8865 E Baseline Rd #300 · Mesa, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.6
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled on a large corner at the edge of Monte Vista you'll find a lovely retreat full of natural light and room for everyone. Enjoy morning coffee on your front porch before a game of pickleball or a dip in one of the many sparkling pools. This home is being offered furnished to make move in a breeze. As you enter the home you'll find a spacious great room perfect for gathering with friends or relaxing at days end. To your right you'll find the bedroom with plentiful storage as well as the full bathroom. The kitchen is well appointed with a dishwasher and plenty of storage. 2 skylights and vaulted ceilings. Around the corner you'll find another living space that can be used as a dining area, craft room or formal living room. Expansive indoor laundry area. With ample space and modern amenities, this home makes laundry a breeze. The practicality of this home extends to a large carport with additional golf car parking. Beyond the impressive features of the home, Monte Vista Village Resort offers a lifestyle unlike any other. Residents benefit from a spacious clubhouse, a beautiful banquet room for special occasions, and a large game room, facilitating a vibrant and social community atmosphere. On-site laundry facilities and dedicated management contribute to a hassle-free living experience, allowing you to focus on enjoying the resort-style amenities and the surrounding natural beauty. Monte Vista Village Resort Community offers: A Secure gated community with private security. Brand New REMODELED swimming pool's, Jacuzzi, BBQ lounge area. The community is packed with amenities such as: Tennis courts shuffle board, Pickle ball, weight room, saunas, massage, library, sewing, arts & crafts, billiards roopoker, movie nights, concerts and dances, karaoke and square dancing. Field trips to Casinos and Diamondback games and restaurants. During snowbird season a catering truck arrives offering food from every culture every Thursday. Breakfast is offered every other Saturday in the community center, lunch with Louie, the list goes on. Beautiful brand new RV center Perfect for your out-of-town guests. The park is animal friendly with Multiple dog parks throughout.
Key facts
- Plentiful storage
- Spacious great room
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 3.2% in Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in AZ, #2,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D.
- Gilbert Unified District (4239) (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #38 of 249 in AZ (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Augusta Ranch Elementary (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C-, #233 of 1,109 statewide, top 22%, 953 students, 29% FRL); Desert Ridge Jr. High (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 973 students, 26% FRL); Desert Ridge High (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #136 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 2,284 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 268 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 111d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $864 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 2900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $50k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.80%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,000
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -37.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1232 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 748 (-2%) | 5mo | $96,000 | $128 | 84 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #300 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 764 (0%) | 30mo | $50,000 | $65 | 80 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1218 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 748 (-2%) | 19mo | $135,000 | $180 | 72 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1326 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 774 (+1%) | 33mo | $127,500 | $165 | 69 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #441 | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 656 (-14%) | 9mo | $29,950 | $46 | 60 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1416 | 0.00mi | 1/2.0 | 924 (+21%) | 20mo | $67,000 | $73 | 55 |
| 110 S Ellsworth Rd | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 906 (+19%) | 3mo | $192,000 | $212 | 51 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1826 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 798 (+4%) | 33mo | $80,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1528 | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 612 (-20%) | 30mo | $40,000 | $65 | 43 |
| 2064 S Farnsworth Dr #38 | 1.11mi | 1/1.0 | 844 (+10%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $273 | 40 |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1513 | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 | 606 (-21%) | 35mo | $33,000 | $54 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.44% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $37,510
- Equity at exit
- $21,869
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.92×
- Total profit
- $82,676
- Equity at exit
- $30,166
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 30.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $115,400 ($151/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 182 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -17.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85209
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $599
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $641 | -5% $620 | +0% $599 | +5% $579 | +10% $558 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $498 | -5% $549 | +0% $599 | +5% $650 | +10% $701 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $629 | -0.5pp $614 | base $599 | +0.5pp $584 | +1.0pp $568 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1129 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 748 | $3,200 | $4.28 | 100d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #300 Mesa, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $2,000 | $2.62 | 114d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1028 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 139d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #1028 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 40d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 8865 E Baseline Rd #405 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 619 | $1,900 | $3.07 | 139d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 17B Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 943 | $3,702 | $3.93 | 72d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 94B Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $3,702 | $4.01 | 120d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 3B Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,606 | $1.65 | 110d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2206 S Ellsworth Rd Unit 101B Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,555 | $1.68 | 139d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 9335 E Baseline Rd Mesa, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1162 | $1,370 | $1.18 | 0d | 18 | 0.67mi |
| 9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,575 | $1.37 | 120d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $1,695 | $1.49 | 7d | 4 | 0.69mi |
| 9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,695 | $1.49 | 9d | 4 | 0.69mi |
| 9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $1,575 | $1.38 | 110d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 8915 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 971 | $1,390 | $1.43 | 49d | 13 | 0.82mi |
| 8915 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 971 | $1,393 | $1.43 | 0d | 21 | 0.82mi |
| 8915 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,390 | $1.32 | 120d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8915 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,164 | $1.89 | 139d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2024 S Baldwin #14 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1086 | $1,625 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8433 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $1,663 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2925 S 93rd Pl Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $1,995 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2064 S Farnsworth Dr #25 Mesa, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1011 | $1,595 | $1.58 | 117d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions to property provided
- HOA & community
- Land lease (approximately $1,039 monthly)No association fees listedCommunity pool and spa (heated)Pickleball courtsTennis courtsCommunity media roomCommunity laundry (coin-op)Fitness centerBiking/walking path
Exterior
- Parking
- Covered parking for 2 vehiclesCarport for 2 vehicles
- Security
- Security guardGated communityGuarded entry
- Utilities
- City waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeLeasehold ownership
- Construction
- Wood siding and wood frame constructionComposition roofBuilding area reported by owner
- Exterior features
- Corner lotGravel/stone front and backStorage
Interior
- Kitchen
- RefrigeratorDishwasherBuilt-in microwaveLaminate counters
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingCentral airCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- High speed internetEat-in kitchenFurnished (see remarks)Full bath in primary bedroomSolar screensStorage
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry inside
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-16$60,000 Active
-
2025-11-02historical
-
2025-04-02$78,000 Active
-
2024-03-28soldstatus $50,000 Closed 2195-char remark
Show marketing remark (2195 chars)
Nestled on a large corner at the edge of Monte Vista you'll find a lovely retreat full of natural light and room for everyone. Enjoy morning coffee on your front porch before a game of pickleball or a dip in one of the many sparkling pools. This home is being offered furnished to make move in a breeze. As you enter the home you'll find a spacious great room perfect for gathering with friends or relaxing at days end. To your right you'll find the bedroom with plentiful storage as well as the full bathroom. The kitchen is well appointed with a dishwasher and plenty of storage. 2 skylights and vaulted ceilings. Around the corner you'll find another living space that can be used as a dining area, craft room or formal living room. Expansive indoor laundry area. With ample space and modern amenities, this home makes laundry a breeze. The practicality of this home extends to a large carport with additional golf car parking. Beyond the impressive features of the home, Monte Vista Village Resort offers a lifestyle unlike any other. Residents benefit from a spacious clubhouse, a beautiful banquet room for special occasions, and a large game room, facilitating a vibrant and social community atmosphere. On-site laundry facilities and dedicated management contribute to a hassle-free living experience, allowing you to focus on enjoying the resort-style amenities and the surrounding natural beauty. Monte Vista Village Resort Community offers: A Secure gated community with private security. Brand New REMODELED swimming pool's, Jacuzzi, BBQ lounge area. The community is packed with amenities such as: Tennis courts shuffle board, Pickle ball, weight room, saunas, massage, library, sewing, arts & crafts, billiards roopoker, movie nights, concerts and dances, karaoke and square dancing. Field trips to Casinos and Diamondback games and restaurants. During snowbird season a catering truck arrives offering food from every culture every Thursday. Breakfast is offered every other Saturday in the community center, lunch with Louie, the list goes on. Beautiful brand new RV center Perfect for your out-of-town guests. The park is animal friendly with Multiple dog parks throughout.
-
2024-03-14status Pending 2195-char remark
Show marketing remark (2195 chars)
Nestled on a large corner at the edge of Monte Vista you'll find a lovely retreat full of natural light and room for everyone. Enjoy morning coffee on your front porch before a game of pickleball or a dip in one of the many sparkling pools. This home is being offered furnished to make move in a breeze. As you enter the home you'll find a spacious great room perfect for gathering with friends or relaxing at days end. To your right you'll find the bedroom with plentiful storage as well as the full bathroom. The kitchen is well appointed with a dishwasher and plenty of storage. 2 skylights and vaulted ceilings. Around the corner you'll find another living space that can be used as a dining area, craft room or formal living room. Expansive indoor laundry area. With ample space and modern amenities, this home makes laundry a breeze. The practicality of this home extends to a large carport with additional golf car parking. Beyond the impressive features of the home, Monte Vista Village Resort offers a lifestyle unlike any other. Residents benefit from a spacious clubhouse, a beautiful banquet room for special occasions, and a large game room, facilitating a vibrant and social community atmosphere. On-site laundry facilities and dedicated management contribute to a hassle-free living experience, allowing you to focus on enjoying the resort-style amenities and the surrounding natural beauty. Monte Vista Village Resort Community offers: A Secure gated community with private security. Brand New REMODELED swimming pool's, Jacuzzi, BBQ lounge area. The community is packed with amenities such as: Tennis courts shuffle board, Pickle ball, weight room, saunas, massage, library, sewing, arts & crafts, billiards roopoker, movie nights, concerts and dances, karaoke and square dancing. Field trips to Casinos and Diamondback games and restaurants. During snowbird season a catering truck arrives offering food from every culture every Thursday. Breakfast is offered every other Saturday in the community center, lunch with Louie, the list goes on. Beautiful brand new RV center Perfect for your out-of-town guests. The park is animal friendly with Multiple dog parks throughout.
-
2024-03-01historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 2195-char remark
Show marketing remark (2195 chars)
Nestled on a large corner at the edge of Monte Vista you'll find a lovely retreat full of natural light and room for everyone. Enjoy morning coffee on your front porch before a game of pickleball or a dip in one of the many sparkling pools. This home is being offered furnished to make move in a breeze. As you enter the home you'll find a spacious great room perfect for gathering with friends or relaxing at days end. To your right you'll find the bedroom with plentiful storage as well as the full bathroom. The kitchen is well appointed with a dishwasher and plenty of storage. 2 skylights and vaulted ceilings. Around the corner you'll find another living space that can be used as a dining area, craft room or formal living room. Expansive indoor laundry area. With ample space and modern amenities, this home makes laundry a breeze. The practicality of this home extends to a large carport with additional golf car parking. Beyond the impressive features of the home, Monte Vista Village Resort offers a lifestyle unlike any other. Residents benefit from a spacious clubhouse, a beautiful banquet room for special occasions, and a large game room, facilitating a vibrant and social community atmosphere. On-site laundry facilities and dedicated management contribute to a hassle-free living experience, allowing you to focus on enjoying the resort-style amenities and the surrounding natural beauty. Monte Vista Village Resort Community offers: A Secure gated community with private security. Brand New REMODELED swimming pool's, Jacuzzi, BBQ lounge area. The community is packed with amenities such as: Tennis courts shuffle board, Pickle ball, weight room, saunas, massage, library, sewing, arts & crafts, billiards roopoker, movie nights, concerts and dances, karaoke and square dancing. Field trips to Casinos and Diamondback games and restaurants. During snowbird season a catering truck arrives offering food from every culture every Thursday. Breakfast is offered every other Saturday in the community center, lunch with Louie, the list goes on. Beautiful brand new RV center Perfect for your out-of-town guests. The park is animal friendly with Multiple dog parks throughout.
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2024-02-22$60,000 Active 2195-char remark
Show marketing remark (2195 chars)
Nestled on a large corner at the edge of Monte Vista you'll find a lovely retreat full of natural light and room for everyone. Enjoy morning coffee on your front porch before a game of pickleball or a dip in one of the many sparkling pools. This home is being offered furnished to make move in a breeze. As you enter the home you'll find a spacious great room perfect for gathering with friends or relaxing at days end. To your right you'll find the bedroom with plentiful storage as well as the full bathroom. The kitchen is well appointed with a dishwasher and plenty of storage. 2 skylights and vaulted ceilings. Around the corner you'll find another living space that can be used as a dining area, craft room or formal living room. Expansive indoor laundry area. With ample space and modern amenities, this home makes laundry a breeze. The practicality of this home extends to a large carport with additional golf car parking. Beyond the impressive features of the home, Monte Vista Village Resort offers a lifestyle unlike any other. Residents benefit from a spacious clubhouse, a beautiful banquet room for special occasions, and a large game room, facilitating a vibrant and social community atmosphere. On-site laundry facilities and dedicated management contribute to a hassle-free living experience, allowing you to focus on enjoying the resort-style amenities and the surrounding natural beauty. Monte Vista Village Resort Community offers: A Secure gated community with private security. Brand New REMODELED swimming pool's, Jacuzzi, BBQ lounge area. The community is packed with amenities such as: Tennis courts shuffle board, Pickle ball, weight room, saunas, massage, library, sewing, arts & crafts, billiards roopoker, movie nights, concerts and dances, karaoke and square dancing. Field trips to Casinos and Diamondback games and restaurants. During snowbird season a catering truck arrives offering food from every culture every Thursday. Breakfast is offered every other Saturday in the community center, lunch with Louie, the list goes on. Beautiful brand new RV center Perfect for your out-of-town guests. The park is animal friendly with Multiple dog parks throughout.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $6,630
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires a moderate level of rehabilitation, focusing on repairs to the paint and flooring, as well as routine maintenance to the HVAC system. With some updates, it has the potential to be a move-in-ready property.
Repairs flagged
- Major paint — paint appears faded and needs touch-up
- Major flooring — wooden floors show signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint job — Fresh paint can improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system is essential for comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gilbert Unified District (4239)
- NCES district ID
- 0403400
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,715
- Composite
- 45.55/100
- National rank
- #2600
- State rank
- #38 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Mesa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2034
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mesa, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,979,203 people
- City population
- 555,266
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,150
- Household income
- $84,432
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.44%
- Current HPI
- 277.6198
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.54%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-96.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Rental Removed $2,000 ARMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed for Rent $2,000 ARMLS
- 2026-05-31 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $60,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-04-02 Listed $78,000 ARMLS
- 2024-03-28 Sold (MLS) $50,000 ARMLS
- 2024-03-14 Pending — ARMLS
- 2024-03-01 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2024-02-22 Listed $60,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…