4603 Flatlick Branch Dr · Chantilly, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$559,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!
Key facts
- $100 HOA
- Built 2000
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Quarterly HOA with amenities including common grounds, jog/walk path, tennis courts, tot lots/playground and other community features; HOA fee $299 quarterly
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Effective year renovated 2020; Originally built (assessor source)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Other above- and below-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on upper level; One bedroom on main level; Master Bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 1
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level); One half bathroom on an upper level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Living Room; Dining Room; Breakfast Room; Utility Room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $560k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-307 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $506k (9.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $436k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $436k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in Chantilly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#66 in VA, #2,106 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Fairfax County Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #13 of 131 in VA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Poplar Tree Elementary (math 92% / reading 95%, grade A+, #3 of 1,108 statewide, top 0%, 671 students, 10% FRL); Rocky Run Middle (math 85% / reading 92%, grade A+, #5 of 342 statewide, top 1%, 936 students, 19% FRL); Chantilly High (math 68% / reading 72%, grade B+, #151 of 319 statewide, top 49%, 2,937 students, 20% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 67% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Fairfax County Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,861 units permitted in Fairfax County in 2024 (1,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($158k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfax County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.35%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $575,035
- List price
- $559,900
- Delta
- -2.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4603 Flatlick Branch Dr | 0.00mi | 5/2.5 | 1,580 (0%) | 0mo | $570,000 | $361 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-108,806
- Equity at exit
- $83,483
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-113,918
- Equity at exit
- $48,410
Cash invested: $156,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20151
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,936
- Tax from tax record
- −$480 /mo · $5,764/yr
- Insurance
- −$233
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$915
- Net cashflow
- $-307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $10 | -5% $-148 | +0% $-307 | +5% $-465 | +10% $-623 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-651 | -5% $-479 | +0% $-307 | +5% $-134 | +10% $38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-25 | -0.5pp $-164 | base $-307 | +0.5pp $-452 | +1.0pp $-599 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $139,975
- Closing costs
- $16,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14566 Lake Vista Dr Chantilly, VA | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1760 | $3,850 | $2.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4217 Kincaid Ct Chantilly, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1507 | $3,800 | $2.52 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4005 Lees Corner Rd Chantilly, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1816 | $4,500 | $2.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-27historical $559,900 1954-char remark
-
2020-08-13soldstatus $395,000
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2020-08-13soldstatus $395,000
-
2020-08-12soldstatus $395,000 Closed 1084-char remark
Show marketing remark (1084 chars)
FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!
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2020-07-13historical Active Under Contract 1084-char remark
Show marketing remark (1084 chars)
FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!
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2020-07-06price $410,000 1084-char remark
Show marketing remark (1084 chars)
FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!
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2020-06-14price $419,999 1084-char remark
Show marketing remark (1084 chars)
FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!
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2020-06-05$429,999 Active 1084-char remark
Show marketing remark (1084 chars)
FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!
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2020-03-25price $429,999
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2020-03-25historical
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2020-03-19price $399,999
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2020-03-04$410,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,764 · $480/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,764 · $480/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,363
- − Property taxes
- −$5,764
- − Insurance
- −$2,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,184
- − Management
- −$4,184
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$16,288
- Taxable loss
- −$13,480
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $-443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfax County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101260
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $110,238
- Composite
- 62.59/100
- National rank
- #679
- State rank
- #13 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chantilly
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2106
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chantilly, VA
- County
- Fairfax County · 1,104,456 people
- City population
- 59,284
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,610
- Household income
- $158,271
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 291.0
Population outlook (Fairfax County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,237,259 people
- By 2030
- 1,277,758 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,346,508 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 1,397,919 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 1,493,100 · +20.7%
- By 2100
- 1,465,712 · +18.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 37% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfax
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.0) · D 66.1% · R 31.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.8pp toward D · 2008: 21.2pp · 2024: 35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.0 2020: D+41.9 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+19.8 2008: D+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.61%
- Current HPI
- 313.472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.33%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+39.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $570,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $559,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $559,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-12 Sold (MLS) $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-13 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-06 Price Changed $410,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-14 Price Changed $419,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-06-05 Listed $429,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-25 Price Changed $429,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-19 Price Changed $399,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-04 Listed $410,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,764 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…