1645 W Elizabeth St · Brownsville, TX 78520

$199,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market

Built 1973 6,000 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Charming house in a great location! this remodeled house has 3 bedrooms 2 bathrooms, all tiled floors, brand new water heater, Fridge and Stove, great patio with a pergola, perfect for entertaining.

Key facts

• Desirable location
• Tile flooring
• Functional layout

Tags

• TILE FLOORING
• FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT
• DESIRABLE LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size approximately 0.14 acres

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story house; Residential property; Located in the West Brownsville subdivision
• Construction: Brick veneer construction; Built on standard foundation
• Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Tile flooring

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-290/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (2.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (18.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $163k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, employment F.
• Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Russell El (math 12% / reading 25%, grade F, #3,759 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 486 students, 98% FRL); Stell Middle (math 12% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 781 students, 96% FRL); Pace Early College H S (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 1,788 students, 92% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $162,647 (18.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.15%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.52%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $66,200
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1555 W Saint Charles St	0.13mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,316 (-1%)	6mo	$64,900	$49	79
854 W Fronton St	0.58mi	3/1.0	1,400 (+6%)	3mo	$69,900	$50	57
344 Fairfax St	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,329 (+0%)	21mo	$189,000	$142	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-25,206
• Equity at exit: $29,672

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $15,126
• Equity at exit: $17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78520

• Home prices YoY: -19.8%
• Rents YoY: 11.4%
• Active inventory: 346
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,626 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax from tax record: −$183 /mo · $2,191/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$342
• Net cashflow: $-24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,657

Max offer price $194,733

Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 20 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
600 Lakeside Blvd Brownsville, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	763	$950	$1.25	13d	2	0.27mi
1234 W Levee St Brownsville, TX	2.0	1.0	1281	$1,500	$1.17	21d	1	0.29mi
404 Boca Chica Blvd Brownsville, TX	2.0	2.0	1600	$1,450	$0.91	21d	1	0.43mi
34 W Hawthorne Ave Brownsville, TX	3.0	2.0	940	$1,400	$1.49	43d	1	0.47mi
401 Boca Chica Blvd Unit 505 Brownsville, TX	2.0	1.5	1152	$1,200	$1.04	43d	1	0.49mi
234 Emerald Ln Lot 4 Brownsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1170	$1,850	$1.58	21d	1	0.58mi
234 Emerald Ln Lot 4 Brownsville, TX	4.0	2.0	1170	$1,850	$1.58	13d	1	0.58mi
1904 Central Blvd Brownsville, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1046	$1,035	$0.99	43d	9	0.87mi
35 Cenizo Brownsville, TX	2.0	3.5	1404	$2,500	$1.78	43d	1	0.92mi
164 Robins Ln Brownsville, TX	2.0	2.0	1620	$2,200	$1.36	43d	1	1.13mi
15 Sunnyside Ln Brownsville, TX	4.0	2.0	1436	$2,000	$1.39	13d	1	1.17mi
1405 Harvard Ave Brownsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1426	$1,700	$1.19	43d	1	1.27mi
801 Tropical Dr Unit 3 Brownsville, TX	2.0	1.5	1000	$1,500	$1.50	43d	1	1.29mi
219 E 3rd St Brownsville, TX	2.0	1.0	900	$1,275	$1.42	43d	1	1.31mi
1604 Yale Ave Brownsville, TX	3.0	1.0	1316	$1,800	$1.37	21d	1	1.44mi
2425 Barnard Rd Unit ujnit 1-A Brownsville, TX	3.0	1.5	1300	$1,600	$1.23	43d	1	1.45mi
2425 Barnard Rd Unit A-13 Brownsville, TX	2.0	2.0	1137	$1,250	$1.10	43d	1	1.45mi
3055 El Paso Rd Unit H-1 Brownsville, TX	2.0	2.0	900	$1,050	$1.17	43d	1	1.46mi
2425 Barnard Rd Brownsville, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	886	$1,165	$1.31	13d	12	1.46mi
1618 E Los Ebanos Blvd Brownsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1073	$1,700	$1.58	43d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $199,000 Active 16 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $199,000 Active 14 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $199,000 Active 13 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $199,000 Active 11 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $199,000 Active 9 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 8 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 4 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    remarks 504-char remark
16. 2026-05-31
    listed $199,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,191 · $183/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,642 · $303/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,451/yr (+$121/mo · 66.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,518
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$2,191
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,561
• − Management: −$1,561
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$3,727
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$895
• After-tax cash flow: $605/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brownsville ISD
• NCES district ID: 4811680
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -36.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $30,490
• Composite: 21.8/100
• National rank: #8249
• State rank: #710 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownsville

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #62
• US rank: #2311

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Brownsville, TX
• County: Cameron County · 310,734 people
• City population: 212,132
• Metro: Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
• Population (ZIP): 64,740
• Household income: $50,116
• Rent vs Own: 39.8% rent · 60.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1800.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 441,603 people
• By 2030: 448,113 · +1.5%
• By 2040: 456,385 · +3.3%
• By 2050: 456,294 · +3.3%
• By 2075: 423,851 · -4.0%
• By 2100: 342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 44% White 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 88%
• Foreign-born: 26% · Canada
• Languages at home: 18% English-only · Spanish 82%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -52.91%
• Current HPI: 214.4335
• Rent YoY: ▲ 11.41%
• Metro: Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+126.4% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $199,000 RGVMLS
• 2022-11-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2022-11-01 Sold (MLS) — RGVMLS
• 2022-09-28 Relisted — RGVMLS
• 2022-08-29 Relisted — RGVMLS
• 2022-07-12 Listed $175,000 RGVMLS
• 2021-10-22 Listed $87,900 RGVMLS
• 2021-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,191 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.