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303 S Maple St St
D Composite 43.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$138,500

303 S Maple St St · Worthing, SD 57077-2051
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Other · 107 Days on market
Built 1964 0.66 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Floor coverings
  • New electrical
  • Bathtub

Tags

NEW ELECTRICALPITCHED ROOFFLOOR COVERINGSFURNACECENTRAL AIRBATHTUB

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (approx. 30 x 24) with garage heater, room for garage, and separate workshop; Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Mobile home; Ranch style; Above-grade finished area and additional below-grade unfinished area
  • Construction: Metal and vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Composition roof; Land is owned
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; City lot; Additional buildings, RV/boat storage, and shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Stove hood
  • Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (approx. 10 x 11); Basement bedroom with built-in closet (approx. 6 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Natural gas water heater
  • Interior features: Main floor laundry; Master bedroom on main level; Open-concept living room to kitchen; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-631/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (6.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#44 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Lennox School District 41-4 (rural): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #5 of 59 in SD (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Worthing Elementary - 05 (math 64% / reading 64%, grade B, #39 of 253 statewide, top 19%, 126 students, 5% FRL); Lennox Jr. High - 08 (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B+, #13 of 143 statewide, top 11%, 189 students, 15% FRL); Lennox High School - 01 (math 32% / reading 77%, grade C-, #53 of 151 statewide, top 41%, 359 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($958 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lincoln County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $109,049 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$13,324
Equity at exit
$62,276
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$52,135
Equity at exit
$95,974

Cash invested: $38,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57077-2051

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$726
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,561/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$-53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,157
Max offer price $129,207
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $26 -5% $-13 +0% $-53 +5% $-92 +10% $-131
Rent -10% $-139 -5% $-96 +0% $-53 +5% $-10 +10% $34
Rate -1.0pp $17 -0.5pp $-17 base $-53 +0.5pp $-88 +1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,625
Closing costs
$4,155
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-13
    listed $138,500 Active
  3. 2022-09-12
    historical
  4. 2022-08-08
    price $139,900
  5. 2022-06-22
    listed $159,900 Active - New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,561 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$253/yr (+$21/mo · 16.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,086
− Mortgage interest
−$7,758
− Property taxes
−$1,561
− Insurance
−$692
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,047
− Management
−$1,047
− Depreciation
−$4,029
Taxable loss
−$3,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$732
After-tax cash flow
$100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lennox School District 41-4
NCES district ID
4641550
Math proficiency
56% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$63,780
Composite
52.37/100
National rank
#1584
State rank
#5 of 59 in SD

Livability — Worthing

Score
72/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#6285

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worthing, SD

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,138 people
By 2030
78,929 · +12.5%
By 2040
97,132 · +38.5%
By 2050
116,136 · +65.6%
By 2075
166,314 · +137.1%
By 2100
219,430 · +212.9%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $138,500 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2022-09-12 Listing Removed REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2022-08-08 Price Changed $139,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
  • 2022-06-22 Listed $159,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire

Property tax history

+43.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,561 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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