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1404 Rucker Rd
D- Composite 35.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

1404 Rucker Rd · Junction City, KS 66441
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1950 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss out on this great opportunity! This four bedroom, two bathroom home sits on a large lot with beautiful mature trees and fenced backyard with blackberry bush! Home does have a new roof. It has a partial finished basement. The garage has been converted to an additional living space but there is a carport in the driveway. Just a short drive to Fort Riley and Manhattan! The entire house has storm windows and a 10 year warranty that will be transferred to the buyer. Selling AS IS! Inspections are for information purposes only. Sellers are offering a $4,500 allowance!!! Contact Tamren Sturges with The Dawn Schultz Team at 785-706-1005 or Tamren. [email protected] for more information!

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Blackberry bush
  • New kitchen cabinets

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDBLACKBERRY BUSHNEW KITCHEN CABINETSUPDATED VINYL PLANK FLOORINGSTORM WINDOWSNEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built area above grade: 1,152
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio area; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Natural gas and electric heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Daylight, partially finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#266 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Geary County Schools (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #60 of 169 in KS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elem (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 285 students, 47% FRL); Junction City Middle School (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #146 of 219 statewide, top 67%, 938 students, 61% FRL); Junction City Sr High (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #161 of 327 statewide, top 50%, 1,657 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Geary County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Geary County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $180k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,015 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.59%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-31,652
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-17,109
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66441

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,349/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,538
Max offer price $160,819
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-7 -5% $-58 +0% $-109 +5% $-160 +10% $-210
Rent -10% $-219 -5% $-164 +0% $-109 +5% $-53 +10% $2
Rate -1.0pp $-18 -0.5pp $-63 base $-109 +0.5pp $-155 +1.0pp $-203

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $180,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $180,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-29
    listed $180,000 Active
  17. 2024-03-30
    historical $1,300
  18. 2024-03-26
    listed $1,300
  19. 2023-07-01
    historical
  20. 2023-02-15
    soldstatus Closed 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Don’t miss out on this great opportunity! This four bedroom, two bathroom home sits on a large lot with beautiful mature trees and fenced backyard with blackberry bush! Home does have a new roof. It has a partial finished basement. The garage has been converted to an additional living space but there is a carport in the driveway. Just a short drive to Fort Riley and Manhattan! The entire house has storm windows and a 10 year warranty that will be transferred to the buyer. Selling AS IS! Inspections are for information purposes only. Sellers are offering a $4,500 allowance!!! Contact Tamren Sturges with The Dawn Schultz Team at 785-706-1005 or Tamren. [email protected] for more information!

  21. 2023-02-07
    status Pending 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Don’t miss out on this great opportunity! This four bedroom, two bathroom home sits on a large lot with beautiful mature trees and fenced backyard with blackberry bush! Home does have a new roof. It has a partial finished basement. The garage has been converted to an additional living space but there is a carport in the driveway. Just a short drive to Fort Riley and Manhattan! The entire house has storm windows and a 10 year warranty that will be transferred to the buyer. Selling AS IS! Inspections are for information purposes only. Sellers are offering a $4,500 allowance!!! Contact Tamren Sturges with The Dawn Schultz Team at 785-706-1005 or Tamren. [email protected] for more information!

  22. 2022-12-12
    price $95,000 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Don’t miss out on this great opportunity! This four bedroom, two bathroom home sits on a large lot with beautiful mature trees and fenced backyard with blackberry bush! Home does have a new roof. It has a partial finished basement. The garage has been converted to an additional living space but there is a carport in the driveway. Just a short drive to Fort Riley and Manhattan! The entire house has storm windows and a 10 year warranty that will be transferred to the buyer. Selling AS IS! Inspections are for information purposes only. Sellers are offering a $4,500 allowance!!! Contact Tamren Sturges with The Dawn Schultz Team at 785-706-1005 or Tamren. [email protected] for more information!

  23. 2022-11-28
    price $97,500 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Don’t miss out on this great opportunity! This four bedroom, two bathroom home sits on a large lot with beautiful mature trees and fenced backyard with blackberry bush! Home does have a new roof. It has a partial finished basement. The garage has been converted to an additional living space but there is a carport in the driveway. Just a short drive to Fort Riley and Manhattan! The entire house has storm windows and a 10 year warranty that will be transferred to the buyer. Selling AS IS! Inspections are for information purposes only. Sellers are offering a $4,500 allowance!!! Contact Tamren Sturges with The Dawn Schultz Team at 785-706-1005 or Tamren. [email protected] for more information!

  24. 2022-11-07
    listed $105,000 Active 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Don’t miss out on this great opportunity! This four bedroom, two bathroom home sits on a large lot with beautiful mature trees and fenced backyard with blackberry bush! Home does have a new roof. It has a partial finished basement. The garage has been converted to an additional living space but there is a carport in the driveway. Just a short drive to Fort Riley and Manhattan! The entire house has storm windows and a 10 year warranty that will be transferred to the buyer. Selling AS IS! Inspections are for information purposes only. Sellers are offering a $4,500 allowance!!! Contact Tamren Sturges with The Dawn Schultz Team at 785-706-1005 or Tamren. [email protected] for more information!

  25. 2022-09-15
    price $110,000
  26. 2022-08-15
    price $115,000
  27. 2022-07-19
    price $120,000
  28. 2006-09-01
    soldstatus $85,000
  29. 2004-08-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,349 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,538 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$189/yr (+$16/mo · 8.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,802
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,349
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$4,455
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,069
After-tax cash flow
$-234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Geary County Schools
NCES district ID
2007890
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$44,319
Composite
30.2/100
National rank
#6306
State rank
#60 of 169 in KS

Livability — Junction City

Score
66/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#11965

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Junction City, KS
County
Geary County · 25,828 people
City population
25,828
Metro
Manhattan, KS
Population (ZIP)
25,828
Household income
$59,522
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
950.0

Population outlook (Geary County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,364 people
By 2030
38,234 · +2.3%
By 2040
39,727 · +6.3%
By 2050
40,314 · +7.9%
By 2075
44,283 · +18.5%
By 2100
46,935 · +25.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Geary

2024 margin
R (+17.6) · D 40.1% · R 57.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -17.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.6 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.25%
Current HPI
137.9936
Rent YoY
▲ 6.05%
Metro
Manhattan, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+111.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $180,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-03-30 Rental Removed $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-26 Listed for Rent $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-07-01 Rental Removed APPFOLIO
  • 2023-02-15 Sold (MLS) FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-02-07 Pending FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-12-12 Price Changed $95,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-11-28 Price Changed $97,500 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-11-07 Listed $105,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-09-15 Price Changed $110,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-08-15 Price Changed $115,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-07-19 Price Changed $120,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2006-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,349 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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