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1533 Swissvale Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,900

1533 Swissvale Ave · Wilkinsburg, PA 15221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,208 sqft · Townhouse public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1920 1,245 sqft lot $8/sqft · 92% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhouse located just steps from Hunter Park, offering access to baseball fields, basketball courts, and ample green space. Ideal for anyone looking to bring their vision and creativity to a property. With its convenient location and great outdoor amenities nearby, this home is a fantastic opportunity to renovate and make it your own. Sold as-is; bring your ideas and unlock the possibilities! Seller financing available.

Key facts

  • Hunter park access
  • Ample green space
  • Outdoor amenities

Tags

HUNTER PARK ACCESSBASEBALL FIELDSBASKETBALL COURTSAMPLE GREEN SPACEOUTDOOR AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $9,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$129,481) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 143.2% vs local median 10.6% in Wilkinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#411 in PA, #3,754 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Wilkinsburg Borough SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $68 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $297 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (63%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $8,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
15.65%
Cap rate
143.19%
Cash-on-cash
488.92%
DSCR
22.75
GRM
0.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,481
List price
$9,900
Delta
-92.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1417 Princeton 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-14%) 3mo $150,900 $145 60
7388 Beacon Hill Dr 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,180 (-2%) 20mo $140,000 $119 38
7448 Lighthouse Pt 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,121 (-7%) 14mo $155,000 $138 35
571 Coal St #2 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,367 (+13%) 12mo $135,000 $99 33
7398 Beacon Hill Dr 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,386 (+15%) 8mo $195,000 $141 28
571 Coal St #6 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,367 (+13%) 22mo $111,000 $81 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.87×
Total profit
$71,720
Equity at exit
$1,476
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
59.04×
Total profit
$160,886
Equity at exit
$856

Cash invested: $2,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15221

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $466/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$1,129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $120
Max offer price $9,900
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,163 -5% $1,132 +0% $1,129 +5% $1,127 +10% $1,124
Rent -10% $1,007 -5% $1,068 +0% $1,129 +5% $1,191 +10% $1,252
Rate -1.0pp $1,134 -0.5pp $1,132 base $1,129 +0.5pp $1,127 +1.0pp $1,124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,475
Closing costs
$297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1713-1715 Clark St Unit 79-1804C Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 972 $1,200 $1.23 5d 1 0.31mi
1515 Penn Ave Wilkinsburg, PA 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 45d 1 0.46mi
7534 Penn Bridge Ct Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,750 $1.39 45d 1 0.68mi
2031 Chalfant St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,950 $1.70 45d 1 0.72mi
7215 Beacon Hill Dr Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,795 $1.43 5d 1 0.75mi
565 Ardmore Blvd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1368 $1,450 $1.06 11d 1 0.75mi
515 Rebecca Ave Unit 515D Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,310 $1.54 8d 1 0.80mi
600 Kelly Ave Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 4d 3 0.84mi
826 Walnut St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1270 $1,195 $0.94 45d 1 0.86mi
100 Bryn Mawr Ct W Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,904 $1.95 4d 15 0.99mi
519-521 S Trenton Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1360 $2,600 $1.91 17d 1 1.00mi
8918 Frankstown Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,907 $1.36 15d 1 1.00mi
1250 Blackadore Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,750 $1.22 24d 1 1.05mi
407 Biddle Ave #3 Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 45d 1 1.07mi
8612 Oakcrest Rd Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 24d 1 1.15mi
233-241 Edgewood Ave Unit B10 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 45d 1 1.22mi
233-241 Edgewood Ave Unit B06 Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 1.22mi
185 Howard St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 45d 1 1.36mi
648 Southern Ave Penn Hills, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 8d 1 1.38mi
3005 Laketon Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 15d 1 1.47mi
610 Churchill Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 3d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $9,900 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $9,900 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $9,900 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-03-25
    price $9,900 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhouse located just steps from Hunter Park, offering access to baseball fields, basketball courts, and ample green space. Ideal for anyone looking to bring their vision and creativity to a property. With its convenient location and great outdoor amenities nearby, this home is a fantastic opportunity to renovate and make it your own. Sold as-is; bring your ideas and unlock the possibilities! Seller financing available.

  5. 2025-12-30
    price $12,000 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhouse located just steps from Hunter Park, offering access to baseball fields, basketball courts, and ample green space. Ideal for anyone looking to bring their vision and creativity to a property. With its convenient location and great outdoor amenities nearby, this home is a fantastic opportunity to renovate and make it your own. Sold as-is; bring your ideas and unlock the possibilities! Seller financing available.

  6. 2025-12-09
    price $19,000 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhouse located just steps from Hunter Park, offering access to baseball fields, basketball courts, and ample green space. Ideal for anyone looking to bring their vision and creativity to a property. With its convenient location and great outdoor amenities nearby, this home is a fantastic opportunity to renovate and make it your own. Sold as-is; bring your ideas and unlock the possibilities! Seller financing available.

  7. 2025-12-02
    listed $27,000 Active 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath townhouse located just steps from Hunter Park, offering access to baseball fields, basketball courts, and ample green space. Ideal for anyone looking to bring their vision and creativity to a property. With its convenient location and great outdoor amenities nearby, this home is a fantastic opportunity to renovate and make it your own. Sold as-is; bring your ideas and unlock the possibilities! Seller financing available.

  8. 2008-04-21
    soldstatus $6,630
  9. 2008-04-11
    soldstatus $6,630 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    #442-096069/sold as is/insured mtg w/ escrow/ lot & taxes approx/ utilities off/ bids & info at www. hooksvanholm.com/ VACANT SHOW WITH YOUR HUD KEY

  10. 2007-10-05
    listed $7,800 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    #442-096069/sold as is/insured mtg w/ escrow/ lot & taxes approx/ utilities off/ bids & info at www. hooksvanholm.com/ VACANT SHOW WITH YOUR HUD KEY

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$466 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$466 · $39/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,597
− Mortgage interest
−$555
− Property taxes
−$466
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$288
Taxable income
$14,263
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,423
After-tax cash flow
$10,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkinsburg Borough SD
NCES district ID
4226370
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,204
Composite
14.94/100
National rank
#9368
State rank
#503 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkinsburg

Score
76/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#3754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkinsburg, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
29,513
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,374
Household income
$55,028
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
1933.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.77%
Current HPI
230.0486
Rent YoY
▲ 3.86%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $9,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $12,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $19,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $27,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2008-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $6,630 Public Records
  • 2008-04-11 Sold (MLS) $6,630 West Penn MLS
  • 2007-10-05 Listed $7,800 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $466 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…