319 E 9th St · York, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$136,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Contract Pending Welcome home to this inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath 1.5-story property! You’ll love the roomy bedrooms, especially upstairs where walk-in closets add extra convenience. Recent electrical updates offer modern reliability, while the corner lot provides added space and privacy. Step outside to a backyard designed for making memories—complete with a built-in fire pit and entertaining area perfect for relaxing evenings or hosting guests.
Key facts
- Entertaining area
- Walk-in closets
- Backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 covered space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story; Built in 1926; Not new
- Construction: Block and brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof not specified (no roof material listed)
- Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Lot approximately 0.2 acre (about 60 x 120)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Laminate flooring in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor with wall-to-wall carpeting; Additional bedrooms on second floor with wall-to-wall carpeting; Some upstairs bedrooms include walk-in closets
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in kitchen, dining area, and laundry; Wall-to-wall carpeting in bedrooms and living room
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning and window unit(s)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement (partial, unfinished); No fireplaces; Porch and patio
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laminate flooring in laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (26.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#24 in NE, #1,666 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- York Public Schools (town): math 55% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #55 of 111 in NE (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: York Elementary School (math 58% / reading 50%, grade C, #194 of 502 statewide, top 39%, 594 students, 50% FRL); York Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #41 of 128 statewide, top 32%, 315 students, 44% FRL); York High School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #107 of 261 statewide, top 52%, 522 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in York County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $940 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- York County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.45%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,579
- List price
- $136,000
- Delta
- -16.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1217 N Grant Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,708 (+2%) | 3mo | $173,500 | $102 | 77 |
| 1121 N East Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,628 (-2%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $46 | 77 |
| 908 N Iowa Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,842 (+10%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $95 | 72 |
| 828 N Elmer Ave | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 1,582 (-5%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $54 | 69 |
| 618 E 4th St | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,698 (+2%) | 7mo | $159,000 | $94 | 67 |
| 22 Arbor Ct | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,674 (+0%) | 4mo | $218,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 410 N Burlington Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 | 1,612 (-3%) | 12mo | $166,000 | $103 | 64 |
| 1303 N Burlington Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.5 | 1,856 (+11%) | 10mo | $202,500 | $109 | 59 |
| 320 N East Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,784 (+7%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $111 | 58 |
| 223 E 19th St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (+5%) | 11mo | $280,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 423 E 6th St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,424 (-15%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $105 | 52 |
| 555 W 6th St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,424 (-15%) | 10mo | $143,600 | $101 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-29,020
- Equity at exit
- $20,278
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-34,287
- Equity at exit
- $11,759
Cash invested: $38,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68467
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$713
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,555/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-32 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-148 | +10% $-186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-188 | -5% $-149 | +0% $-109 | +5% $-70 | +10% $-30 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-41 | -0.5pp $-75 | base $-109 | +0.5pp $-145 | +1.0pp $-181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,000
- Closing costs
- $4,080
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1911 N Linden Ave Unit 09-612 York, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $136,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $136,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $136,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $136,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $136,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $136,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $136,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $136,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$136,000 New 461-char remark
-
2024-11-30historical
-
2024-10-01price $139,900
-
2024-07-08price $147,900
-
2024-05-24$155,000 New
-
2023-12-01historical
-
2023-07-11price $135,000
-
2023-05-19price $144,900
-
2023-04-26$149,000 New
-
2012-08-31soldstatus $60,000
-
2006-06-15soldstatus $63,000
-
1999-11-05soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,555 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,353 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$798/yr (+$66/mo · 51.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,618
- − Property taxes
- −$1,555
- − Insurance
- −$680
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$3,956
- Taxable loss
- −$3,730
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$895
- After-tax cash flow
- $-419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3179050
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,726
- Composite
- 45.18/100
- National rank
- #2675
- State rank
- #55 of 111 in NE
Livability — York
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, NE
- City population
- 9,688
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,688
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,976 people
- By 2030
- 14,103 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 14,490 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 15,059 · +7.7%
- By 2075
- 18,276 · +30.8%
- By 2100
- 21,449 · +53.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.3) · D 23.6% · R 74.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -51.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.3 2020: R+51.8 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+49.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.71%
- Current HPI
- 192.5562
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+602.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $130,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $136,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-11-30 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed $139,900 GPRMLS
- 2024-07-08 Price Changed $147,900 GPRMLS
- 2024-05-24 Listed $155,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-12-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2023-07-11 Price Changed $135,000 GPRMLS
- 2023-05-19 Price Changed $144,900 GPRMLS
- 2023-04-26 Listed $149,000 GPRMLS
- 2012-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,555 · +71.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…