functional and comfortable space for everyday living, while the bonus utility room off the bedroom offers the perfect setup for a washer and dryer—adding both convenience and value. With its unbeatable location, low-maintenance footprint, and charming character, this home is a rare find at an approachable price point. Whether you're looking to build your investment portfolio or settle into a walkable lifestyle, this property checks all the boxes. Come see it in person—you’ll fall in love the moment you step inside! Title has been opened with Designated Title.

  8. 2010-02-05
    soldstatus
  9. 1991-03-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,191 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,324 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$1,134/yr (+$94/mo · 95.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,446
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$1,191
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,316
− Management
−$1,316
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable income
$1,180
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$283
After-tax cash flow
$2,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burleson ISD
NCES district ID
4812180
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$69,349
Composite
40.05/100
National rank
#3818
State rank
#236 of 826 in TX

Livability — Burleson

Score
79/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#2133

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burleson, TX
County
Johnson County · 147,987 people
City population
81,549
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
81,549
Household income
$101,138
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,678 people
By 2030
189,208 · +5.3%
By 2040
207,261 · +15.4%
By 2050
223,064 · +24.1%
By 2075
259,979 · +44.7%
By 2100
275,395 · +53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -141.44%
Current HPI
282.466
Rent YoY
▲ 1.78%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $135,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $139,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $145,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $155,000 NTREIS
  • 2010-02-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-03-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,191 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…