5905 St. Joan of Arc · Laredo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
Key facts
- 4,274 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2018
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-534/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- United ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #568 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Veterans Memorial El (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,221 of 4,322 statewide, top 75%, 779 students, 92% FRL); Lamar Bruni Vergara Middle (math 18% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,317 of 1,662 statewide, top 80%, 721 students, 93% FRL); Lyndon B Johnson (math 25% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,632 statewide, top 67%, 3,252 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 72% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 485 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 363 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 363 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.01%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,327
- List price
- $188,990
- Delta
- -5.19%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5406 Galicia Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-14%) | 23mo | $206,500 | $159 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-33,360
- Equity at exit
- $28,179
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-32,292
- Equity at exit
- $16,340
Cash invested: $52,917 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78046
- Home prices YoY
- -13.0%
- Active inventory
- 485
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$336 /mo · $4,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $-45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $62 | -5% $9 | +0% $-45 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-183 | -5% $-114 | +0% $-45 | +5% $25 | +10% $94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $51 | -0.5pp $4 | base $-45 | +0.5pp $-94 | +1.0pp $-143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,248
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5807 Colegio Ln Laredo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $188,990 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $188,990 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $188,990 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $188,990 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $188,990 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $188,990 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $188,990 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $188,990 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $188,990 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $188,990 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $188,990 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $188,990 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $188,990 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $188,990 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $188,990 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $188,990 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $188,990 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $188,990 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2026-03-19price $198,990 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2026-02-17price $221,990 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2026-01-22price $224,990 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2026-01-08price $228,990 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2025-08-29status Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2025-05-21historical 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2025-03-16$215,000 Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Check out this beautiful home in the Cielito Sub-Division featuring 3 bedroom 2 bath with one car garage. .. It's a MUST SEE!!!!
-
2023-10-09price $199,000
-
2023-09-25$243,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,034 · $336/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,034 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,586
- − Property taxes
- −$4,034
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$3,676
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $348/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- United ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,780
- Composite
- 28.02/100
- National rank
- #6848
- State rank
- #568 of 826 in TX
Livability — Laredo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #5399
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laredo, TX
- City population
- 67,333
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,965
Population outlook (Webb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 301,387 people
- By 2030
- 316,307 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 345,636 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 370,647 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 413,907 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 416,458 · +38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 53% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 92%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 9% English-only · Spanish 91%
Political lean MEDSL · Webb
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.5% · R 50.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: 43.4pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+23.3 2016: D+51.6 2012: D+54.0 2008: D+43.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.36%
- Current HPI
- 196.8153
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-22.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $188,990 LAOR
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $198,990 LAOR
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $221,990 LAOR
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $224,990 LAOR
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $228,990 LAOR
- 2025-08-29 Relisted — LAOR
- 2025-05-21 Delisted — LAOR
- 2025-03-16 Listed $215,000 LAOR
- 2023-10-09 Price Changed $199,000 LAOR
- 2023-09-25 Listed $243,000 LAOR
Property tax history
+40.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,034 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…