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Ashton Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$374,990

Ashton Plan · Westlake, OH 44145
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,854 sqft · Townhouse · 664 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Open concept design
  • Granite countertops

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT DESIGNFUNCTIONAL BEDROOM LEVELGRANITE COUNTERTOPSLARGE CENTER ISLAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $374,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $448,140.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $375k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-539 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $370k (1.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $324k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.3% in Westlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#79 in OH, #1,202 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Westlake City (suburban): math 71% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #76 of 656 in OH (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 664 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $323,756 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 664 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$448,140
List price
$374,990
Delta
-16.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1669 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,854 (0%) 1mo $415,000 $224 98
1717 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+5%) 1mo $479,500 $245 90
1721 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,954 (+5%) 6mo $483,230 $247 85
1725 Merlot Ln 0.02mi 3/2.5 2,054 (+11%) 2mo $489,000 $238 79
28186 Zinfandel Ct 0.07mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,997 (+8%) 0mo $486,990 $244 78
28167 Zinfandel Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,954 (+5%) 7mo $479,500 $245 78
28163 Zinfandel Ct 0.12mi 3/2.5 2,064 (+11%) 2mo $489,000 $237 74
879 S Parkside Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,847 (-0%) 4mo $409,000 $221 65
840 Woodside Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,902 (+3%) 8mo $380,000 $200 55
864 Woodside Dr 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,908 (+3%) 10mo $415,000 $218 55
844 Woodside Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,921 (+4%) 9mo $399,000 $208 53
27843 Ironwood Ct 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,052 (+11%) 2mo $433,000 $211 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.8%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-109,119
Equity at exit
$66,819
10-year hold
IRR
-24.7%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-147,957
Equity at exit
$38,747

Cash invested: $125,479 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44145

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,238 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,350
Tax est. 1.5%
$560 /mo · $6,722/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$680
Net cashflow
$-539

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,920
Max offer price $370,099
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-230 -5% $-384 +0% $-539 +5% $-694 +10% $-849
Rent -10% $-795 -5% $-667 +0% $-539 +5% $-411 +10% $-284
Rate -1.0pp $-314 -0.5pp $-425 base $-539 +0.5pp $-655 +1.0pp $-774

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,035
Closing costs
$13,444
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
177 Market St Westlake, OH 3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $2,942 $2.85 2d 36 1.04mi
131 Vine St #51 Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 1750 $3,750 $2.14 44d 1 1.11mi
2547 Wyndgate Ct #2547 Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1514 $3,200 $2.11 24d 1 1.14mi
314 Halstead Ln Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 1792 $3,900 $2.18 2d 1 1.15mi
27 Ashbourne Dr Westlake, OH 2.0 2.5 2128 $4,100 $1.93 2d 1 1.16mi
2601 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,000 $1.65 2d 1 1.21mi
2672 Wyndgate Ct #2672 Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1514 $3,000 $1.98 24d 1 1.31mi
2695 Wyndgate Ct Westlake, OH 3.0 2.5 1819 $3,500 $1.92 44d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $374,990 Active 664 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $374,990 Active 663 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $374,990 Active 662 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $374,990 Active 661 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $374,990 Active 659 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $374,990 Active 658 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $374,990 Active 655 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $374,990 Active 654 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $374,990 Active 653 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $374,990 Active 650 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $374,990 Active 649 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $374,990 Active 648 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $374,990 Active 647 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $374,990 Active 646 DOM
  15. 2025-09-04
    price $374,990 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.

  16. 2025-05-03
    price $366,990 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.

  17. 2025-01-10
    price $368,990 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.

  18. 2024-08-24
    listed $374,990 Active 333-char remark
    Show marketing remark (333 chars)

    The open concept Ashton design is perfect for people who like to entertain. The spacious home includes an open first floor and functional bedroom level offering plenty of options for casual and formal gatherings. Thoughtful, high-end features including granite countertops and a large center kitchen island make a lasting impression.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,851
− Mortgage interest
−$25,103
− Property taxes
−$6,722
− Insurance
−$2,241
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,108
− Management
−$3,108
− Depreciation
−$13,037
Taxable loss
−$14,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,472
After-tax cash flow
$-3,000/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This Ashton Plan townhouse in Westlake, OH is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout and high-end features, making it an ideal move-in-ready property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New bathroom fixtures — Enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westlake City
NCES district ID
3904506
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$74,709
Composite
65.85/100
National rank
#451
State rank
#76 of 656 in OH

Livability — Westlake

Score
82/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#1202

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westlake, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
34,104
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
34,104
Household income
$112,200
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
690.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Asian 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Arabic 5% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -191.97%
Current HPI
202.4805
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $374,990 Zillow
  • 2025-05-03 Price Changed $366,990 Zillow
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $368,990 Zillow
  • 2024-08-24 Listed $374,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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