301 Lilly Ln · Tuskegee, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 96 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.3% in Tuskegee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#375 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Macon County (town): math 2% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #123 of 129 in AL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Macon County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.43%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,071
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 10.55%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Lilly Ln | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,551 (0%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $74 | 82 |
| 3309 Hanna St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-1%) | 24mo | $100,000 | $65 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $29,581
- Equity at exit
- $49,114
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $84,154
- Equity at exit
- $70,579
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36083
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $558/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $125,000 Under Contract 96 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-31statusdays on market $125,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Price Change 84 DOM
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2026-04-22status Active 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Investor Special - Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-04-22status Back On Market 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Investor Special - Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-04-13status Under Contract 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-04-13status Pending 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-03-27price $130,000 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Investor Special - Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
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2026-03-27price $130,000 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Investor Special - Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-03-09status Back On Market 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-03-09status Active 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-02-17status Under Contract 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-02-17status Pending 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
-
2026-02-09$135,000 Active 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
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2026-02-09$135,000 New 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
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2026-02-09historical $135,000 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
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2026-02-09historical $135,000 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Investor Special – Cash Only Opportunity! Back on market at no fault of the seller. This property is being sold AS-IS and is priced for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project with strong potential. The home will require significant repairs and does not meet FHA or conventional loan guidelines. Cash buyers only. Major systems will need attention, making this an ideal opportunity for experienced investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add value. Bring your highest and best offer. Serious inquiries only. Proof of funds required prior to showing.
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2024-08-16soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $558 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $558 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$558
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,055
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Macon County
- NCES district ID
- 0102190
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,012
- Composite
- 7.24/100
- National rank
- #9958
- State rank
- #123 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuskegee
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #21590
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuskegee, AL
- City population
- 3,493
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,355
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,805 people
- By 2030
- 14,101 · -10.8%
- By 2040
- 11,244 · -28.9%
- By 2050
- 9,088 · -42.5%
- By 2075
- 6,606 · -58.2%
- By 2100
- 6,309 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% White 12% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+56.3) · D 77.8% · R 21.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 74.0pp · 2024: 56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+56.3 2020: D+63.8 2016: D+66.8 2012: D+74.4 2008: D+74.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.97%
- Current HPI
- 138.7996
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+13.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — LCMLS
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — LCMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $130,000 LCMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — LCMLS
- 2026-02-17 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-02-17 Pending — LCMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $135,000 LCMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Coming Soon $135,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-09 Coming Soon $135,000 LCMLS
- 2024-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $558 · -53.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…