🏗️ New Construction
Ashton Plan · Westlake, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$374,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.
Key facts
- Large center island
- Open concept design
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $375k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-459 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $333k (11.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $330k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.7% in Westlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#79 in OH, #1,202 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Westlake City (suburban): math 71% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #76 of 656 in OH (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Westlake Elementary School (math 80% / reading 75%, grade A, #213 of 1,584 statewide, top 14%, 1,217 students, 15% FRL); Lee Burneson Middle School (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A+, #54 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 498 students, 16% FRL); Westlake High School (math 56% / reading 81%, grade B, #130 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,066 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 715 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 715 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.39%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $447,508
- List price
- $374,990
- Delta
- -16.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1669 Merlot Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,854 (0%) | 3mo | $415,000 | $224 | 97 |
| 1717 Merlot Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,954 (+5%) | 2mo | $479,500 | $245 | 88 |
| 1721 Merlot Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,954 (+5%) | 8mo | $483,230 | $247 | 84 |
| 1725 Merlot Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 2,054 (+11%) | 4mo | $489,000 | $238 | 78 |
| 28186 Zinfandel Ct | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,997 (+8%) | 2mo | $486,990 | $244 | 77 |
| 28167 Zinfandel Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,954 (+5%) | 9mo | $479,500 | $245 | 76 |
| 28163 Zinfandel Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 2,064 (+11%) | 3mo | $489,000 | $237 | 73 |
| 879 S Parkside Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,847 (-0%) | 6mo | $409,000 | $221 | 64 |
| 840 Woodside Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,902 (+3%) | 10mo | $380,000 | $200 | 54 |
| 844 Woodside Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,921 (+4%) | 10mo | $399,000 | $208 | 52 |
| 850 S Parkside Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 2,052 (+11%) | 0mo | $417,500 | $203 | 50 |
| 27843 Ironwood Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 2,052 (+11%) | 3mo | $433,000 | $211 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-103,955
- Equity at exit
- $66,725
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-137,120
- Equity at exit
- $38,692
Cash invested: $125,302 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.3 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $466,750 ($235/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 55 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 44145
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,347
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$559 /mo · $6,713/yr
- Insurance
- −$186
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$700
- Net cashflow
- $-459
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-150 | -5% $-304 | +0% $-459 | +5% $-613 | +10% $-768 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-722 | -5% $-591 | +0% $-459 | +5% $-327 | +10% $-195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-233 | -0.5pp $-345 | base $-459 | +0.5pp $-575 | +1.0pp $-693 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $111,877
- Closing costs
- $13,425
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 Westford Cir Westlake, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $2,239 | $2.36 | 20d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 177 Market St Westlake, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $3,085 | $3.03 | 11d | 26 | 1.04mi |
| 131 Vine St #51 Westlake, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $3,750 | $2.14 | 93d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2547 Wyndgate Ct #2547 Westlake, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $3,200 | $2.11 | 73d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 314 Halstead Ln Westlake, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1792 | $3,900 | $2.18 | 46d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 31 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $5,000 | $2.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 27 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2128 | $4,100 | $1.93 | 46d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2601 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1819 | $3,000 | $1.65 | 51d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2672 Wyndgate Ct #2672 Westlake, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $3,000 | $1.98 | 73d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2695 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1819 | $3,500 | $1.92 | 93d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $374,990 Active 715 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $374,990 Active 714 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $374,990 Active 713 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $374,990 Active 712 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $374,990 Active 711 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $374,990 Active 710 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $374,990 Active 707 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $374,990 Active 706 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $374,990 Active 705 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $374,990 Active 704 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $374,990 Active 702 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $374,990 Active 700 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $374,990 Active 699 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $374,990 Active 698 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $374,990 Active 697 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $374,990 Active 696 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $374,990 Active 694 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $374,990 Active 693 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $374,990 Active 692 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $374,990 Active 691 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $374,990 Active 690 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $374,990 Active 689 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $374,990 Active 688 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $374,990 Active 687 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $374,990 Active 686 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $374,990 Active 685 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $374,990 Active 683 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $374,990 Active 682 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $374,990 Active 681 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $374,990 Active 679 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $374,990 Active 678 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $374,990 Active 677 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $374,990 Active 676 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $374,990 Active 675 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $374,990 Active 674 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $374,990 Active 673 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $374,990 Active 672 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $374,990 Active 670 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $374,990 Active 668 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $374,990 Active 667 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $374,990 Active 664 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $374,990 Active 663 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $374,990 Active 662 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $374,990 Active 661 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $374,990 Active 659 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $374,990 Active 658 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $374,990 Active 655 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $374,990 Active 654 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $374,990 Active 653 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $374,990 Active 650 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,067
- − Property taxes
- −$6,713
- − Insurance
- −$2,238
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,201
- − Management
- −$3,201
- − Depreciation
- −$13,018
- Taxable loss
- −$13,430
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,283/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This Ashton Plan townhouse in Westlake, OH is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout and high-end features, making it an ideal move-in-ready property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westlake City
- NCES district ID
- 3904506
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,709
- Composite
- 65.85/100
- National rank
- #451
- State rank
- #76 of 656 in OH
Livability — Westlake
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #1202
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westlake, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,244,621 people
- City population
- 34,104
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,104
- Household income
- $112,200
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Asian 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Arabic 5% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.97%
- Current HPI
- 202.4805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $374,990 Zillow
- 2025-05-03 Price Changed $366,990 Zillow
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $368,990 Zillow
- 2024-08-24 Listed $374,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…