2466 VT Route 114 · Burke, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The dwelling on this property has been vacant for several years and the condition would need to be assessed by any buyer as to its viability. It is a parcel with great exposure to Mt. Biking trails and very close to East Burke Village. The house sits on a plateau near the road and then drops down to all open meadow that has been mowed each year providing good pasture land or tillable soil.
Key facts
- Direct access
- Snowmobile access
- Septic designed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax details available (tax year 2024)
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: On-site electric; High-speed internet available; Telephone available; Water source unknown; Sewer unknown
- Home design: Farmhouse style; Existing structure; Facing/entry details not provided
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Metal roof; Originally built in 1890
- Exterior features: Trail nearby; Near skiing; Near snowmobile trails; Gravel driveway; Paved road frontage
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Basement with interior access; Dirt floor in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Caledonia County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $214 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Caledonia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $209k implies a 280% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.79%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $452,114
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -53.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726 White School Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,746 (+4%) | 20mo | $518,500 | $297 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,750
- Equity at exit
- $61,758
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $56,119
- Equity at exit
- $75,097
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05832
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,014 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18price $209,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $225,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$225,000 Active 1196-char remark
-
2024-11-06soldstatus $55,000
-
2020-12-02soldstatus $56,000
-
2019-06-10soldstatus $74,500
-
2019-06-07soldstatus $74,500 Closed 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
The dwelling on this property has been vacant for several years and the condition would need to be assessed by any buyer as to its viability. It is a parcel with great exposure to Mt. Biking trails and very close to East Burke Village. The house sits on a plateau near the road and then drops down to all open meadow that has been mowed each year providing good pasture land or tillable soil.
-
2019-05-08soldstatus $74,500
-
2019-04-23historical Active with Contract 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
The dwelling on this property has been vacant for several years and the condition would need to be assessed by any buyer as to its viability. It is a parcel with great exposure to Mt. Biking trails and very close to East Burke Village. The house sits on a plateau near the road and then drops down to all open meadow that has been mowed each year providing good pasture land or tillable soil.
-
2019-04-14status Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
The dwelling on this property has been vacant for several years and the condition would need to be assessed by any buyer as to its viability. It is a parcel with great exposure to Mt. Biking trails and very close to East Burke Village. The house sits on a plateau near the road and then drops down to all open meadow that has been mowed each year providing good pasture land or tillable soil.
-
2018-11-06status Pending 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
The dwelling on this property has been vacant for several years and the condition would need to be assessed by any buyer as to its viability. It is a parcel with great exposure to Mt. Biking trails and very close to East Burke Village. The house sits on a plateau near the road and then drops down to all open meadow that has been mowed each year providing good pasture land or tillable soil.
-
2018-10-01$74,500 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
The dwelling on this property has been vacant for several years and the condition would need to be assessed by any buyer as to its viability. It is a parcel with great exposure to Mt. Biking trails and very close to East Burke Village. The house sits on a plateau near the road and then drops down to all open meadow that has been mowed each year providing good pasture land or tillable soil.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,094 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,033 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$938/yr (+$78/mo · 44.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥85°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$2,094
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,934
- − Management
- −$1,934
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$149
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,953/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Burke
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,061
Population outlook (Caledonia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,828 people
- By 2030
- 28,820 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 26,262 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 23,780 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 18,516 · -37.9%
- By 2100
- 13,647 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 6% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Caledonia
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.4) · D 54.5% · R 42.0% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.8pp toward R · 2008: 23.3pp · 2024: 12.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.4 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+7.0 2012: D+22.9 2008: D+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.10%
- Current HPI
- 225.7794
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+180.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $209,000 PrimeMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $225,000 PrimeMLS
- 2024-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-07 Sold (MLS) $74,500 PrimeMLS
- 2019-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
- 2019-04-23 Contingent — PrimeMLS
- 2019-04-14 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2018-11-06 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2018-10-01 Listed $74,500 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2024): $2,094 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…