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3797 W Morgan Ln
D- Composite 38.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0

$370,000

3797 W Morgan Ln · San Tan Valley, AZ 85144
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 2004 Est $397k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your new home or sweet home away from home awaits with fresh interior & exterior paint, carpet, and a new HVAC - this home is turn key ready for stress free enjoyment. The Great Room floorplan features a split bedroom arrangement; Owners Suite and 3 addtional bedrooms! You'll appreciate all the storage areas, expansive nuetral tile in the hall and walkways, and especially the beautiful granite and stainless steel appliances. Home is perfect north/south oriented with glimpses of the San Tan Mountain in the backyard. Nearby is the heated community pool with lots of parks and walkways in the community. And minutes away is shopping and dining, and the fabulous San Tan Regional Park.

Key facts

  • Newer windows
  • Sliding glass door
  • Upgraded insulation

Tags

UPDATED KITCHEN COUNTERTOPSNEWER WINDOWSSLIDING GLASS DOORUPGRADED INSULATIONBACKYARD FINISHED WITH TURFBACKYARD FINISHED WITH PAVERS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 2004
  • Construction: Single-family residence with 1,520 living area
  • Exterior features: Located in the San Tan Heights subdivision

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-592 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (28.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (45.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (45.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.2% in San Tan Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#282 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Florence Unified School District (4437) (rural): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #178 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,123 (45.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
4.37%
Cash-on-cash
-6.86%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
15.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$396,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3823 W Dancer Ln 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,521 (+0%) 2mo $339,000 $223 93
3830 W Santa Cruz Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,506 (-1%) 2mo $338,000 $224 83
3728 W Carlos Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (-1%) 0mo $329,000 $219 82
3202 W Carlos Ln 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,539 (+1%) 1mo $260,000 $169 77
4041 W Copperleaf Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,615 (+6%) 3mo $374,900 $232 74
35084 N Sacramento Wash Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (+5%) 0mo $457,932 $287 58
3263 W Molino Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (+5%) 1mo $454,903 $285 57
4216 W Erik Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (+3%) 3mo $409,990 $261 55
3655 W Lapis Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (+10%) 0mo $473,000 $283 54
4169 W Erik Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,424 (-6%) 1mo $414,990 $291 53
3342 W Mary Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,687 (+11%) 1mo $439,900 $261 48
4447 W Mountain Laural Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,735 (+14%) 0mo $395,000 $228 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$163,575
Equity at exit
$333,325
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
5.93×
Total profit
$510,978
Equity at exit
$718,829

Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85144

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
15.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,011 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,043/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$-592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,761
Max offer price $265,333
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-383 -5% $-488 +0% $-592 +5% $-697 +10% $-802
Rent -10% $-751 -5% $-672 +0% $-592 +5% $-513 +10% $-434
Rate -1.0pp $-406 -0.5pp $-498 base $-592 +0.5pp $-688 +1.0pp $-786

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,500
Closing costs
$11,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3877 W Naomi Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.5 2010 $1,850 $0.92 5d 1 0.07mi
3569 W Morgan Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1700 $1,550 $0.91 25d 1 0.16mi
3792 W Santa Cruz Ave San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1852 $1,795 $0.97 44d 1 0.19mi
3854 W Carlos Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1527 $1,825 $1.20 5d 1 0.24mi
33889 N Barbara Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1868 $1,975 $1.06 5d 1 0.26mi
33810 N Mercedes Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1504 $1,925 $1.28 44d 1 0.26mi
33993 N Danja Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1998 $2,450 $1.23 44d 1 0.29mi
3541 Dreamy Draw Dr Queen Creek, AZ 4.0 2.5 1918 $2,700 $1.41 25d 1 0.35mi
3809 W Five Mile Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,895 $1.41 5d 1 0.37mi
3439 W Oil Well Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1595 $2,500 $1.57 44d 1 0.39mi
4504 W Stonecrop Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1810 $2,075 $1.15 5d 1 0.44mi
3102 W Belle Ave San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1909 $1,900 $1.00 15d 1 0.47mi
3102 W Belle Ave San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1909 $1,900 $1.00 13d 1 0.47mi
3047 W Dancer Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,915 $1.32 44d 1 0.49mi
35032 N Barrel Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.5 2213 $3,900 $1.76 1d 1 0.49mi
3194 W Yellow Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1925 $1,908 $0.99 44d 1 0.50mi
2993 W Dancer Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,700 $1.32 44d 1 0.53mi
33897 N Wash View Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1721 $1,980 $1.15 3d 1 0.57mi
33948 N Beeblossom Trl San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,850 $1.37 17d 1 0.57mi
2828 Patagonia Ct Queen Creek, AZ 3.0 2.5 2230 $2,500 $1.12 44d 1 0.62mi
33856 N Cherry Creek Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1928 $1,850 $0.96 44d 1 0.62mi
4590 W Foldwing DR Queen Creek, AZ 4.0 2.0 1806 $2,449 $1.36 3d 1 0.66mi
3560 W Mesquite Ave San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,750 $1.20 12d 1 0.71mi
4165 W Monika Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 3.0 2049 $2,450 $1.20 44d 1 0.71mi
3162 W Sunshine Butte Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,850 $1.16 22d 1 0.74mi
2924 W Allens Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1765 $1,955 $1.11 11d 1 0.76mi
2924 W Allens Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1765 $1,880 $1.07 3d 1 0.76mi
33024 N Madison Way Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 15d 1 0.78mi
2574 W Sawtooth Way San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,995 $1.50 44d 1 0.78mi
2822 W Blue River Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1609 $2,395 $1.49 44d 1 0.79mi
3849 W South Butte Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1884 $1,846 $0.98 44d 1 0.82mi
2699 W Camp River Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1766 $1,975 $1.12 44d 1 0.83mi
4287 W Jeanette Ln San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 3.0 2049 $2,450 $1.20 19d 1 0.87mi
34437 N Picket Post Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 3.0 1507 $1,650 $1.09 44d 1 0.89mi
4151 W Goldmine Mountain Dr San Tan Valley, AZ 5.0 3.0 2248 $2,256 $1.00 13d 1 0.89mi
35623 N Seedling St San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1832 $2,000 $1.09 11d 1 0.89mi
35623 N Seedling St San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,450 $1.33 44d 1 0.89mi
4265 W Janie St San Tan Valley, AZ 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,100 $1.14 25d 1 0.92mi
2521 W Desert Spring Way San Tan Valley, AZ 5.0 2.5 2067 $2,175 $1.05 25d 1 0.95mi
2899 W White Canyon Rd San Tan Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1981 $1,950 $0.98 3d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $370,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $370,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $370,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $370,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $370,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $370,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $370,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $370,000 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $370,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $370,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $370,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $370,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $370,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $370,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $370,000 Active 580-char remark
  16. 2024-01-05
    soldstatus $355,000 Closed 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Your new home or sweet home away from home awaits with fresh interior & exterior paint, carpet, and a new HVAC - this home is turn key ready for stress free enjoyment. The Great Room floorplan features a split bedroom arrangement; Owners Suite and 3 addtional bedrooms! You'll appreciate all the storage areas, expansive nuetral tile in the hall and walkways, and especially the beautiful granite and stainless steel appliances. Home is perfect north/south oriented with glimpses of the San Tan Mountain in the backyard. Nearby is the heated community pool with lots of parks and walkways in the community. And minutes away is shopping and dining, and the fabulous San Tan Regional Park.

  17. 2024-01-04
    soldstatus $355,000
  18. 2023-12-14
    status Pending 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Your new home or sweet home away from home awaits with fresh interior & exterior paint, carpet, and a new HVAC - this home is turn key ready for stress free enjoyment. The Great Room floorplan features a split bedroom arrangement; Owners Suite and 3 addtional bedrooms! You'll appreciate all the storage areas, expansive nuetral tile in the hall and walkways, and especially the beautiful granite and stainless steel appliances. Home is perfect north/south oriented with glimpses of the San Tan Mountain in the backyard. Nearby is the heated community pool with lots of parks and walkways in the community. And minutes away is shopping and dining, and the fabulous San Tan Regional Park.

  19. 2023-12-01
    price $359,900 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Your new home or sweet home away from home awaits with fresh interior & exterior paint, carpet, and a new HVAC - this home is turn key ready for stress free enjoyment. The Great Room floorplan features a split bedroom arrangement; Owners Suite and 3 addtional bedrooms! You'll appreciate all the storage areas, expansive nuetral tile in the hall and walkways, and especially the beautiful granite and stainless steel appliances. Home is perfect north/south oriented with glimpses of the San Tan Mountain in the backyard. Nearby is the heated community pool with lots of parks and walkways in the community. And minutes away is shopping and dining, and the fabulous San Tan Regional Park.

  20. 2023-10-24
    listed $365,000 Active 697-char remark
    Show marketing remark (697 chars)

    Your new home or sweet home away from home awaits with fresh interior & exterior paint, carpet, and a new HVAC - this home is turn key ready for stress free enjoyment. The Great Room floorplan features a split bedroom arrangement; Owners Suite and 3 addtional bedrooms! You'll appreciate all the storage areas, expansive nuetral tile in the hall and walkways, and especially the beautiful granite and stainless steel appliances. Home is perfect north/south oriented with glimpses of the San Tan Mountain in the backyard. Nearby is the heated community pool with lots of parks and walkways in the community. And minutes away is shopping and dining, and the fabulous San Tan Regional Park.

  21. 2011-07-12
    soldstatus $73,100 Closed
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Nice property in popular Skyline Ranch. Home is on an interior lot, with North-South exposure. Nicely appointed home, with good split floor plan. Home has large great room, opening to eat in kitchen. Master bedroom at the rear of the home, and 3 bedrooms on opposite side, all on single level. Low maintenance landscaping on front and back. Home is clean and move in ready! FNMA promo is back Owner Occ Buyer to Receive 3.5% of purchase price Towards closing costs with all offers accepted and closed by June 30. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! Prop may be approved for HomePath Mortgage & HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing. Investors purchase More properties with lwr dwn payment req. No MI & No Appraisal Required.

  22. 2011-06-20
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Nice property in popular Skyline Ranch. Home is on an interior lot, with North-South exposure. Nicely appointed home, with good split floor plan. Home has large great room, opening to eat in kitchen. Master bedroom at the rear of the home, and 3 bedrooms on opposite side, all on single level. Low maintenance landscaping on front and back. Home is clean and move in ready! FNMA promo is back Owner Occ Buyer to Receive 3.5% of purchase price Towards closing costs with all offers accepted and closed by June 30. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! Prop may be approved for HomePath Mortgage & HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing. Investors purchase More properties with lwr dwn payment req. No MI & No Appraisal Required.

  23. 2011-06-20
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Nice property in popular Skyline Ranch. Home is on an interior lot, with North-South exposure. Nicely appointed home, with good split floor plan. Home has large great room, opening to eat in kitchen. Master bedroom at the rear of the home, and 3 bedrooms on opposite side, all on single level. Low maintenance landscaping on front and back. Home is clean and move in ready! FNMA promo is back Owner Occ Buyer to Receive 3.5% of purchase price Towards closing costs with all offers accepted and closed by June 30. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! Prop may be approved for HomePath Mortgage & HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing. Investors purchase More properties with lwr dwn payment req. No MI & No Appraisal Required.

  24. 2011-06-09
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Nice property in popular Skyline Ranch. Home is on an interior lot, with North-South exposure. Nicely appointed home, with good split floor plan. Home has large great room, opening to eat in kitchen. Master bedroom at the rear of the home, and 3 bedrooms on opposite side, all on single level. Low maintenance landscaping on front and back. Home is clean and move in ready! FNMA promo is back Owner Occ Buyer to Receive 3.5% of purchase price Towards closing costs with all offers accepted and closed by June 30. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! Prop may be approved for HomePath Mortgage & HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing. Investors purchase More properties with lwr dwn payment req. No MI & No Appraisal Required.

  25. 2011-05-16
    listed $71,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (747 chars)

    Nice property in popular Skyline Ranch. Home is on an interior lot, with North-South exposure. Nicely appointed home, with good split floor plan. Home has large great room, opening to eat in kitchen. Master bedroom at the rear of the home, and 3 bedrooms on opposite side, all on single level. Low maintenance landscaping on front and back. Home is clean and move in ready! FNMA promo is back Owner Occ Buyer to Receive 3.5% of purchase price Towards closing costs with all offers accepted and closed by June 30. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down! Prop may be approved for HomePath Mortgage & HomePath Renovation Mortgage Financing. Investors purchase More properties with lwr dwn payment req. No MI & No Appraisal Required.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,043 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,442 · $204/mo
Expected delta
+$1,399/yr (+$117/mo · 134.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,135
− Mortgage interest
−$20,726
− Property taxes
−$1,043
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,931
− Management
−$1,931
− Depreciation
−$10,764
Taxable loss
−$14,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,386
After-tax cash flow
$-3,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence Unified School District (4437)
NCES district ID
0402920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$54,426
Composite
18.31/100
National rank
#8950
State rank
#178 of 249 in AZ

Livability — San Tan Valley

Score
54/100
State rank
#282
US rank
#24192

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Tan Valley, AZ

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 24.94%
Current HPI
372.52
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+417.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $370,000 FSBO.com
  • 2024-01-05 Sold (MLS) $355,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $355,000 Public Records
  • 2023-12-14 Pending ARMLS
  • 2023-12-01 Price Changed $359,900 ARMLS
  • 2023-10-24 Listed $365,000 ARMLS
  • 2011-07-12 Sold (MLS) $73,100 ARMLS
  • 2011-06-20 Pending ARMLS
  • 2011-06-20 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2011-06-09 Pending ARMLS
  • 2011-05-16 Listed $71,500 ARMLS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,043 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…