26114 Sea Rosemary Ln · Houston, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$266,340
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner's suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Covered patio
- Single-floor living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $266k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (9.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.77%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $317,541
- List price
- $266,340
- Delta
- -16.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26110 Sea Rosemary Ln | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-9%) | 1mo | $262,740 | $167 | 84 |
| 6671 Iron Clover Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,635 (-5%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $162 | 82 |
| 6666 Iron Clover Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,655 (-4%) | 0mo | $283,590 | $171 | 81 |
| 6647 Iron Clover Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-9%) | 1mo | $267,740 | $170 | 79 |
| 6670 Iron Clover Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-9%) | 1mo | $264,990 | $169 | 77 |
| 6806 Violet Clover Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (-6%) | 1mo | $257,240 | $158 | 74 |
| 6738 Violet Clover Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,629 (-6%) | 1mo | $272,890 | $168 | 74 |
| 26906 Rosebay Woods Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+2%) | 1mo | $262,990 | $149 | 66 |
| 26707 Scarlet Willow Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,720 (-0%) | 1mo | $322,990 | $188 | 64 |
| 26910 Rosebay Woods Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-12%) | 1mo | $244,990 | $161 | 55 |
| 26846 Rosebay Woods Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,968 (+14%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $147 | 46 |
| 26803 Scarlet Willow Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,968 (+14%) | 0mo | $275,240 | $140 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-57,122
- Equity at exit
- $39,712
- IRR
- -29.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-85,600
- Equity at exit
- $23,028
Cash invested: $74,575 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77493
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 2696
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,422 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,397
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$333 /mo · $3,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- HOA
- −$183
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $-110
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,585
- Closing costs
- $7,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6758 Sunset Velvet Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,350 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 26642 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1949 | $2,300 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 26811 Prairie Smoke Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 26802 Cenzontle Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7402 Clover Chase Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1840 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6303 Marigold Blaze Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,250 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 27022 Euphonia Green Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,939 | $1.63 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 27327 Blue Pool Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,600 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $183 · $2,196/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $266,340 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $266,340 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $267,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $267,990 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $267,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $267,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $267,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $267,990 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $267,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-08price $267,990 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner's suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-05-07price $267,990 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
The Rio Floor Plan - This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-05-01price $277,990 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner's suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-04-30price $277,990 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
The Rio Floor Plan - This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-27price $282,990 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
The Rio Floor Plan - This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-26price $282,990 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner's suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-04-22price $293,490 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner's suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-04-20price $293,490 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
The Rio Floor Plan - This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-03price $297,790 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
The Rio Floor Plan - This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-03$297,790 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
The Rio Floor Plan - This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner’s suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
-
2026-04-02$311,990 Active 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
This new three-bedroom home offers convenient single-floor living. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, living and dining areas with access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and multitasking. Three bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home for enhanced comfort and privacy, including the luxe owner's suite with a spa-inspired bathroom and walk-in closet.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,066
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,919
- − Property taxes
- −$3,995
- − Insurance
- −$1,332
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,325
- − Management
- −$2,325
- − HOA
- −$2,196
- − Depreciation
- −$7,748
- Taxable loss
- −$5,775
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,386
- After-tax cash flow
- $64/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and is move-in ready with minor updates that can further increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,484
- Household income
- $118,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.65%
- Current HPI
- 233.1683
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-14.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $267,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $267,990 HARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $277,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $277,990 HARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $282,990 HARMLS
- 2026-04-26 Price Changed $282,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $293,490 Zillow
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $293,490 HARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $297,790 Zillow
- 2026-04-03 Listed $297,790 HARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $311,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…