CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
Ashton Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$374,990

Ashton Plan · Westlake, OH 44145
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,854 sqft · Townhouse · 761 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Open concept design
  • Granite countertops

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT DESIGNFUNCTIONAL BEDROOM LEVELGRANITE COUNTERTOPSLARGE CENTER ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $374,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $447,021.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $375k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-763 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (10.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $294k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $294k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#79 in OH, #1,202 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Westlake City (suburban): math 71% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #76 of 656 in OH (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Westlake Elementary School (math 80% / reading 75%, grade A, #213 of 1,584 statewide, top 14%, 1,217 students, 15% FRL); Lee Burneson Middle School (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A+, #54 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 498 students, 16% FRL); Westlake High School (math 56% / reading 81%, grade B, #130 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,066 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 761 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $294,466 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 761 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.24%
Cash-on-cash
-7.31%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$447,021
List price
$374,990
Delta
-16.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1669 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,854 (0%) 4mo $415,000 $224 96
1717 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+5%) 4mo $479,500 $245 87
1721 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+5%) 10mo $483,230 $247 82
1656 Merlot Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 2,048 (+10%) 0mo $460,000 $225 80
1725 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+11%) 6mo $489,000 $238 77
28186 Zinfandel Ct 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,997 (+8%) 3mo $486,990 $244 76
28163 Zinfandel Ct 0.12mi 3/2.5 2,064 (+11%) 5mo $489,000 $237 72
879 S Parkside Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,847 (-0%) 8mo $409,000 $221 62
27652 Serviceberry Ct 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,903 (+3%) 1mo $445,000 $234 62
850 S Parkside Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 2,052 (+11%) 2mo $417,500 $203 49
27843 Ironwood Ct 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,052 (+11%) 5mo $433,000 $211 49
830 S Greenway Dr 0.70mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+11%) 1mo $425,000 $207 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.8%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-122,988
Equity at exit
$66,652
10-year hold
IRR
-34.0%
Equity multiple
-0.42×
Total profit
$-177,589
Equity at exit
$38,650

Cash invested: $125,166 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
11 active · 12 under contract
Months of supply
5.5 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$465,000 ($227/sqft)
Median days on market
88 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+6.1% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 44145

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,945 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,344
Tax est. 1.5%
$559 /mo · $6,705/yr
Insurance
$186
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$618
Net cashflow
$-763

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,910
Max offer price $336,617
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-454 -5% $-609 +0% $-763 +5% $-917 +10% $-1,072
Rent -10% $-996 -5% $-879 +0% $-763 +5% $-647 +10% $-530
Rate -1.0pp $-538 -0.5pp $-649 base $-763 +0.5pp $-879 +1.0pp $-997

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$111,755
Closing costs
$13,411
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27825 Detroit Rd Westlake, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1119 $1,970 $1.76 0d 9 0.17mi
1500 Westford Cir Westlake, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 948 $2,239 $2.36 66d 1 0.59mi
1346 Patti Park Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,595 $1.87 9d 1 0.70mi
177 Market St Westlake, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $3,190 $3.14 0d 40 1.04mi
131 Vine St #51 Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 1750 $3,750 $2.14 139d 1 1.11mi
2547 Wyndgate Ct #2547 Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1514 $3,200 $2.11 119d 1 1.14mi
314 Halstead Ln Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 1792 $3,900 $2.18 92d 1 1.15mi
31 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH 2.0 3.5 2100 $5,000 $2.38 61d 1 1.15mi
27 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 2128 $4,100 $1.93 92d 1 1.16mi
2601 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,000 $1.65 97d 1 1.21mi
2620 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,500 $1.92 9d 1 1.25mi
2672 Wyndgate Ct #2672 Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1514 $3,000 $1.98 119d 1 1.31mi
2695 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,500 $1.92 139d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $374,990 Active 761 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $374,990 Active 760 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $374,990 Active 759 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $374,990 Active 758 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $374,990 Active 757 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $374,990 Active 756 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $374,990 Active 755 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $374,990 Active 754 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $374,990 Active 753 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $374,990 Active 752 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $374,990 Active 751 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $374,990 Active 750 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $374,990 Active 749 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $374,990 Active 743 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $374,990 Active 742 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $374,990 Active 741 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $374,990 Active 738 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $374,990 Active 736 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $374,990 Active 735 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $374,990 Active 734 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $374,990 Active 733 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $374,990 Active 732 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $374,990 Active 731 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $374,990 Active 730 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $374,990 Active 729 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $374,990 Active 728 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $374,990 Active 727 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $374,990 Active 726 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $374,990 Active 725 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $374,990 Active 724 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $374,990 Active 723 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $374,990 Active 722 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $374,990 Active 721 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $374,990 Active 720 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $374,990 Active 719 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $374,990 Active 718 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $374,990 Active 717 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $374,990 Active 716 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $374,990 Active 715 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $374,990 Active 714 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $374,990 Active 713 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $374,990 Active 712 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $374,990 Active 711 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $374,990 Active 710 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $374,990 Active 707 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $374,990 Active 706 DOM
  47. 2026-07-30
    days on market $374,990 Active 705 DOM
  48. 2026-07-28
    days on market $374,990 Active 704 DOM
  49. 2026-07-26
    days on market $374,990 Active 702 DOM
  50. 2026-07-24
    days on market $374,990 Active 700 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,336
− Mortgage interest
−$25,040
− Property taxes
−$6,705
− Insurance
−$2,235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,827
− Management
−$2,827
− Depreciation
−$13,004
Taxable loss
−$17,303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,153
After-tax cash flow
$-5,003/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This Ashton Plan townhouse in Westlake, OH is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout and high-end features, making it an ideal move-in-ready property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
B Composite school gradezoned avg 75/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Westlake Elementary School A OH #213/1,584 Nat'l #1,614/41,679 Middle Lee Burneson Middle School A+ OH #54/654 Nat'l #318/14,009 High Westlake High School B OH #130/781 Nat'l #2,397/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westlake City
NCES district ID
3904506
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$74,709
Composite
65.85/100
National rank
#451
State rank
#76 of 656 in OH
A Composite livability gradescore 82/100

Livability — Westlake

Score
82/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#1202

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westlake, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,244,621 people
City population
34,104
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
34,104
Household income
$112,200
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Asian 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Arabic 5% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $374,990 Zillow
  • 2025-05-03 Price Changed $366,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $368,990 Zillow
  • 2024-08-24 Listed $374,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…