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9609 E Monte Ave
D Composite 40.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$454,900

9609 E Monte Ave · Mesa, AZ 85209
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,867 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1999 7,200 sqft lot $244/sqft · 22% below area Est $582k · 22% under $93/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful family friendly golf course community of Augusta Ranch is this perfect 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1868 sq foot single story home with great room floor plan, brand new flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances and kitchen sink , All fixtures, fans and lighting have been updated. Dual flush toilets installed in each bathroom. Recent addition of Nest Smart Thermostat and Ring Video Doorbell are included. for those summer parties good size back yard and enough room to build a pool. Great location with convenient closeness and ease of access to both the 202 and 60 Freeways

Key facts

  • 7,200 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1999

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax and assessor data available (lot and building area sourced to assessor)
  • Financial info: Current financing: non-assumable
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee of $279 covering grounds maintenance; Association rules prohibit visible trucks, trailers, RVs, and boats; Community amenities include golf, a lake, playground, and biking/walking paths

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered garage spaces with direct access and garage door opener; 2 open parking spaces
  • Security: Owned security system
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Stucco and painted wood frame construction
  • Exterior features: Sprinklers front and rear; Desert landscaping in front; Grass in back; Front and rear irrigation; Block fencing; Tile roof; Asphalt road (city maintained)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Kitchen island; Pantry; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Disposal; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: Up to 4 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Owned security system; Smart home features; Double vanity in master bath; Eat-in kitchen; Breakfast bar; 9+ foot flat ceilings; No interior steps; Kitchen island; Pantry; Full bath in master bedroom; Separate shower and tub; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Disposal; Dual-pane windows with vinyl frames; Solar panels
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer/dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $455k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-957 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (37.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (48.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (48.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in AZ, #2,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D.
  • Gilbert Unified District (4239) (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #38 of 249 in AZ (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Augusta Ranch Elementary (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C-, #233 of 1,109 statewide, top 22%, 953 students, 29% FRL); Desert Ridge Jr. High (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 973 students, 26% FRL); Desert Ridge High (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #136 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 2,284 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 170 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($441k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,248 (48.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.51%
Cap rate
3.77%
Cash-on-cash
-9.01%
DSCR
0.60
GRM
16.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$581,784
List price
$454,900
Delta
-19.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9311 E Milagro Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,924 (+3%) 2mo $500,000 $260 70
9812 E Monterey Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,951 (+4%) 2mo $556,000 $285 70
2824 S 96th St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,877 (+0%) 2mo $490,000 $261 67
9628 E Lindner Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,968 (+5%) 2mo $465,000 $236 66
9534 E Keats Ave 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,968 (+5%) 1mo $522,500 $265 64
9611 E Obispo Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,877 (+0%) 0mo $500,000 $266 61
10104 E Nichols Ave 0.69mi 4/3.0 1,937 (+4%) 3mo $515,000 $266 59
2415 S Compton -- 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,691 (-9%) 2mo $425,500 $252 55
9310 E Lobo Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,691 (-9%) 1mo $375,000 $222 53
9248 E Lobo Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,691 (-9%) 2mo $411,000 $243 50
9316 E Monterey Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,594 (-15%) 3mo $480,000 $301 45
2202 S Duval -- 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,134 (+14%) 3mo $670,000 $314 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.44% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-48,374
Equity at exit
$165,804
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-45,566
Equity at exit
$228,705

Cash invested: $127,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85209

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
16.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,342 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,386
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$190
HOA
$93
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$-957

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,553
Max offer price $285,908
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-699 -5% $-828 +0% $-957 +5% $-1,085 +10% $-1,214
Rent -10% $-1,142 -5% $-1,049 +0% $-957 +5% $-864 +10% $-772
Rate -1.0pp $-728 -0.5pp $-841 base $-957 +0.5pp $-1,075 +1.0pp $-1,194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$113,725
Closing costs
$13,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2657 S Keene Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,050 $1.37 1d 1 0.34mi
9322 E Lobo Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1691 $2,200 $1.30 24d 1 0.45mi
9304 E Monte Ave Mesa, AZ 4.0 3.0 1857 $2,225 $1.20 46d 1 0.46mi
2024 S Baldwin #100 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1379 $2,100 $1.52 0d 1 0.52mi
2031 S Alicia Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1524 $2,009 $1.32 17d 1 0.53mi
2031 S Alicia Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1524 $2,049 $1.34 24d 1 0.53mi
2031 S Alicia Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1524 $2,109 $1.38 46d 1 0.53mi
2024 S Baldwin #40 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1384 $1,800 $1.30 26d 1 0.56mi
9335 E Baseline Rd Mesa, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1162 $2,100 $1.81 0d 12 0.58mi
9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1142 $1,900 $1.66 17d 3 0.60mi
9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1145 $1,750 $1.53 26d 1 0.60mi
9231 E Lindner Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,295 $1.46 7d 1 0.65mi
9909 E Onza Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1401 $2,165 $1.55 21d 1 0.68mi
9909 E Onza Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1401 $2,165 $1.55 26d 1 0.68mi
10044 E Osage Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,295 $1.35 46d 1 0.74mi
2026 S Boca Cir Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,165 $1.49 46d 1 0.95mi
10413 E Natal Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 2148 $2,550 $1.19 26d 1 0.96mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #555 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,900 $2.81 22d 1 0.98mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #555 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,900 $2.81 26d 1 0.98mi
10251 E Obispo Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1614 $1,999 $1.24 46d 1 0.99mi
10258 E Plata Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1614 $2,195 $1.36 1d 1 1.01mi
8757 E Lomita Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 3.0 1914 $2,300 $1.20 26d 1 1.12mi
8918 E Oro Cir Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1566 $2,100 $1.34 19d 1 1.13mi
8918 E Oro Cir Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1566 $2,180 $1.39 46d 1 1.13mi
2223 S Gordon Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1278 $2,250 $1.76 26d 1 1.13mi
10509 E Olla Ave Mesa, AZ 4.0 3.0 2250 $2,600 $1.16 0d 1 1.18mi
3121 S Mandy Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1357 $2,190 $1.61 6d 1 1.18mi
8928 E Pampa Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1723 $10,500 $6.09 26d 1 1.19mi
8915 E Pampa Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1700 $1,900 $1.12 46d 1 1.23mi
10560 E Nichols Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1704 $3,495 $2.05 26d 1 1.24mi
2051 S 87th Pl Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 2090 $2,195 $1.05 20d 1 1.24mi
8843 E Pampa Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1357 $2,050 $1.51 7d 1 1.25mi
8852 E Plana Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,995 $1.47 46d 1 1.29mi
8720 E Knowles Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1692 $1,995 $1.18 5d 1 1.30mi
8720 E Knowles Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1692 $1,995 $1.18 1d 1 1.30mi
10638 E Olla Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1535 $2,140 $1.39 26d 1 1.32mi
9745 E Hampton Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1785 $3,146 $1.76 0d 8 1.33mi
10502 E Posada Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 2293 $8,500 $3.71 26d 1 1.33mi
8566 E Desert Ln Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1918 $2,200 $1.15 17d 1 1.35mi
8566 E Desert Ln Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1918 $2,200 $1.15 21d 1 1.35mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$93 · $1,116/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    pricedays on market $454,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $469,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $469,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $469,900 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $469,900 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $469,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 679-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $469,900 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $469,900 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $469,900 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $469,900 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $469,900 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $469,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $469,900 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $469,900 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $469,900 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $469,900 Active 291-char remark
  18. 2025-05-20
    historical
  19. 2025-03-06
    price $475,000
  20. 2025-02-27
    listed $420,000 Active
  21. 2022-02-24
    soldstatus $420,000
  22. 2021-06-22
    soldstatus $420,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Beautiful family friendly golf course community of Augusta Ranch is this perfect 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1868 sq foot single story home with great room floor plan, brand new flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances and kitchen sink , All fixtures, fans and lighting have been updated. Dual flush toilets installed in each bathroom. Recent addition of Nest Smart Thermostat and Ring Video Doorbell are included. for those summer parties good size back yard and enough room to build a pool. Great location with convenient closeness and ease of access to both the 202 and 60 Freeways

  23. 2021-06-22
    soldstatus $420,000
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Beautiful family friendly golf course community of Augusta Ranch is this perfect 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1868 sq foot single story home with great room floor plan, brand new flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances and kitchen sink , All fixtures, fans and lighting have been updated. Dual flush toilets installed in each bathroom. Recent addition of Nest Smart Thermostat and Ring Video Doorbell are included. for those summer parties good size back yard and enough room to build a pool. Great location with convenient closeness and ease of access to both the 202 and 60 Freeways

  24. 2021-05-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Beautiful family friendly golf course community of Augusta Ranch is this perfect 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1868 sq foot single story home with great room floor plan, brand new flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances and kitchen sink , All fixtures, fans and lighting have been updated. Dual flush toilets installed in each bathroom. Recent addition of Nest Smart Thermostat and Ring Video Doorbell are included. for those summer parties good size back yard and enough room to build a pool. Great location with convenient closeness and ease of access to both the 202 and 60 Freeways

  25. 2021-05-18
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Beautiful family friendly golf course community of Augusta Ranch is this perfect 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1868 sq foot single story home with great room floor plan, brand new flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances and kitchen sink , All fixtures, fans and lighting have been updated. Dual flush toilets installed in each bathroom. Recent addition of Nest Smart Thermostat and Ring Video Doorbell are included. for those summer parties good size back yard and enough room to build a pool. Great location with convenient closeness and ease of access to both the 202 and 60 Freeways

  26. 2021-05-12
    listed $420,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Beautiful family friendly golf course community of Augusta Ranch is this perfect 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom 1868 sq foot single story home with great room floor plan, brand new flooring, upgraded kitchen appliances and kitchen sink , All fixtures, fans and lighting have been updated. Dual flush toilets installed in each bathroom. Recent addition of Nest Smart Thermostat and Ring Video Doorbell are included. for those summer parties good size back yard and enough room to build a pool. Great location with convenient closeness and ease of access to both the 202 and 60 Freeways

  27. 2019-10-03
    soldstatus $309,000 Closed
  28. 2019-10-03
    soldstatus $309,000
  29. 2019-09-17
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  30. 2019-09-15
    price $309,900
  31. 2019-09-01
    price $313,000
  32. 2019-08-27
    price $318,000
  33. 2019-08-13
    price $323,500
  34. 2019-07-20
    listed $324,900 Active
  35. 2014-07-22
    soldstatus $215,000
  36. 2014-07-17
    soldstatus $215,000 Closed
  37. 2014-06-17
    status Pending
  38. 2014-05-14
    listed $220,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,002 · $250/mo
Expected delta
+$1,333/yr (+$111/mo · 79.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,110
− Mortgage interest
−$25,481
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$2,274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,249
− Management
−$2,249
− HOA
−$1,116
− Depreciation
−$13,233
Taxable loss
−$20,162
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,839
After-tax cash flow
$-6,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilbert Unified District (4239)
NCES district ID
0403400
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$74,715
Composite
45.55/100
National rank
#2600
State rank
#38 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Mesa

Score
79/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2034

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mesa, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
555,266
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
43,150
Household income
$84,432
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
972.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.44%
Current HPI
277.6198
Rent YoY
▲ 0.54%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.6% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $469,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-03-06 Price Changed $475,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-02-27 Listed $420,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $420,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-05-30 Pending ARMLS
  • 2021-05-18 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2021-05-12 Listed $420,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $309,000 Public Records
  • 2019-10-03 Sold (MLS) $309,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-09-17 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2019-09-15 Price Changed $309,900 ARMLS
  • 2019-09-01 Price Changed $313,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-08-27 Price Changed $318,000 ARMLS
  • 2019-08-13 Price Changed $323,500 ARMLS
  • 2019-07-20 Listed $324,900 ARMLS
  • 2014-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-17 Sold (MLS) $215,000 ARMLS
  • 2014-06-17 Pending ARMLS
  • 2014-05-14 Listed $220,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,669 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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