486 State 348 St E · Symsonia, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in ready 3 bedroom 1 bath home a highly desired location in Symsonia. 15 min from Paducah, Mayfield and Benton. With 1 acre lot and beautiful mature flowers and trees. Shop delivers a perfect space for a man cave, or a she shed. This home is ready for family, perfect starter home, or could be retirees dream location. Immaculate concrete driveway just adds to this home.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- 1 acre lot
- Listed 51 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Gas log fireplace; Basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-233/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (2.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (27.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#201 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Symsonia Elementary School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #47 of 676 statewide, top 8%, 369 students, 60% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.57%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $349,900
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -58.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $8,603
- Equity at exit
- $57,128
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $42,059
- Equity at exit
- $82,247
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42082
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $-19
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $144,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $144,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $154,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $154,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $154,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $159,000 376-char remark
-
2026-04-28$164,900 Active 376-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $412 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,246 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$834/yr (+$70/mo · 202.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,686
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$2,812
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$675
- After-tax cash flow
- $442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graves County
- NCES district ID
- 2102280
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3400
- State rank
- #10 of 165 in KY
Livability — Symsonia
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #9967
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Symsonia, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,961
Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,916 people
- By 2030
- 36,587 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 35,580 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 33,906 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 28,957 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 21,552 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Graves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.00%
- Current HPI
- 242.2369
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-12.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $144,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $154,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $159,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $164,900 WKRMLS
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $412 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…