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309 S Market St
D Composite 41.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$158,000

309 S Market St · Union City, OH 45390
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,295 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1900 8,298 sqft lot Est $133k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover a charming retreat nestled in the heart of Union City. This fully remodeled single-family residence offers an inviting atmosphere, tour here to see all of the updates and improvements. The home encompasses 1,295 square feet of thoughtfully arranged living space, providing ample room for relaxation and daily activities. With two comfortable bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, it offers a practical layout. Kitchen appliances are included with the purchase, all you need to do here is MOVE-IN Enjoy the benefits of a generous lot, spanning 0.19 acres, providing a wonderful outdoor environment for leisure and gardening. The property's location on S Market St provides easy access to local amenities and the community.

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Fully remodeled
  • Generous lot

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDGENEROUS LOTEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Residential lot (approx. 50 x 166)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (14 x 16)
  • Bedrooms: Second-floor bedroom (9 x 11); Main-level bedroom (12 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Eat-in kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $158k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-173/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (1.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (26.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#854 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mississinawa Valley Local (rural): math 56% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #405 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mississinawa Valley Elementary School (math 56% / reading 49%, grade C-, #846 of 1,584 statewide, top 54%, 316 students, 99% FRL); Mississinawa Valley Jr/Sr High School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #275 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 280 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 70% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Darke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Darke County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $158k implies a 407% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,085 (26.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.39%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,385
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 S Market St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,295 (0%) 8mo $31,150 $24 94
226 E Main St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,396 (+8%) 5mo $149,700 $107 78
305 E North St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,385 (+7%) 3mo $45,000 $32 65
224 S 1st St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,476 (+14%) 9mo $159,900 $108 65
225 S State Line St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,212 (-6%) 18mo $80,000 $66 64
635 W Pearl St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (-1%) 6mo $48,720 $38 63
723 E Central St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,341 (+4%) 10mo $25,000 $19 59
9299 Worth Rd 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+5%) 4mo $215,000 $158 54
706 Lynwood St 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,388 (+7%) 8mo $142,300 $103 43
911 E Central St 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,455 (+12%) 1mo $174,000 $120 42
709 Lynwood Ct 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,396 (+8%) 13mo $137,500 $98 41
717 Lynwood Ct 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,107 (-14%) 24mo $129,900 $117 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$85,053
Equity at exit
$142,339
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
6.67×
Total profit
$251,027
Equity at exit
$306,959

Cash invested: $44,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45390

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$829
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $445/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,179
Max offer price $155,457
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $75 -5% $30 +0% $-14 +5% $-59 +10% $-104
Rent -10% $-106 -5% $-60 +0% $-14 +5% $31 +10% $77
Rate -1.0pp $65 -0.5pp $26 base $-14 +0.5pp $-55 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,500
Closing costs
$4,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $158,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $158,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $158,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $158,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $158,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $158,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $158,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $158,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $158,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $158,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $158,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $158,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $158,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $158,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $158,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $158,000 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $158,000 Active 10 DOM
  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $158,000 Active 723-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    Discover a charming retreat nestled in the heart of Union City. This fully remodeled single-family residence offers an inviting atmosphere, tour here to see all of the updates and improvements. The home encompasses 1,295 square feet of thoughtfully arranged living space, providing ample room for relaxation and daily activities. With two comfortable bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, it offers a practical layout. Kitchen appliances are included with the purchase, all you need to do here is MOVE-IN Enjoy the benefits of a generous lot, spanning 0.19 acres, providing a wonderful outdoor environment for leisure and gardening. The property's location on S Market St provides easy access to local amenities and the community.

  19. 2026-05-19
    listed $158,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    Discover a charming retreat nestled in the heart of Union City. This fully remodeled single-family residence offers an inviting atmosphere, tour here to see all of the updates and improvements. The home encompasses 1,295 square feet of thoughtfully arranged living space, providing ample room for relaxation and daily activities. With two comfortable bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, it offers a practical layout. Kitchen appliances are included with the purchase, all you need to do here is MOVE-IN Enjoy the benefits of a generous lot, spanning 0.19 acres, providing a wonderful outdoor environment for leisure and gardening. The property's location on S Market St provides easy access to local amenities and the community.

  20. 2025-10-31
    soldstatus $31,150 Closed 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This fixer upper has tons of potential and is ready for your vision. Ideal for investors, flippers or anyone wanting to customize their home.

  21. 2025-10-10
    listed $49,500 Active 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This fixer upper has tons of potential and is ready for your vision. Ideal for investors, flippers or anyone wanting to customize their home.

  22. 2025-10-02
    soldstatus $13,500 Closed
  23. 2025-09-19
    historical ActiveUnderContract
  24. 2025-09-16
    listed $19,900 Active
  25. 2006-05-31
    soldstatus $16,667
  26. 2002-01-30
    soldstatus $21,200
  27. 1997-08-13
    soldstatus $74,640
  28. 1989-05-12
    soldstatus $9,900
  29. 1988-09-21
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$445 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,455 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$1,010/yr (+$84/mo · 227.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,930
− Mortgage interest
−$8,850
− Property taxes
−$445
− Insurance
−$790
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$4,596
Taxable loss
−$2,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$715
After-tax cash flow
$542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mississinawa Valley Local
NCES district ID
3904667
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$40,999
Composite
44.86/100
National rank
#2727
State rank
#405 of 656 in OH

Livability — Union City

Score
63/100
State rank
#854
US rank
#15985

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union City, OH
County
Darke · 50,606 people
Population (ZIP)
3,349
Household income
$46,974
Rent vs Own
29.7% rent · 70.3% own
Severe rent burden
5.9

Population outlook (Darke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,377 people
By 2030
47,494 · -3.8%
By 2040
43,553 · -11.8%
By 2050
39,320 · -20.4%
By 2075
30,091 · -39.1%
By 2100
21,110 · -57.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Darke

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.4) · D 17.0% · R 82.3%
2008→2024 swing
-29.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -65.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.4 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+61.2 2012: R+44.9 2008: R+36.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.15%
Current HPI
270.1901
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1480.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $158,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $158,000 WRIST
  • 2025-10-31 Sold (MLS) $31,150 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $49,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-02 Sold (MLS) $13,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2025-09-16 Listed $19,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2006-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $16,667 Public Records
  • 2002-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $21,200 Public Records
  • 1997-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $74,640 Public Records
  • 1989-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $9,900 Public Records
  • 1988-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $445 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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