177 Wady Ln · Liberty City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for affordable, updated & acreage? You have to see this! This beautifully updated home has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & plenty of room to roam on the +/- 6 acres! Located just a couple miles from Sabine High School and easy access to I-20 makes this country living convenient to Longview or Tyler.
Key facts
- Private acres
- Space for animals
- Recreation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#395 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sabine ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #210 of 826 in TX (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.41%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,349
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $33,460
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75647
- Home prices YoY
- -8.2%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-02-25$175,000 Active
-
2018-06-18soldstatus 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Looking for affordable, updated & acreage? You have to see this! This beautifully updated home has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & plenty of room to roam on the +/- 6 acres! Located just a couple miles from Sabine High School and easy access to I-20 makes this country living convenient to Longview or Tyler.
-
2018-01-15$99,000 317-char remark
Show marketing remark (317 chars)
Looking for affordable, updated & acreage? You have to see this! This beautifully updated home has 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms & plenty of room to roam on the +/- 6 acres! Located just a couple miles from Sabine High School and easy access to I-20 makes this country living convenient to Longview or Tyler.
-
2017-06-16soldstatus 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
1994 model manufactured home on 1.11 acres in Sabine ISD. 4 bedrooms, spacious living area, nice master bath, and island kitchen with eating area. Property is FHA Insurable with escrow(IE) of $8000.
-
2016-11-28$26,400 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
1994 model manufactured home on 1.11 acres in Sabine ISD. 4 bedrooms, spacious living area, nice master bath, and island kitchen with eating area. Property is FHA Insurable with escrow(IE) of $8000.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,055 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,147/yr (+$179/mo · 203.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,055
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,827
- − Management
- −$1,827
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,359
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$566
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,532/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sabine ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838460
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,554
- Composite
- 40.95/100
- National rank
- #3606
- State rank
- #210 of 826 in TX
Livability — Liberty City
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #395
- US rank
- #8256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,457
Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,947 people
- By 2030
- 126,542 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 127,311 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 127,289 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 124,954 · -0.8%
- By 2100
- 113,737 · -9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Gregg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.12%
- Current HPI
- 303.1316
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+562.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — LAAR
- 2026-02-25 Listed $175,000 LAAR
- 2018-06-18 Sold (MLS) — LAAR
- 2018-01-15 Listed $99,000 LAAR
- 2017-06-16 Sold (MLS) — LAAR
- 2016-11-28 Listed $26,400 LAAR
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,055 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…