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177 Wady Ln
C+ Composite 60.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

177 Wady Ln · Liberty City, TX 75647
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2006 7.09 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for affordable, updated & acreage? You have to see this! This beautifully updated home has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & plenty of room to roam on the +/- 6 acres! Located just a couple miles from Sabine High School and easy access to I-20 makes this country living convenient to Longview or Tyler.

Key facts

  • Private acres
  • Space for animals
  • Recreation

Tags

PRIVATE ACRESEASY ACCESS TO I-20SPACE FOR ANIMALSGARDENINGRECREATIONOUTDOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#395 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sabine ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #210 of 826 in TX (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.41%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,349
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$33,460
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75647

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,055/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,365
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-25
    listed $175,000 Active
  3. 2018-06-18
    soldstatus 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Looking for affordable, updated & acreage? You have to see this! This beautifully updated home has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & plenty of room to roam on the +/- 6 acres! Located just a couple miles from Sabine High School and easy access to I-20 makes this country living convenient to Longview or Tyler.

  4. 2018-01-15
    listed $99,000 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (317 chars)

    Looking for affordable, updated & acreage? You have to see this! This beautifully updated home has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & plenty of room to roam on the +/- 6 acres! Located just a couple miles from Sabine High School and easy access to I-20 makes this country living convenient to Longview or Tyler.

  5. 2017-06-16
    soldstatus 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    1994 model manufactured home on 1.11 acres in Sabine ISD. 4 bedrooms, spacious living area, nice master bath, and island kitchen with eating area. Property is FHA Insurable with escrow(IE) of $8000.

  6. 2016-11-28
    listed $26,400 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    1994 model manufactured home on 1.11 acres in Sabine ISD. 4 bedrooms, spacious living area, nice master bath, and island kitchen with eating area. Property is FHA Insurable with escrow(IE) of $8000.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,055 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,202 · $267/mo
Expected delta
+$2,147/yr (+$179/mo · 203.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,837
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,055
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$2,359
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$566
After-tax cash flow
$4,532/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sabine ISD
NCES district ID
4838460
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,554
Composite
40.95/100
National rank
#3606
State rank
#210 of 826 in TX

Livability — Liberty City

Score
69/100
State rank
#395
US rank
#8256

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,457

Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
125,947 people
By 2030
126,542 · +0.5%
By 2040
127,311 · +1.1%
By 2050
127,289 · +1.1%
By 2075
124,954 · -0.8%
By 2100
113,737 · -9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Gregg

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.12%
Current HPI
303.1316
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+562.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending LAAR
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $175,000 LAAR
  • 2018-06-18 Sold (MLS) LAAR
  • 2018-01-15 Listed $99,000 LAAR
  • 2017-06-16 Sold (MLS) LAAR
  • 2016-11-28 Listed $26,400 LAAR

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,055 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…