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5301 Pistakee Dr
B- Composite 68.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$344,700

5301 Pistakee Dr · Pistakee Highlands, IL 60051
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1960 0.28 ac lot Est $255k · 35% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into your next home! This home features 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, all hardwood floors for easy maintenance. The home brings natural lighting and has a great backyard for entertaining! Home being sold AS IS.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Updated kitchen
  • New lvp flooring

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSWHITE SHAKER-STYLE CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNEW LVP FLOORINGREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Property not currently leased; School bus service available
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); Asphalt driveway; Total 2 parking spaces, 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Rehab completed in 2026
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Mature trees; Street paved

Interior

  • Kitchen: Updated kitchen with solid surface counters; Eating area / table space; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in most living areas and bedrooms; Luxury vinyl in the kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Kitchen/dining combo; Full attic; Crawl space basement; Some photos virtually staged
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry located in the kitchen; Sump pump

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $345k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#603 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Johnsburg CUSD 12 (suburban): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #321 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Johnsburg Elementary School (math 19% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Johnsburg Jr High School (math 23% / reading 26%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 344 students, 0% FRL); Johnsburg High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 560 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 19% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 15 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $205k; list at $345k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $344,700

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.84%
Cash-on-cash
16.23%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$255,024
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5301 Pistakee Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 3mo $205,000 $203 97
5108 N West St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,034 (+3%) 11mo $330,000 $319 73
5406 Memory Trl 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 924 (-8%) 6mo $235,000 $254 66
5703 N Woodland Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 980 (-3%) 1mo $300,500 $307 66
5703 Fox Lake Rd 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-5%) 4mo $223,000 $232 60
5305 N Highland Dr 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,104 (+10%) 11mo $269,900 $244 57
1007 Oeffling Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+3%) 5mo $305,000 $293 56
5502 Thelen Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,058 (+5%) 11mo $265,000 $250 56
1007 W Florence St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 908 (-10%) 10mo $230,000 $253 50
5902 Fox Lake Rd 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (+4%) 9mo $250,000 $239 49
4712 Gregory St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-10%) 8mo $235,000 $258 41
5215 N Pleasant View Dr 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (+12%) 9mo $265,000 $235 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.3%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$270,917
Equity at exit
$310,533
10-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
8.59×
Total profit
$732,556
Equity at exit
$669,676

Cash invested: $96,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60051

Home prices YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,646 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,808
Tax from tax record
$414 /mo · $4,970/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$976
Net cashflow
$1,305

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,994
Max offer price $344,700
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,175
Closing costs
$10,341
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
306 Waverly St Unit 1244943P Spring Grove, IL 3.0 1.0 742 $8,714 $11.74 44d 1 1.05mi
6 N Pistakee Lake Rd Fox Lake, IL 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 1d 1 1.39mi
22 W Grand Ave Fox Lake, IL 2.0 1.0 730 $1,700 $2.33 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $344,700 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $344,700 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $344,700 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $344,700 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $344,700 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,970 · $414/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,397 · $533/mo
Expected delta
+$1,427/yr (+$119/mo · 28.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,756
− Mortgage interest
−$19,309
− Property taxes
−$4,970
− Insurance
−$1,724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,460
− Management
−$4,460
− Depreciation
−$10,028
Taxable income
$10,805
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,593
After-tax cash flow
$13,068/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnsburg CUSD 12
NCES district ID
1720490
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$79,626
Composite
22.0/100
National rank
#8206
State rank
#321 of 620 in IL

Livability — Pistakee Highlands

Score
65/100
State rank
#603
US rank
#12471

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pistakee Highlands, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,931

Population outlook (McHenry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
305,342 people
By 2030
301,491 · -1.3%
By 2040
288,211 · -5.6%
By 2050
268,430 · -12.1%
By 2075
226,209 · -25.9%
By 2100
181,247 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McHenry

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.3) · D 46.6% · R 51.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -5.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.3 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+8.1 2012: R+8.8 2008: D+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.50%
Current HPI
612.07
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+580.4% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $344,700 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Sold (MLS) $205,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $224,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-03 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-21 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-01 Listed $145,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-25 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-24 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-18 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-14 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-23 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-15 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-02 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-29 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-24 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-27 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-13 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-09 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-05 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-11 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-09 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-02 Listed $84,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-18 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-30 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-16 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-05 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-16 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-11 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-27 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-29 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,660 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,970 · +26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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