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926 Mountain View Rd
F Composite 31.03
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,200

926 Mountain View Rd · Johnson City, TN 37601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1966 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom brick ranch style home in the heart of Johnson City. This home is in a great location, less than 10 minutes away from shopping, hospitals, restaurants and everything else that Johnson City has to offer. This home has everything you need plus a finished basement space. The two car garage space in the basement has been finished out and can be opened back up if desired. There is a great covered back porch and a great storage or workshop area. Book your showing today! All information herein was obtained from reliable resources. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify information.

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • New roof and gutters
  • Brick ranch

Tags

BRICK RANCHFINISHED SPACE IN BASEMENTCOVERED BACK PORCHNEW ROOF AND GUTTERSNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 85.85 x 175 (irregular)
  • HOA & community: Association provides landscaping

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with asphalt surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Located in Bowman Add subdivision; Zoning: R 2
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Built with a foundation and partially below-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Level topography; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Stone
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Partially finished basement with exterior entry; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-303 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (23.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (40.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.1% in Johnson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#8 in TN, #3,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
  • Johnson City (urban): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #9 of 139 in TN (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Ridge Elementary (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B-, #67 of 952 statewide, top 7%, 627 students, 0% FRL); Indian Trail Middle School (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #28 of 333 statewide, top 8%, 808 students, 0% FRL); Science Hill High School (math 37% / reading 60%, grade D, #13 of 332 statewide, top 4%, 2,401 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,155 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (437 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,843 (40.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.77%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
14.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.5%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-53,329
Equity at exit
$33,578
10-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-60,719
Equity at exit
$19,471

Cash invested: $63,056 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37601

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
209
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,338 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,181
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,030/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$-303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,722
Max offer price $171,624
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-176 -5% $-240 +0% $-303 +5% $-367 +10% $-431
Rent -10% $-409 -5% $-356 +0% $-303 +5% $-250 +10% $-198
Rate -1.0pp $-190 -0.5pp $-246 base $-303 +0.5pp $-362 +1.0pp $-421

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,300
Closing costs
$6,756
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3500 Timberlake Rd Unit 3504-4 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,050 $0.88 45d 1 0.20mi
3914 Timberlake Rd Unit 1 Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 45d 1 0.40mi
3918 Timberlake Rd Unit 17 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1100 $985 $0.90 45d 1 0.44mi
414 E Mountain View Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0–1.5 965 $1,238 $1.28 15d 1 0.76mi
606 Pine Ridge Rd Johnson City, TN 3.0 1.5 1160 $2,000 $1.72 45d 1 0.87mi
139 Rowe Ln Apt 2 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 22d 1 0.93mi
1301 Cobblestone Ct Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 15d 1 1.16mi
308 Carmol Dr #12 Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 1472 $1,550 $1.05 15d 1 1.29mi
300 Car-Mol Dr Unit 3 Johnson City, TN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 45d 1 1.34mi
176 S Austin Springs Rd Johnson City, TN 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,550 $1.47 15d 1 1.41mi
2614 Mimosa Ln Johnson City, TN 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,000 $1.41 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-19
    listed $225,200 Active
  3. 2022-04-26
    soldstatus $200,000
  4. 2022-04-22
    soldstatus $200,000 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Come check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom brick ranch style home in the heart of Johnson City. This home is in a great location, less than 10 minutes away from shopping, hospitals, restaurants and everything else that Johnson City has to offer. This home has everything you need plus a finished basement space. The two car garage space in the basement has been finished out and can be opened back up if desired. There is a great covered back porch and a great storage or workshop area. Book your showing today! All information herein was obtained from reliable resources. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify information.

  5. 2022-03-17
    listed $215,000 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Come check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom brick ranch style home in the heart of Johnson City. This home is in a great location, less than 10 minutes away from shopping, hospitals, restaurants and everything else that Johnson City has to offer. This home has everything you need plus a finished basement space. The two car garage space in the basement has been finished out and can be opened back up if desired. There is a great covered back porch and a great storage or workshop area. Book your showing today! All information herein was obtained from reliable resources. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify information.

  6. 2015-07-21
    soldstatus $100,000
  7. 2015-07-17
    soldstatus $100,000 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    First time on the market! Only one owner, well maintained Ranch style home. 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main level with eat in kitchen and stack-able laundry in the hall closet that stays with the home. Basement is finished with a full bathroom. Lots of potential in the basement with over 1,000 square feet. Back porch overlooks the large backyard. Gorgeous views from the front and back of the home.

  8. 2015-05-12
    listed $117,000 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    First time on the market! Only one owner, well maintained Ranch style home. 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main level with eat in kitchen and stack-able laundry in the hall closet that stays with the home. Basement is finished with a full bathroom. Lots of potential in the basement with over 1,000 square feet. Back porch overlooks the large backyard. Gorgeous views from the front and back of the home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,030 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$569/yr (+$47/mo · 55.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,061
− Mortgage interest
−$12,615
− Property taxes
−$1,030
− Insurance
−$1,126
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$6,551
Taxable loss
−$7,831
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,879
After-tax cash flow
$-1,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnson City
NCES district ID
4702130
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,514
Composite
38.69/100
National rank
#4143
State rank
#9 of 139 in TN

Livability — Johnson City

Score
76/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#3349

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnson City, TN
County
Washington County · 129,006 people
City population
99,926
Metro
Johnson City, TN
Population (ZIP)
38,008
Household income
$50,686
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
1464.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
132,816 people
By 2030
135,823 · +2.3%
By 2040
140,897 · +6.1%
By 2050
145,073 · +9.2%
By 2075
156,386 · +17.7%
By 2100
159,893 · +20.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.6% · R 69.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-6.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+36.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.16%
Current HPI
290.506
Rent YoY
▲ 4.88%
Metro
Johnson City, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending TVRMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $225,200 TVRMLS
  • 2022-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-22 Sold (MLS) $200,000 TVRMLS
  • 2022-03-17 Listed $215,000 TVRMLS
  • 2015-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2015-07-17 Sold (MLS) $100,000 TVRMLS
  • 2015-05-12 Listed $117,000 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,030 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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