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4603 Flatlick Branch Dr
D Composite 40.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.7/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$559,900

4603 Flatlick Branch Dr · Chantilly, VA 20151
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,580 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 2000 842 sqft lot $354/sqft · at area comps Est $575k · at est. $100/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!

Key facts

  • $100 HOA
  • Built 2000
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Quarterly HOA with amenities including common grounds, jog/walk path, tennis courts, tot lots/playground and other community features; HOA fee $299 quarterly

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Effective year renovated 2020; Originally built (assessor source)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Other above- and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on upper level; One bedroom on main level; Master Bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 1
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level); One half bathroom on an upper level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Living Room; Dining Room; Breakfast Room; Utility Room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $560k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-307 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $506k (9.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $436k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $436k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in Chantilly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#66 in VA, #2,106 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Fairfax County Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #13 of 131 in VA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Poplar Tree Elementary (math 92% / reading 95%, grade A+, #3 of 1,108 statewide, top 0%, 671 students, 10% FRL); Rocky Run Middle (math 85% / reading 92%, grade A+, #5 of 342 statewide, top 1%, 936 students, 19% FRL); Chantilly High (math 68% / reading 72%, grade B+, #151 of 319 statewide, top 49%, 2,937 students, 20% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 67% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Fairfax County Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,861 units permitted in Fairfax County in 2024 (1,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($158k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fairfax County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $435,855 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$575,035
List price
$559,900
Delta
-2.63%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4603 Flatlick Branch Dr 0.00mi 5/2.5 1,580 (0%) 0mo $570,000 $361 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-108,806
Equity at exit
$83,483
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-113,918
Equity at exit
$48,410

Cash invested: $156,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 20151

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,359 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,936
Tax from tax record
$480 /mo · $5,764/yr
Insurance
$233
HOA
$100
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$915
Net cashflow
$-307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,747
Max offer price $505,752
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $10 -5% $-148 +0% $-307 +5% $-465 +10% $-623
Rent -10% $-651 -5% $-479 +0% $-307 +5% $-134 +10% $38
Rate -1.0pp $-25 -0.5pp $-164 base $-307 +0.5pp $-452 +1.0pp $-599

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$139,975
Closing costs
$16,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14566 Lake Vista Dr Chantilly, VA 4.0 4.5 1760 $3,850 $2.19 0d 1 0.84mi
4217 Kincaid Ct Chantilly, VA 4.0 3.0 1507 $3,800 $2.52 12d 1 1.04mi
4005 Lees Corner Rd Chantilly, VA 4.0 2.5 1816 $4,500 $2.48 45d 1 1.28mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$100 · $1,200/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    historical $559,900 1954-char remark
  2. 2020-08-13
    soldstatus $395,000
  3. 2020-08-13
    soldstatus $395,000
  4. 2020-08-12
    soldstatus $395,000 Closed 1084-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!

  5. 2020-07-13
    historical Active Under Contract 1084-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!

  6. 2020-07-06
    price $410,000 1084-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!

  7. 2020-06-14
    price $419,999 1084-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!

  8. 2020-06-05
    listed $429,999 Active 1084-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    FURTHER PRICE REDUCTION FOR SUPER QUICK SALE! BRING IN ALL OFFERS. NEW NEW NEW!! COMPLETELY RENOVATED FROM TOP TO BOTTOM IN MAY 2020 WITH 30K UPGRADES!! BRAND NEW 5" LUXURIOUS ENGINEERED HARDWOOD ON THE ENTIRE MAIN LEVEL, ENTRANCE FOYER & STAIRS WITH 30 YEAR WARRANTY, BRAND NEW CARPET, FULLY REMODELED BATHS WITH CERAMIC FLOOR & SHOWER WALLS TILES, VANITY & SINK, MIRRORS, BRONZE SHOWER HEADS & FAUCETS, PORCELAIN ENAMELED STEEL BATHTUB & GLASS SHOWER DOOR! AHHH WAIT THERE IS MORE. .. !!!FRESH PAINT ALL THROUGHOUT, NEW HVAC (APRIL 2020) WITH 10 YEAR WARRANTY! FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH NEWLY INSTALLED CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, BACKSPLASH, SINK & BRAND NEW MICROWAVE. NEWLY INSTALLED RECESSED LIGHTS, PENDANTS, CHANDELIER! OTHER ADDITIONAL NEW UPGRADES INCLUDE CROWN MOLDING, NEW WINDOW SCREENS, BLINDS, SMOKE DETECTORS, SWITCHES, OUTLETS, FACEPLATES ALL THROUGHOUT THE HOUSE! POWER WASHED TO SPARKLING CLEAN! LOCATED RIGHT ACROSS TO CHANTILLY WEGMANS, MINUTES TO MAJOR ROUTES - I-66, DC, RESTAURANTS, COSTCO & SUPER CENTERS!

  9. 2020-03-25
    price $429,999
  10. 2020-03-25
    historical
  11. 2020-03-19
    price $399,999
  12. 2020-03-04
    listed $410,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,764 · $480/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,764 · $480/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,303
− Mortgage interest
−$31,363
− Property taxes
−$5,764
− Insurance
−$2,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,184
− Management
−$4,184
− HOA
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$16,288
Taxable loss
−$13,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,235
After-tax cash flow
$-443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairfax County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101260
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$110,238
Composite
62.59/100
National rank
#679
State rank
#13 of 131 in VA

Livability — Chantilly

Score
79/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2106

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chantilly, VA
County
Fairfax County · 1,104,456 people
City population
59,284
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
22,610
Household income
$158,271
Rent vs Own
19.0% rent · 81.0% own
Severe rent burden
291.0

Population outlook (Fairfax County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,237,259 people
By 2030
1,277,758 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,346,508 · +8.8%
By 2050
1,397,919 · +13.0%
By 2075
1,493,100 · +20.7%
By 2100
1,465,712 · +18.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 37% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Fairfax

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.0) · D 66.1% · R 31.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+13.8pp toward D · 2008: 21.2pp · 2024: 35.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.0 2020: D+41.9 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+19.8 2008: D+21.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -262.61%
Current HPI
313.472
Rent YoY
▲ 3.33%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $570,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $559,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $559,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-12 Sold (MLS) $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-07-13 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-07-06 Price Changed $410,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-14 Price Changed $419,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-06-05 Listed $429,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-25 Price Changed $429,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-19 Price Changed $399,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-04 Listed $410,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,764 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…