Duplex
3117 E Crosstimbers St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This duplex is almost ready for occupancy. Calling all investors that see the potential in this lovely property. Or live in one and rent out the other an an owner/occupant. The duplex will need some repairs but it’s priced with equity.
Key facts
- 4,900 sq ft lot
- Built 2020
- Listed 141 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-50/yr) — negative. Per door: $-2/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (6.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,468/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1815% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $352,754
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -24.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2708 Bostic St | 0.52mi | 4/4.0 | 2,182 (-0%) | 8mo | $399,990 | $183 | 69 |
| 2710 Bostic St | 0.51mi | 4/4.0 | 2,182 (-0%) | 8mo | $399,990 | $183 | 69 |
| 2704 Bostic St | 0.53mi | 4/4.0 | 2,182 (-0%) | 8mo | $399,990 | $183 | 68 |
| 2706 Bostic St | 0.53mi | 4/4.0 | 2,182 (-0%) | 11mo | $419,990 | $192 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-37,227
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-7,054
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77093
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$454 /mo · $5,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,468 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,234 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,234 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,468 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2623 Huntington Creek Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $2,299 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8320 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $8,950 | $5.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8320 Curry Rd Unit 1391267P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $5,134 | $3.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8318 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,299 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8322 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1599 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8326 Curry Rd Unit 1228882P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,878 | $1.78 | 7d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3208 Bostic St Unit 1254540P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $3,691 | $2.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4030 Reid St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7740 Wileyvale Rd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2920 La Estancia Ln Houston, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,761 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-07status $265,000 Pending 141 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-01-14$265,000 Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
This duplex is almost ready for occupancy. Calling all investors that see the potential in this lovely property. Or live in one and rent out the other an an owner/occupant. The duplex will need some repairs but it’s priced with equity.
-
2025-06-20soldstatus
-
2025-06-13soldstatus Sold 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
This duplex is almost ready for occupancy. Calling all investors that see the potential in this lovely property. Or live in one and rent out the other an an owner/occupant.
-
2025-04-16status Pending 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
This duplex is almost ready for occupancy. Calling all investors that see the potential in this lovely property. Or live in one and rent out the other an an owner/occupant.
-
2025-03-18soldstatus
-
2024-10-29$365,000 Active 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
This duplex is almost ready for occupancy. Calling all investors that see the potential in this lovely property. Or live in one and rent out the other an an owner/occupant.
-
2023-06-02soldstatus
-
2023-01-26historical
-
2023-01-10price $310,000
-
2022-12-15price $349,999
-
2022-12-08status Active
-
2022-11-11status Pending
-
2022-10-21price $399,999
-
2022-10-10$450,000 Active
-
2019-12-17soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,445 · $454/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,445 · $454/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$5,445
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,369
- − Management
- −$2,369
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$4,446
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,067
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,407
- Household income
- $46,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1815.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% Black 11% White 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 70%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.53%
- Current HPI
- 277.4914
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.31%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-41.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $265,000 HARMLS
- 2025-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-04-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-10-29 Listed $365,000 HARMLS
- 2023-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-01-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2023-01-10 Price Changed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2022-12-15 Price Changed $349,999 HARMLS
- 2022-12-08 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2022-11-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $399,999 HARMLS
- 2022-10-10 Listed $450,000 HARMLS
- 2019-12-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+18.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,445 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…