1758 Soaring Vida St · Palmetto, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,878
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under Construction. The Woodruff is a spacious and thoughtfully designed two-story home offering just over 2,300 square feet of open-concept living, perfect for families and entertainers alike. With a flowing layout that maximizes every square foot, this home brings comfort, function, and style together in one inviting package. As you enter through the foyer, you’re welcomed into a large, open main floor where the kitchen, dining area, and great room seamlessly connect. The kitchen is a dream for any home chef, spanning two full walls and offering abundant cabinets, generous counterspace, and a walk-in pantry for all your storage needs.
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Covered lanai
- Walk in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $390k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-632 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (23.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (30.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#346 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: James Tillman Elementary Magnet School (math 65% / reading 34%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 520 students, 74% FRL); Buffalo Creek Middle School (math 59% / reading 51%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 1,127 students, 44% FRL); Palmetto High School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #456 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,100 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 1452 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 53d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.95%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $391,480
- List price
- $389,878
- Delta
- -0.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1824 Soaring Vida St | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 2,323 (0%) | 4mo | $395,000 | $170 | 95 |
| 5643 Skylight Way 5643 Skylight Way | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 | 2,323 (0%) | 3mo | $409,000 | $176 | 91 |
| 2271 50th Street Cir E | 0.24mi | 4/3.0 | 2,414 (+4%) | 6mo | $370,000 | $153 | 78 |
| 2267 50th Street Cir E | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 | 2,416 (+4%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $149 | 75 |
| 5506 Skylight Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,081 (-10%) | 2mo | $382,479 | $184 | 70 |
| 2235 50th Street Cir E | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 2,398 (+3%) | 8mo | $365,000 | $152 | 69 |
| 1828 Soaring Vida St | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,007 (-14%) | 0mo | $381,400 | $190 | 65 |
| 5647 Skylight Way | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,007 (-14%) | 3mo | $387,959 | $193 | 62 |
| 5205 16th Ave E | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,184 (-6%) | 6mo | $402,000 | $184 | 62 |
| 2504 58th Cir E | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,109 (-9%) | 10mo | $409,000 | $194 | 51 |
| 2303 58th St E | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,019 (-13%) | 13mo | $475,000 | $235 | 48 |
| 2334 50th Street Cir E | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,004 (-14%) | 12mo | $368,000 | $184 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-111,337
- Equity at exit
- $58,132
- IRR
- -58.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.64×
- Total profit
- $-179,310
- Equity at exit
- $33,710
Cash invested: $109,166 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.7 mo (37%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $375,479 ($180/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 87 d
- This list price
- 67% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -6.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34221
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1452
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,731 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$487 /mo · $5,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$95
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $-632
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-363 | -5% $-497 | +0% $-632 | +5% $-767 | +10% $-902 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-848 | -5% $-740 | +0% $-632 | +5% $-524 | +10% $-416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-436 | -0.5pp $-533 | base $-632 | +0.5pp $-733 | +1.0pp $-836 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,470
- Closing costs
- $11,696
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2305 50th Street Cir E Palmetto, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1996 | $2,545 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 6115 Blue Paloma CT Palmetto, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2217 | $2,825 | $1.27 | 32d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9940 Mahaffey DR Palmetto, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1106 | $2,044 | $1.85 | 73d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 110 49th Ct E Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1655 | $1,850 | $1.12 | 52d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3616 Mossy Limb Ct Palmetto, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2068 | $2,500 | $1.21 | 61d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4620 1st Ave E #4620 Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1959 | $1,950 | $1.00 | 73d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4633 1st Ave E Palmetto, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1586 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4120 Silver Strand Trl Palmetto, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2616 | $3,200 | $1.22 | 40d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5514 Night Owl Ter Palmetto, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $2,650 | $1.51 | 65d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Has HOA with required monthly fee of $95 ($1,140 annual)Association approval requiredAssociation amenities include fence restrictionsCommunity features: deed restrictions, sidewalks, street lightsPets allowed (cats and dogs)
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garage (20x20) with garage door opener
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedNatural gas connectedCable connectedSewer connectedWater connectedUnderground utilities
- Home design
- Single-family residenceTwo levelsNew construction (projected completion October 1, 2026)South-facing
- Construction
- Block, frame, stucco and cement siding constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by Mattamy Homes (Woodruff Modern model)
- Exterior features
- Covered rear porchRear patio/porchSidewalkSliding doorsLandscaped with treesPaved lot and paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heating with heat pumpCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenOpen floorplanSplit bedroom layoutThermostatPest guard / in-wall pest systemSolid surface countersWalk-in closetsDouble pane insulated windows
- Laundry & utility
- Interior laundry room with washer and dryer hookups (electric dryer hookup)
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $389,878 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $389,878 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $389,878 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $389,878 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $389,878 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $389,878 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $389,878 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $389,878 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $389,878 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $389,878 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $389,878 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $389,878 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $389,878 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $389,878 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $389,878 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $389,878 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $389,878 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $389,878 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $389,878 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,878 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,878 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$389,878 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,839
- − Property taxes
- −$5,848
- − Insurance
- −$1,949
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,622
- − Management
- −$2,622
- − HOA
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$11,342
- Taxable loss
- −$14,593
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,502
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious and modern layout with high-end finishes and is ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can enhance the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palmetto
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #346
- US rank
- #5695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 447,342 people
- City population
- 56,208
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,208
- Household income
- $77,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.53%
- Current HPI
- 302.1458
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.98%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $389,878 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…