1801 Briar Rd · Valparaiso, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors take note of this one! Seasonal fun comes along with this home. A small yearly optional membership fee allows one to use the beachfront, The fenced yard is great when having lots of friends and family over. You get a nice size yard with this home. This must see home offers a two car garage. Inside it is as cute as can be!! Beams and built in cabinet are found in the family room. There is some wood flooring found in this charming home in the living room, which could also be used a dining room. The heater in the garage does not stay. Second lot is included in the fenced in area.
Key facts
- Outdoor amenities
- Expansion potential
- Extra privacy
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,248 (per appraiser); Occupant: Tenant
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Security features: other
- Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service); Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: One-level home; Built in 1955; Property condition: fixer
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Has basement (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Fenced yard; Patio/porch features: other; No pool; Security features: other
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Two additional bedrooms; Bonus room; Office
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: No notable interior features listed; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-474/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (3.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.9% in Valparaiso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in IN, #1,149 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Valparaiso Community Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #18 of 301 in IN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 542 units permitted in Porter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Porter County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $189k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.89%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $242,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1801 Briar Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $102 | 94 |
| 2201 Linda Rd | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-12%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $213 | 66 |
| 1210 Edgewater Beach Rd | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,367 (+10%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $154 | 60 |
| 5305 4th Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (-12%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 5406 Leisure Dr | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-1%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 146 Curtis Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 10mo | $284,900 | $204 | 52 |
| 1401 Oriole Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-3%) | 8mo | $257,000 | $212 | 49 |
| 1700 Clayton St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,341 (+8%) | 2mo | $289,900 | $216 | 47 |
| 1416 Island Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (+8%) | 17mo | $274,900 | $204 | 46 |
| 2302 Thomas Rd | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+12%) | 17mo | $272,000 | $194 | 42 |
| 125 E 632 N | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-9%) | 16mo | $218,000 | $191 | 41 |
| 5407 Leisure Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 18mo | $231,000 | $172 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-32,276
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-27,759
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46383
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,806/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $-39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $68 | -5% $14 | +0% $-39 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-166 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-39 | +5% $24 | +10% $87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $56 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-39 | +0.5pp $-88 | +1.0pp $-138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 Woodland Ter Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,350 | $2.43 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1600 Pointe Dr Valparaiso, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 940 | $1,385 | $1.47 | 0d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 1607 Potawatomi Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,385 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1605 Potawatomi Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,385 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3201 Black Partridge Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,355 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3108 Black Partridge Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3101 Black Partridge Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,355 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 351 Andover Dr Valparaiso, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 785 | $1,479 | $1.88 | 0d | 16 | 1.42mi |
| 2903 Black Partridge Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,355 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2903 Black Partridge Ln Valparaiso, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,355 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-02price $189,000
-
2026-02-10price $199,000
-
2026-01-21status Active
-
2026-01-12status Pending
-
2025-12-22$209,000 Active
-
2010-09-08soldstatus $90,000 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Investors take note of this one! Seasonal fun comes along with this home. A small yearly optional membership fee allows one to use the beachfront, The fenced yard is great when having lots of friends and family over. You get a nice size yard with this home. This must see home offers a two car garage. Inside it is as cute as can be!! Beams and built in cabinet are found in the family room. There is some wood flooring found in this charming home in the living room, which could also be used a dining room. The heater in the garage does not stay. Second lot is included in the fenced in area.
-
2010-06-01$109,900 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Investors take note of this one! Seasonal fun comes along with this home. A small yearly optional membership fee allows one to use the beachfront, The fenced yard is great when having lots of friends and family over. You get a nice size yard with this home. This must see home offers a two car garage. Inside it is as cute as can be!! Beams and built in cabinet are found in the family room. There is some wood flooring found in this charming home in the living room, which could also be used a dining room. The heater in the garage does not stay. Second lot is included in the fenced in area.
-
2009-05-01historical
-
2007-12-21$116,900
-
2007-12-05historical
-
2007-06-04$119,900
-
2007-05-31historical
-
2006-03-07$119,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,806 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,806 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,806
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$3,705
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$889
- After-tax cash flow
- $416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valparaiso Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1811970
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,736
- Composite
- 51.69/100
- National rank
- #1691
- State rank
- #18 of 301 in IN
Livability — Valparaiso
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Porter County · 151,647 people
- City population
- 83,039
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,183
- Household income
- $76,224
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1478.0
Population outlook (Porter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,804 people
- By 2030
- 181,552 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 185,830 · +4.5%
- By 2050
- 187,498 · +5.5%
- By 2075
- 189,585 · +6.6%
- By 2100
- 183,722 · +3.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Porter
- 2024 margin
- R (+10.5) · D 43.8% · R 54.3% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+6.1 2016: R+6.8 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.84%
- Current HPI
- 197.9925
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.52%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+57.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $189,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $199,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-21 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Listed $209,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-08 Sold (MLS) $90,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-01 Listed $109,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-21 Listed $116,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-12-05 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-04 Listed $119,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-31 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-07 Listed $119,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2024): $2,806 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…