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1559 Larkmore Ln
C- Composite 54.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1559 Larkmore Ln · Grass Lake, MI 49240
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,836 sqft · Other · 17 Days on market
Built 2001 39 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come live at Andover! This home and yard have been immaculately maintained for more than 20 years. Lots of space for relaxing and entertaining with over 1800 square feet and an attached two car garage. The open field adjacent to the home is great for watching wildlife while enjoying peace and quiet on your covered porch. New roof in 2020 New AC in 2024 New appliances in 2021 New water heater in 2024

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • New water heater
  • New appliances

Tags

COVERED PORCHNEW ROOFNEW ACNEW APPLIANCESNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2001
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone roof; Built in 2001
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Approximately 38.59 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Gas log fireplace; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (4.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.9% in Grass Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Grass Lake Community Schools (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #146 of 540 in MI (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $129,500 (4.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.21%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,470
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$11,865
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49240

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,295 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $380/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,007
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $265 +0% $227 +5% $189 +10% $151
Rent -10% $125 -5% $176 +0% $227 +5% $278 +10% $329
Rate -1.0pp $295 -0.5pp $262 base $227 +0.5pp $192 +1.0pp $157

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 E Michigan Ave Grass Lake, MI 2.0 1.5 1496 $1,295 $0.87 22d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    remarks 402-char remark
  14. 2026-06-05
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$380 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,229 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$850/yr (+$71/mo · 223.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,540
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$380
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,243
− Management
−$1,243
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$122
After-tax cash flow
$2,604/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grass Lake Community Schools
NCES district ID
2616830
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$65,842
Composite
38.45/100
National rank
#4193
State rank
#146 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grass Lake

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,206

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.27%
Current HPI
283.3744
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $380 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…