1910 Lynwood Ave · Littleville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Take a look at this spacious home with a large yard in the Littleville community! Situated on approximately 1.35 acres, this property offers plenty of space both inside and out. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home has great potential for a growing family or anyone looking to create their dream home. With some TLC, this property could truly shine. Conveniently located with room to enjoy country-style living while still being close to town. Home is being sold in as-is condition. Buyer to verify all information.
Key facts
- Country-style living
- Large yard
- 1.35 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Gravel parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Stone construction; Combination and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot dimensions 240 x 240; Lot approximately 1.35 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (2 total); 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-689/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (28.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Littleville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#122 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Colbert County (rural): math 13% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #90 of 129 in AL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Colbert Heights Elementary School (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #281 of 627 statewide, top 45%, 473 students, 50% FRL); Colbert County High School (math 5% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 305 statewide, top 61%, 455 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $160k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.54%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,559
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -12.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 Lynwood Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,873 (-9%) | 12mo | $168,000 | $90 | 66 |
| 1850 Elm Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 2,160 (+4%) | 21mo | $240,000 | $111 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-29,653
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-30,813
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35653
- Home prices YoY
- -12.4%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,148 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $699/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $33 | -5% $-12 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-12 | +10% $33 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $23 | -0.5pp $-17 | base $-57 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$160,000 Active 526-char remark
-
2025-03-14soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $699 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $699 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$699
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,102
- − Management
- −$1,102
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$3,549
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$852
- After-tax cash flow
- $163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colbert County
- NCES district ID
- 0100840
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,710
- Composite
- 21.48/100
- National rank
- #8328
- State rank
- #90 of 129 in AL
Livability — Littleville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #12858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Littleville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,005
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 32%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.50%
- Current HPI
- 180.6128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+88.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $160,000 SAARMLS
- 2025-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $699 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…