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486 State 348 St E
D Composite 44.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0

$144,900

486 State 348 St E · Symsonia, KY 42082
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1900 1.00 ac lot $112/sqft · 49% below area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in ready 3 bedroom 1 bath home a highly desired location in Symsonia. 15 min from Paducah, Mayfield and Benton. With 1 acre lot and beautiful mature flowers and trees. Shop delivers a perfect space for a man cave, or a she shed. This home is ready for family, perfect starter home, or could be retirees dream location. Immaculate concrete driveway just adds to this home.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • 1 acre lot
  • Listed 51 days

Tags

1 ACRE LOTMATURE FLOWERS AND TREES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Gas log fireplace; Basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-233/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (27.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#201 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Symsonia Elementary School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #47 of 676 statewide, top 8%, 369 students, 60% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,719 (27.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$349,900
List price
$144,900
Delta
-58.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,603
Equity at exit
$57,128
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$42,059
Equity at exit
$82,247

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42082

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $412/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$-19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,082
Max offer price $141,477
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $144,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $144,900 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $154,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,900 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,900 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $154,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    price $159,000 376-char remark
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $164,900 Active 376-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$412 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,246 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$834/yr (+$70/mo · 202.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,686
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$412
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,015
− Management
−$1,015
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$2,812
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$675
After-tax cash flow
$442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Graves County
NCES district ID
2102280
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
41.74/100
National rank
#3400
State rank
#10 of 165 in KY

Livability — Symsonia

Score
68/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#9967

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Symsonia, KY
Population (ZIP)
1,961

Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,916 people
By 2030
36,587 · -0.9%
By 2040
35,580 · -3.6%
By 2050
33,906 · -8.2%
By 2075
28,957 · -21.6%
By 2100
21,552 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Graves

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.00%
Current HPI
242.2369
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Price Changed $144,900 WKRMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $154,900 WKRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $159,000 WKRMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $164,900 WKRMLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $412 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…