5636 S Wood Crest Dr #139 · Tucson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-bed, 2-bath condo oasis in the heart of Tucson's Village at Midvale Park! Step into this bright, 1,005 sq. ft. retreat where sunny Arizona living feels effortless. Offers a single-level layout with generous rooms, two full baths, and a private patio perfect for morning coffee under the desert sky. Inside, you'll find a functional floor plan with ample natural light, and a cozy vibe that invites you to make it your own. Covered parking, in-unit laundry hookups, and low-maintenance living mean more time to enjoy the community pool, nearby parks, and quick freeway access to shopping, dining, and downtown Tucson.
Key facts
- Quick freeway access
- Community pool
- Private patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee of $201
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; Single-story
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Built area approximately 1,006
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Borders common area; Paved road maintained by HOA; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric oven; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet with stacked washer/dryer space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($546/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, employment D-.
- Tucson Unified District (4403) (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #190 of 249 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Raul Grijalva Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,022 of 1,109 statewide, top 93%, 533 students, 80% FRL); Pistor Middle School (math 7% / reading 16%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 724 students, 74% FRL); Pueblo High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 1,831 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $123k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.59%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-20,609
- Equity at exit
- $18,340
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-28,019
- Equity at exit
- $10,635
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85746
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,245 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $491/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$201
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $80 | +0% $46 | +5% $11 | +10% $-24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $-4 | +0% $46 | +5% $95 | +10% $144 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $107 | -0.5pp $77 | base $46 | +0.5pp $14 | +1.0pp $-19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5664 S Wood Crest Dr Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5664 S Wood Crest Dr Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1668 W Park Wood Ln Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $995 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1698 W Wood Bridge Ct Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,025 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1686 W Wood Bridge Ct Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1710 W Wood Bridge Ct Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5600 S Midvale Park Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 787 | $1,012 | $1.29 | 3d | 12 | 0.09mi |
| 1616 W Wood Crest Ct Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1594 W Swisher Pl Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1158 | $1,695 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5505 S Mission Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,167 | $1.23 | 3d | 29 | 0.51mi |
| 6060 S Moorheart Pl Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6082 S Birchwood Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,745 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1950 W Burgundy Way Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1950 W Burgundy Way Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,750 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2040 W Nebraska St Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1483 W Flannery Pl Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $1,695 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6250 S Commerce Ct Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 726 | $1,413 | $1.94 | 3d | 9 | 0.84mi |
| 2021 W Menzel Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,599 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 909 W Milton St Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,695 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1970 W Valencia Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 689 | $1,421 | $2.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 842 W Calle Ramona Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,200 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6630 S Avenida Mirella Bonita Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,900 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5740 S Hildreth Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,770 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1983 W Calle Cielo de Oro Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,695 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $201 · $2,412/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $123,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $123,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $123,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $123,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $123,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$123,000 Active
-
1987-12-02soldstatus $41,336
-
1987-12-01soldstatus $41,336
-
1987-12-01soldstatus $41,337
-
1984-03-01soldstatus $44,736
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $491 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $812 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$321/yr (+$27/mo · 65.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$491
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,195
- − Management
- −$1,195
- − HOA
- −$2,412
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable loss
- −$1,434
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$344
- After-tax cash flow
- $890/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tucson Unified District (4403)
- NCES district ID
- 0408800
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,962
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9270
- State rank
- #190 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Tucson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tucson, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 839,336
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,835
- Household income
- $68,903
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1050.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% White 20% Two or more races 16% Native American 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 68% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 46%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.03%
- Current HPI
- 312.2096
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+174.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $123,000 MLSSAZ
- 1987-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $41,336 Public Records
- 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,337 Public Records
- 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,336 Public Records
- 1984-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,736 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $491 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…