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229 Old Hershey Rd Duplex
C- Composite 50.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$340,000

229 Old Hershey Rd · Elizabethtown, PA 17022
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,400 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1986 0.46 ac lot $142/sqft · 36% below area Est $534k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Single 2 unit located in a cozy secluded park like setting close to route 743 in Elizabethtown. Great long term tenants $700 for the first floor and $675 for the second. As a convenience, a coin operated laundry is located on the the first floor. There's plenty of off street parking available. Roof is 3-5 years old, each unit has electric baseboard heat that tenants pay. Property has been professionally cleaned and all appliances stay with the property. Property is in need of updating and rents should be raised. The owner has only been responsible for these annual expenses: Homeowner's Insurance $752, County & Municipal Taxes $1,085, School Tax $3,539, Electric $960, Sewer $1,200, Trash $1,120, Water $240. Total Expenses $8,896

Key facts

  • Main entrance
  • Off street parking
  • 5 acre lot

Tags

5 ACRE LOTMAIN ENTRANCECOIN OPERATED LAUNDRYOFF STREET PARKINGROOF REPLACED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Accessibility: level entry to main
  • Financial info: Property is fee simple; Contains 2 total units (both currently leased); Total actual rent reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt driveway; Driveway / off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached structure; 2 total stories; Level entry at main
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built/finished above grade (2,400 finished above-grade square feet)
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Secluded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (multifamily property)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Bathrooms included (tub/shower)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Tub with shower; Walk-in closet(s); No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $340k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-454/yr) — negative. Per door: $-19/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $333k (2.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $295k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Elizabethtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#201 in PA, #1,759 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Elizabethtown Area SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #123 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $295,100 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.48%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$533,857
List price
$340,000
Delta
-36.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-46,627
Equity at exit
$50,695
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$4,263
Equity at exit
$29,397

Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17022

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
19.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,951 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,783
Tax from tax record
$444 /mo · $5,334/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$620
Net cashflow
$-38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,999
Max offer price $333,317
Occupancy floor 96%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,951

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,000
Closing costs
$10,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $340,000 Active 422-char remark
  2. 2022-07-28
    soldstatus $237,000 Closed 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    Single 2 unit located in a cozy secluded park like setting close to route 743 in Elizabethtown. Great long term tenants $700 for the first floor and $675 for the second. As a convenience, a coin operated laundry is located on the the first floor. There's plenty of off street parking available. Roof is 3-5 years old, each unit has electric baseboard heat that tenants pay. Property has been professionally cleaned and all appliances stay with the property. Property is in need of updating and rents should be raised. The owner has only been responsible for these annual expenses: Homeowner's Insurance $752, County & Municipal Taxes $1,085, School Tax $3,539, Electric $960, Sewer $1,200, Trash $1,120, Water $240. Total Expenses $8,896

  3. 2022-06-21
    status Pending 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    Single 2 unit located in a cozy secluded park like setting close to route 743 in Elizabethtown. Great long term tenants $700 for the first floor and $675 for the second. As a convenience, a coin operated laundry is located on the the first floor. There's plenty of off street parking available. Roof is 3-5 years old, each unit has electric baseboard heat that tenants pay. Property has been professionally cleaned and all appliances stay with the property. Property is in need of updating and rents should be raised. The owner has only been responsible for these annual expenses: Homeowner's Insurance $752, County & Municipal Taxes $1,085, School Tax $3,539, Electric $960, Sewer $1,200, Trash $1,120, Water $240. Total Expenses $8,896

  4. 2022-06-13
    listed $230,000 Active 745-char remark
    Show marketing remark (745 chars)

    Single 2 unit located in a cozy secluded park like setting close to route 743 in Elizabethtown. Great long term tenants $700 for the first floor and $675 for the second. As a convenience, a coin operated laundry is located on the the first floor. There's plenty of off street parking available. Roof is 3-5 years old, each unit has electric baseboard heat that tenants pay. Property has been professionally cleaned and all appliances stay with the property. Property is in need of updating and rents should be raised. The owner has only been responsible for these annual expenses: Homeowner's Insurance $752, County & Municipal Taxes $1,085, School Tax $3,539, Electric $960, Sewer $1,200, Trash $1,120, Water $240. Total Expenses $8,896

  5. 1965-12-08
    soldstatus $11,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,334 · $444/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,353 · $446/mo
Expected delta
+$19/yr (+$2/mo · 0.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,412
− Mortgage interest
−$19,045
− Property taxes
−$5,334
− Insurance
−$1,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,833
− Management
−$2,833
− Depreciation
−$9,891
Taxable loss
−$6,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,494
After-tax cash flow
$1,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elizabethtown Area SD
NCES district ID
4209120
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$59,380
Composite
46.94/100
National rank
#2361
State rank
#123 of 539 in PA

Livability — Elizabethtown

Score
80/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#1759

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lancaster County · 390,309 people
City population
31,908
Metro
Lancaster, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,908
Household income
$86,767
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
1404.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.73%
Current HPI
266.3184
Rent YoY
▲ 6.52%
Metro
Lancaster, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2653.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $329,000 Public Records
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $329,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $340,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-28 Sold (MLS) $237,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-21 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-13 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1965-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $11,950 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $5,334 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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