107 Richmond Rd · Front Royal, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious in-town living with mountain views, stunning sunsets, twinkling town lights & over three finished levels — now at a jaw-dropping new price! Great location for a possible Short Term Rental! Quite possibly the best value of the year for a 3 bed (plus guest room)/3 full bath offering a rec room, living room, formal dining room, family room and eat-in kitchen--views too!Solid, spacious, and full of potential—this all-brick Cape Cod (with mountain views) offers over 2,500+ finished square feet in a location that’s hard to beat. It even offers in-law apartment potential in the fully finished lower level that can be accessed from the oversized 1-car garage. Set among mature oak trees, the lot is naturally shaded and requires little maintenance. Enjoy refreshing mountain views, twinkling town lights of Front Royal at night and incredible sunsets off the rear. The property also sits next to a town-owned parcel, providing a natural buffer and added privacy. There is an existing deck accessed by sliding doors from the family room—ready to be reimagined into a new outdoor space that takes full advantage of the tree-house-like setting. Inside, the home offers a traditional and functional layout including a formal living room (20x12), formal dining room (13x10), main-level family room (19x11), and lower-level recreation room (25x12). The foyer opens to a classic staircase, with a large living room to the right featuring a faux fireplace. From there, double doors lead to the dining room, complete with chair railing, crown molding, and dimmer lighting, along with a pocket door to the kitchen. The kitchen offers great cabinet and counter space, an eat-in area, room for a future island, and a lovely mountain view from the sink. Appliances include a microwave, smooth top range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Just off the kitchen is a welcoming family room with a wood burning fireplace, brick mantle, built-in shelving, and sliding doors to what can become a future new deck. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The owner’s suite has private access to a full bath (also accessible from the hall), and the additional bedrooms are nicely sized with ceiling fans. A second full hall bath serves the 2nd and 3rd bedrooms. The lower level adds flexibility with a recreation room featuring built-in shelving, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a guest room (not a legal bedroom due to window size) that could work well as an in-law or guest suite, especially with level entry from the garage. The deep one-car garage (28x12) includes an opener and additional storage space. Freezer, washer, and dryer all convey. A woodstove is present but not currently hooked up. Location is exceptional—just 2 minutes to shopping, 1 mile to historic downtown Front Royal, 2 miles to the Shenandoah River, National Park and Skyline Drive, five minutes to the high school, one mile to both elementary and middle schools, and just over 5 easy minutes to I-66 (Exit 13 – Linden). The home will require updates including drywall repair, paint, flooring throughout, and kitchen/bath improvements—but offers great bones, a flexible layout, and a setting that’s hard to replicate. Sellers are offering a closing cost credit that can be applied toward flooring, painting, or buyer closing costs. FYI roof was replaced May 2021.There’s something special about this house– words and photos don’t do it justice. Take your tour and feel the love inside for yourself (sellers have made memories here for 44+ years)!
Key facts
- Mature oak trees
- Built-in shelving
- Mountain views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-315 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $294k (15.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (34.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.1% in Front Royal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#162 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living B+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
- Warren County Public School District (town): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #70 of 131 in VA (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Leslie Fox Keyser Elementary (math 51% / reading 62%, grade C+, #630 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 496 students, 66% FRL); Warren County High (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 833 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 34% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 56% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Warren County Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 170 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.85%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $412,918
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -15.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Gloucester Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 2,216 (-9%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $176 | 74 |
| 31 Westminster Dr | 0.37mi | 3/3.5 | 2,328 (-4%) | 3mo | $489,000 | $210 | 71 |
| 152 Richmond Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 2,174 (-11%) | 8mo | $395,000 | $182 | 64 |
| 110 Jamestown Rd | 0.21mi | 3/3.0 | 2,150 (-12%) | 9mo | $470,000 | $219 | 63 |
| 909 William St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 2,430 (-0%) | 14mo | $375,000 | $154 | 62 |
| 713 Campbell Cir | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 | 2,185 (-10%) | 2mo | $422,000 | $193 | 59 |
| 30 Westminster Dr | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,168 (-11%) | 3mo | $420,000 | $194 | 55 |
| 310 Henrico Rd | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 2,796 (+15%) | 5mo | $480,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 989 S Marshall St | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 | 2,643 (+8%) | 8mo | $445,000 | $168 | 54 |
| 200 Washington Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 2,444 (+0%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $135 | 50 |
| 321 Blue Ridge Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,672 (+10%) | 15mo | $345,000 | $129 | 34 |
| 500 Hamilton Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,753 (+13%) | 13mo | $339,000 | $123 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-64,686
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-27,128
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 22630
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,310 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $-315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-117 | -5% $-216 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-414 | +10% $-513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-497 | -5% $-406 | +0% $-315 | +5% $-223 | +10% $-132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-138 | -0.5pp $-226 | base $-315 | +0.5pp $-405 | +1.0pp $-498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Gloucester Rd Front Royal, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2307 | $3,000 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-14price $350,000 3606-char remark
Show marketing remark (3606 chars)
Spacious in-town living with mountain views, stunning sunsets, twinkling town lights & over three finished levels — now at a jaw-dropping new price! Great location for a possible Short Term Rental! Quite possibly the best value of the year for a 3 bed (plus guest room)/3 full bath offering a rec room, living room, formal dining room, family room and eat-in kitchen--views too!Solid, spacious, and full of potential—this all-brick Cape Cod (with mountain views) offers over 2,500+ finished square feet in a location that’s hard to beat. It even offers in-law apartment potential in the fully finished lower level that can be accessed from the oversized 1-car garage. Set among mature oak trees, the lot is naturally shaded and requires little maintenance. Enjoy refreshing mountain views, twinkling town lights of Front Royal at night and incredible sunsets off the rear. The property also sits next to a town-owned parcel, providing a natural buffer and added privacy. There is an existing deck accessed by sliding doors from the family room—ready to be reimagined into a new outdoor space that takes full advantage of the tree-house-like setting. Inside, the home offers a traditional and functional layout including a formal living room (20x12), formal dining room (13x10), main-level family room (19x11), and lower-level recreation room (25x12). The foyer opens to a classic staircase, with a large living room to the right featuring a faux fireplace. From there, double doors lead to the dining room, complete with chair railing, crown molding, and dimmer lighting, along with a pocket door to the kitchen. The kitchen offers great cabinet and counter space, an eat-in area, room for a future island, and a lovely mountain view from the sink. Appliances include a microwave, smooth top range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Just off the kitchen is a welcoming family room with a wood burning fireplace, brick mantle, built-in shelving, and sliding doors to what can become a future new deck. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The owner’s suite has private access to a full bath (also accessible from the hall), and the additional bedrooms are nicely sized with ceiling fans. A second full hall bath serves the 2nd and 3rd bedrooms. The lower level adds flexibility with a recreation room featuring built-in shelving, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a guest room (not a legal bedroom due to window size) that could work well as an in-law or guest suite, especially with level entry from the garage. The deep one-car garage (28x12) includes an opener and additional storage space. Freezer, washer, and dryer all convey. A woodstove is present but not currently hooked up. Location is exceptional—just 2 minutes to shopping, 1 mile to historic downtown Front Royal, 2 miles to the Shenandoah River, National Park and Skyline Drive, five minutes to the high school, one mile to both elementary and middle schools, and just over 5 easy minutes to I-66 (Exit 13 – Linden). The home will require updates including drywall repair, paint, flooring throughout, and kitchen/bath improvements—but offers great bones, a flexible layout, and a setting that’s hard to replicate. Sellers are offering a closing cost credit that can be applied toward flooring, painting, or buyer closing costs. FYI roof was replaced May 2021.There’s something special about this house– words and photos don’t do it justice. Take your tour and feel the love inside for yourself (sellers have made memories here for 44+ years)!
-
2026-04-23price $375,000 3606-char remark
Show marketing remark (3606 chars)
Spacious in-town living with mountain views, stunning sunsets, twinkling town lights & over three finished levels — now at a jaw-dropping new price! Great location for a possible Short Term Rental! Quite possibly the best value of the year for a 3 bed (plus guest room)/3 full bath offering a rec room, living room, formal dining room, family room and eat-in kitchen--views too!Solid, spacious, and full of potential—this all-brick Cape Cod (with mountain views) offers over 2,500+ finished square feet in a location that’s hard to beat. It even offers in-law apartment potential in the fully finished lower level that can be accessed from the oversized 1-car garage. Set among mature oak trees, the lot is naturally shaded and requires little maintenance. Enjoy refreshing mountain views, twinkling town lights of Front Royal at night and incredible sunsets off the rear. The property also sits next to a town-owned parcel, providing a natural buffer and added privacy. There is an existing deck accessed by sliding doors from the family room—ready to be reimagined into a new outdoor space that takes full advantage of the tree-house-like setting. Inside, the home offers a traditional and functional layout including a formal living room (20x12), formal dining room (13x10), main-level family room (19x11), and lower-level recreation room (25x12). The foyer opens to a classic staircase, with a large living room to the right featuring a faux fireplace. From there, double doors lead to the dining room, complete with chair railing, crown molding, and dimmer lighting, along with a pocket door to the kitchen. The kitchen offers great cabinet and counter space, an eat-in area, room for a future island, and a lovely mountain view from the sink. Appliances include a microwave, smooth top range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Just off the kitchen is a welcoming family room with a wood burning fireplace, brick mantle, built-in shelving, and sliding doors to what can become a future new deck. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The owner’s suite has private access to a full bath (also accessible from the hall), and the additional bedrooms are nicely sized with ceiling fans. A second full hall bath serves the 2nd and 3rd bedrooms. The lower level adds flexibility with a recreation room featuring built-in shelving, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a guest room (not a legal bedroom due to window size) that could work well as an in-law or guest suite, especially with level entry from the garage. The deep one-car garage (28x12) includes an opener and additional storage space. Freezer, washer, and dryer all convey. A woodstove is present but not currently hooked up. Location is exceptional—just 2 minutes to shopping, 1 mile to historic downtown Front Royal, 2 miles to the Shenandoah River, National Park and Skyline Drive, five minutes to the high school, one mile to both elementary and middle schools, and just over 5 easy minutes to I-66 (Exit 13 – Linden). The home will require updates including drywall repair, paint, flooring throughout, and kitchen/bath improvements—but offers great bones, a flexible layout, and a setting that’s hard to replicate. Sellers are offering a closing cost credit that can be applied toward flooring, painting, or buyer closing costs. FYI roof was replaced May 2021.There’s something special about this house– words and photos don’t do it justice. Take your tour and feel the love inside for yourself (sellers have made memories here for 44+ years)!
-
2026-03-27$399,999 Active 3606-char remark
Show marketing remark (3606 chars)
Spacious in-town living with mountain views, stunning sunsets, twinkling town lights & over three finished levels — now at a jaw-dropping new price! Great location for a possible Short Term Rental! Quite possibly the best value of the year for a 3 bed (plus guest room)/3 full bath offering a rec room, living room, formal dining room, family room and eat-in kitchen--views too!Solid, spacious, and full of potential—this all-brick Cape Cod (with mountain views) offers over 2,500+ finished square feet in a location that’s hard to beat. It even offers in-law apartment potential in the fully finished lower level that can be accessed from the oversized 1-car garage. Set among mature oak trees, the lot is naturally shaded and requires little maintenance. Enjoy refreshing mountain views, twinkling town lights of Front Royal at night and incredible sunsets off the rear. The property also sits next to a town-owned parcel, providing a natural buffer and added privacy. There is an existing deck accessed by sliding doors from the family room—ready to be reimagined into a new outdoor space that takes full advantage of the tree-house-like setting. Inside, the home offers a traditional and functional layout including a formal living room (20x12), formal dining room (13x10), main-level family room (19x11), and lower-level recreation room (25x12). The foyer opens to a classic staircase, with a large living room to the right featuring a faux fireplace. From there, double doors lead to the dining room, complete with chair railing, crown molding, and dimmer lighting, along with a pocket door to the kitchen. The kitchen offers great cabinet and counter space, an eat-in area, room for a future island, and a lovely mountain view from the sink. Appliances include a microwave, smooth top range, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Just off the kitchen is a welcoming family room with a wood burning fireplace, brick mantle, built-in shelving, and sliding doors to what can become a future new deck. Upstairs, there are three bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The owner’s suite has private access to a full bath (also accessible from the hall), and the additional bedrooms are nicely sized with ceiling fans. A second full hall bath serves the 2nd and 3rd bedrooms. The lower level adds flexibility with a recreation room featuring built-in shelving, a full bathroom, laundry area, and a guest room (not a legal bedroom due to window size) that could work well as an in-law or guest suite, especially with level entry from the garage. The deep one-car garage (28x12) includes an opener and additional storage space. Freezer, washer, and dryer all convey. A woodstove is present but not currently hooked up. Location is exceptional—just 2 minutes to shopping, 1 mile to historic downtown Front Royal, 2 miles to the Shenandoah River, National Park and Skyline Drive, five minutes to the high school, one mile to both elementary and middle schools, and just over 5 easy minutes to I-66 (Exit 13 – Linden). The home will require updates including drywall repair, paint, flooring throughout, and kitchen/bath improvements—but offers great bones, a flexible layout, and a setting that’s hard to replicate. Sellers are offering a closing cost credit that can be applied toward flooring, painting, or buyer closing costs. FYI roof was replaced May 2021.There’s something special about this house– words and photos don’t do it justice. Take your tour and feel the love inside for yourself (sellers have made memories here for 44+ years)!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,900 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,870 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- +$970/yr (+$81/mo · 51.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$1,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,218
- − Management
- −$2,218
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$10,152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,437
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,504
- Composite
- 49.22/100
- National rank
- #2039
- State rank
- #70 of 131 in VA
Livability — Front Royal
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #162
- US rank
- #5050
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Front Royal, VA
- County
- Warren County · 35,615 people
- City population
- 35,615
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,615
- Household income
- $84,631
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 460.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,045 people
- By 2030
- 43,257 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 45,088 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 45,567 · +8.4%
- By 2075
- 46,081 · +9.6%
- By 2100
- 42,093 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.6% · R 68.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+35.3 2016: R+37.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.82%
- Current HPI
- 319.8136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.30%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-12.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $399,999 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,900 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…