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854 Melissa Ct
D+ Composite 48.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

854 Melissa Ct · Enola, PA 17025
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1989 Est $165k · 21% under $431/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy easy, maintenance-free living in this 2-bedroom, 2-full bath condo located in the newer section of Westwood Village. The open living room/dining room has a skylight and 2 ceiling fans. The eat-in kitchen has ample storage. . . and all the appliances convey! The spacious primary suite features a walk-in closet and private full bath with walk-in shower. Additional highlights include first-floor living, extra wide doorways and hallway, private patio, outdoor storage shed, and the refrigerator, washer and dryer are conveying with the sale. NEW HVAC system installed in 2019. The HOA offers an impressive array of amenities and services, including roof and siding maintenance, lawn care, snow

Key facts

  • $431 HOA
  • Parking
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property manager present; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted)
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee; Professional off-site management; Condo fee covers common area maintenance, exterior building maintenance, insurance, lawn maintenance, management, pest control, pool(s), recreation facility, and snow removal; Community amenities include clubhouse, extra storage, party room, outdoor pool, recreation center, reserved/assigned parking, and tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: One assigned parking space (space #854); Assigned parking and handicap parking available; Parking lot / off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service
  • Home design: Condominium, end-of-row townhouse; Single-level living (main floor bedrooms and laundry)
  • Construction: T-1-11 exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Secure storage; Sidewalks; Tennis courts; Patio(s); Community pool; Storage barn/shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range/oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one is a master bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with electric heat pump backup; Electric heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Stall shower and tub/shower combination; Ceiling fans; Chair railings; Crown moldings; Eat-in kitchen; Master bath; Skylights; Walk-in closets; Combination dining and living area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (12.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.4% in Enola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#243 in PA, #2,077 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute D+, amenities F.
  • East Pennsboro Area SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #275 of 539 in PA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Pennsboro El Sch (math 35% / reading 53%, grade F, #858 of 1,518 statewide, top 57%, 588 students, 50% FRL); East Pennsboro Area Ms (math 14% / reading 56%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 563 students, 50% FRL); East Pennsboro Area Shs (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A-, #22 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 761 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $110k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Recommended offer $114,318 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.91%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
835 Charlotte Way 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,100 (0%) 4mo $150,000 $136 90
819 Brian Dr 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,094 (-0%) 2mo $155,000 $142 88
847 Brian Dr 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,138 (+4%) 4mo $149,900 $132 81
810 Charlotte Way #303 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,166 (+6%) 7mo $120,000 $103 80
810 Charlotte Way #202 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,166 (+6%) 8mo $143,000 $123 78
821 Lee Ln 0.18mi 2/2.0 990 (-10%) 3mo $148,500 $150 73
818 Charlotte Way 0.09mi 2/2.0 980 (-11%) 8mo $165,000 $168 71
851 Louise Ct 0.15mi 2/2.0 980 (-11%) 7mo $149,900 $153 69
836 Lee Ln 0.16mi 2/2.0 980 (-11%) 8mo $160,000 $163 68
107 Melissa Ct 0.03mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,235 (+12%) 7mo $180,000 $146 64
638 Gates Ln 0.44mi 2/1.5 1,008 (-8%) 9mo $179,900 $178 56
36 Woodmyre Ln 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,246 (+13%) 10mo $255,000 $205 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-20,675
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,063
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17025

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,057/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$431
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$-88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,693
Max offer price $114,318
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-15 -5% $-51 +0% $-88 +5% $-125 +10% $-162
Rent -10% $-213 -5% $-151 +0% $-88 +5% $-26 +10% $37
Rate -1.0pp $-23 -0.5pp $-55 base $-88 +0.5pp $-122 +1.0pp $-156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Charlotte Way #303 Enola, PA 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,450 $1.24 16d 1 0.12mi
64 Queen Ave Enola, PA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,495 $1.25 16d 1 0.91mi
3 Silk Mill Dr East Pennsboro Township, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1319 $1,822 $1.38 16d 8 1.06mi
3701 Lilac Ln Enola, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1290 $1,885 $1.46 16d 25 1.34mi
2305 Hadley Blvd Unit 106 Enola, PA 1.0 1.0 847 $1,629 $1.92 16d 1 1.40mi
2320 Hadley Blvd Unit 108 Enola, PA 1.0 1.0 744 $1,542 $2.07 16d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$431 · $5,172/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $129,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-22
    historical $129,900
  5. 2024-03-22
    soldstatus $110,000
  6. 1989-08-28
    soldstatus $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,057 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,057 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,981
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,057
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,518
− Management
−$1,518
− HOA
−$5,172
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$2,990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$718
After-tax cash flow
$-341/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Pennsboro Area SD
NCES district ID
4208580
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,120
Composite
38.26/100
National rank
#4239
State rank
#275 of 539 in PA

Livability — Enola

Score
79/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#2077

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cumberland County · 257,673 people
City population
17,648
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
17,648
Household income
$91,285
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
317.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,950 people
By 2030
278,105 · +3.8%
By 2040
296,552 · +10.7%
By 2050
312,937 · +16.8%
By 2075
349,233 · +30.3%
By 2100
361,875 · +35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.21%
Current HPI
251.939
Rent YoY
▲ 6.46%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 1989-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,057 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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