35 Ocean Crest Way · Palm Coast, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- Cash flow +0.4/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$495,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LENDER OWNED 2 bedroom 2 bathroom Hammock Beach Club, Gorgeous Ground FLoor Unit. Features, Granite countertops, Cherry wood cabinets, Vaulted ceilings, Upgrades Galore. IF CONTRACT PRICE IS LESS THAN $50,000 THE INCENTIVE WILL BE $1,500; IF CONTRACT PRICE IS MORE THAN $50,000 BUT LESS THAN $100,000 THE INCENTIVES ARE $2,000; iF THE CONTRACT PRICE IS MORE THAN $100,000 THE INCENTIVES ARE $2,500.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Ample cabinetry
- Open concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $495k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-27k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (65.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $329k (33.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (65.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.0% vs local median 3.7% in Palm Coast — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Old Kings Elementary School (math 74% / reading 72%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 979 students, 52% FRL); Indian Trails Middle School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B+, #124 of 571 statewide, top 22%, 1,518 students, 50% FRL); Matanzas High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 1,978 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $202k; list at $495k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 66% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 0.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -18.94%
- DSCR
- 0.16
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $523,902
- List price
- $495,000
- Delta
- -5.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Ocean Crest Way #1315 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (0%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $206 | 92 |
| 5 Ocean Crest Way #1431 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (0%) | 6mo | $500,000 | $295 | 90 |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #306 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (-1%) | 0mo | $646,734 | $386 | 88 |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #1016 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (-1%) | 1mo | $795,000 | $474 | 87 |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #718 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (-1%) | 3mo | $660,000 | $394 | 86 |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #317 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (-1%) | 4mo | $600,000 | $358 | 85 |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #707 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (-1%) | 5mo | $725,000 | $433 | 84 |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #515 | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (-1%) | 6mo | $670,000 | $400 | 83 |
| 55 Ocean Crest Way #922 | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,859 (+10%) | 1mo | $677,000 | $364 | 79 |
| 700 Cinnamon Beach Way #634 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (-1%) | 1mo | $750,000 | $446 | 69 |
| 1100 Cinnamon Beach Way #1062 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (-1%) | 3mo | $410,000 | $244 | 69 |
| 1000 Cinnamon Beach Way #934 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (-1%) | 4mo | $449,000 | $267 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-82,998
- Equity at exit
- $222,573
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-92,925
- Equity at exit
- $343,012
Cash invested: $138,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 38 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 16.3 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $704,450 ($403/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 153 d
- This list price
- 5% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -23.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32137-5674
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,286 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,596
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$619 /mo · $7,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$206
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$1,363
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$690
- Net cashflow
- $-2,254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,912 | -5% $-2,083 | +0% $-2,254 | +5% $-2,425 | +10% $-2,596 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,514 | -5% $-2,384 | +0% $-2,254 | +5% $-2,124 | +10% $-1,994 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,005 | -0.5pp $-2,128 | base $-2,254 | +0.5pp $-2,382 | +1.0pp $-2,513 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $123,750
- Closing costs
- $14,850
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Ocean Crest Way #1124 Palm Coast, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $3,500 | $2.77 | 119d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 200 Ocean Crest Dr #1111 Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1818 | $7,000 | $3.85 | 119d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 300 Cinnamon Beach Way #233 Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $3,000 | $2.23 | 62d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 900 Cinnamon Beach Way Unit 1261621P Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $8,231 | $4.87 | 119d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 12 Dawson Dr Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,500 | $1.80 | 119d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2 Cheyenne Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2 Cheyenne Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 62d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 58 Comanche Ct Unit 1261614P Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2195 | $5,998 | $2.73 | 107d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 58 Comanche Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $3,995 | $1.87 | 9d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3 Cherokee Ct W Unit 1261596P Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2098 | $4,582 | $2.18 | 110d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 27 Mala Compra Rd Unit 1261612P Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $7,806 | $3.92 | 107d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 70 Cochise Ct Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $2,900 | $1.51 | 114d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 73 Moana Ct N Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,900 | $1.47 | 110d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 25 Riverview Bnd N Unit 1546088P Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $2,581 | $1.42 | 110d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 85 Riverview Bnd N Unit 1524 Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $4,495 | $2.50 | 9d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 100 Coral Reef Ct N Unit B Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,565 | $1.44 | 78d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 45 Riverview Bnd S #1935 Palm Coast, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 9d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 22 Bristol Dr Palm Coast, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $1,975 | $1.21 | 110d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions provided to property (community with guarded entrance)
- Financial info
- No minimum lease term
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA feeAssociation/maintenance fee (monthly)Condo fees include cable, exterior maintenance, management, master insurance policy, security, sewer, trash collection, and water
Exterior
- Parking
- Parking garageGuest parking available
- Security
- Gated entry with guard gate
- Utilities
- City waterSewer
- Home design
- Condominium / unit in multi-story buildingGround-level entryLocated east of A1A
- Construction
- Concrete block constructionStucco exteriorTile roof
- Exterior features
- Gated communityBeach accessCommunity-maintained exteriorOther community amenities (see remarks)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalRangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on ground level
- Flooring
- Tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathroomsMaster bath with separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Tile flooringFurnishedWindow treatmentsCeiling fans
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $495,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $495,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $495,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $495,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $495,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $495,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $495,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $495,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $495,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $495,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $495,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $495,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $495,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $495,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $495,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $495,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $495,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $495,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $495,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $495,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $495,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $495,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $495,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $495,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $495,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $495,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $495,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $495,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $495,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $495,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $495,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $495,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $495,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $495,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $495,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $495,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $495,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $495,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $495,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $495,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $495,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $495,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $495,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $495,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $495,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $495,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $495,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $495,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $495,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $495,000 Active 92 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,728
- − Property taxes
- −$7,425
- − Insurance
- −$3,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,155
- − Management
- −$3,155
- − HOA
- −$16,356
- − Depreciation
- −$14,400
- Taxable loss
- −$36,053
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,653
- After-tax cash flow
- $-18,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This end-unit condo in Hammock Beach Golf Resort & Spa is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a great investment opportunity with potential for rental or resale value enhancement through cosmetic updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Updating light fixtures — Improves curb appeal and interior ambiance ↑
- Both Reorganizing living room furniture — Maximizes space and enhances visual appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagler
- NCES district ID
- 1200540
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,354
- Composite
- 46.35/100
- National rank
- #2464
- State rank
- #20 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Coast
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #8721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,474 people
- By 2030
- 131,864 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 146,176 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 157,398 · +27.5%
- By 2075
- 177,990 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 183,381 · +48.5%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+3.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $495,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2015-04-02 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-02 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-08 Sold (MLS) $202,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-05-01 Listed $205,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-05 Sold (MLS) $447,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-22 Listed $479,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…