926 Mountain View Rd · Johnson City, TN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom brick ranch style home in the heart of Johnson City. This home is in a great location, less than 10 minutes away from shopping, hospitals, restaurants and everything else that Johnson City has to offer. This home has everything you need plus a finished basement space. The two car garage space in the basement has been finished out and can be opened back up if desired. There is a great covered back porch and a great storage or workshop area. Book your showing today! All information herein was obtained from reliable resources. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify information.
Key facts
- New water heater
- New roof and gutters
- Brick ranch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 85.85 x 175 (irregular)
- HOA & community: Association provides landscaping
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with asphalt surface
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Located in Bowman Add subdivision; Zoning: R 2
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Built with a foundation and partially below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Level topography; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Stone
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Partially finished basement with exterior entry; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-303 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (23.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (40.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.1% in Johnson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#8 in TN, #3,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment F.
- Johnson City (urban): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #9 of 139 in TN (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Ridge Elementary (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B-, #67 of 952 statewide, top 7%, 627 students, 0% FRL); Indian Trail Middle School (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #28 of 333 statewide, top 8%, 808 students, 0% FRL); Science Hill High School (math 37% / reading 60%, grade D, #13 of 332 statewide, top 4%, 2,401 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,155 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (437 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.77%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 14.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-53,329
- Equity at exit
- $33,578
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-60,719
- Equity at exit
- $19,471
Cash invested: $63,056 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37601
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 14.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,338 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,181
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $-303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-176 | -5% $-240 | +0% $-303 | +5% $-367 | +10% $-431 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-409 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-303 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-198 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-190 | -0.5pp $-246 | base $-303 | +0.5pp $-362 | +1.0pp $-421 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,300
- Closing costs
- $6,756
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 Timberlake Rd Unit 3504-4 Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3914 Timberlake Rd Unit 1 Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3918 Timberlake Rd Unit 17 Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $985 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 414 E Mountain View Rd Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 965 | $1,238 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 606 Pine Ridge Rd Johnson City, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 139 Rowe Ln Apt 2 Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1301 Cobblestone Ct Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 308 Carmol Dr #12 Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 300 Car-Mol Dr Unit 3 Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 176 S Austin Springs Rd Johnson City, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2614 Mimosa Ln Johnson City, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-19$225,200 Active
-
2022-04-26soldstatus $200,000
-
2022-04-22soldstatus $200,000 613-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
Come check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom brick ranch style home in the heart of Johnson City. This home is in a great location, less than 10 minutes away from shopping, hospitals, restaurants and everything else that Johnson City has to offer. This home has everything you need plus a finished basement space. The two car garage space in the basement has been finished out and can be opened back up if desired. There is a great covered back porch and a great storage or workshop area. Book your showing today! All information herein was obtained from reliable resources. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify information.
-
2022-03-17$215,000 613-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
Come check out this 3 bedroom 2 bathroom brick ranch style home in the heart of Johnson City. This home is in a great location, less than 10 minutes away from shopping, hospitals, restaurants and everything else that Johnson City has to offer. This home has everything you need plus a finished basement space. The two car garage space in the basement has been finished out and can be opened back up if desired. There is a great covered back porch and a great storage or workshop area. Book your showing today! All information herein was obtained from reliable resources. Buyer/buyer's agent to verify information.
-
2015-07-21soldstatus $100,000
-
2015-07-17soldstatus $100,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
First time on the market! Only one owner, well maintained Ranch style home. 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main level with eat in kitchen and stack-able laundry in the hall closet that stays with the home. Basement is finished with a full bathroom. Lots of potential in the basement with over 1,000 square feet. Back porch overlooks the large backyard. Gorgeous views from the front and back of the home.
-
2015-05-12$117,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
First time on the market! Only one owner, well maintained Ranch style home. 3 bedrooms and 1 bath on the main level with eat in kitchen and stack-able laundry in the hall closet that stays with the home. Basement is finished with a full bathroom. Lots of potential in the basement with over 1,000 square feet. Back porch overlooks the large backyard. Gorgeous views from the front and back of the home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,599 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$569/yr (+$47/mo · 55.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,061
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,615
- − Property taxes
- −$1,030
- − Insurance
- −$1,126
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$6,551
- Taxable loss
- −$7,831
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,879
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnson City
- NCES district ID
- 4702130
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,514
- Composite
- 38.69/100
- National rank
- #4143
- State rank
- #9 of 139 in TN
Livability — Johnson City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #3349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnson City, TN
- County
- Washington County · 129,006 people
- City population
- 99,926
- Metro
- Johnson City, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,008
- Household income
- $50,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1464.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 132,816 people
- By 2030
- 135,823 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 140,897 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 145,073 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 156,386 · +17.7%
- By 2100
- 159,893 · +20.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.6% · R 69.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+36.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.16%
- Current HPI
- 290.506
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Johnson City, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+92.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — TVRMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $225,200 TVRMLS
- 2022-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-22 Sold (MLS) $200,000 TVRMLS
- 2022-03-17 Listed $215,000 TVRMLS
- 2015-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-17 Sold (MLS) $100,000 TVRMLS
- 2015-05-12 Listed $117,000 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,030 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…