101 Yewleaf Dr · The Woodlands, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CARPET INSTALLED/PAINTING THROUGHOUT COMPLETED 4/10/13/FABULOUS RYLAND HOME IN THE HEART OF THE WOODLANDS/FORMAL LIVING/DINING/FAMILY ROOM WITH HARDWOODS/HUGE MASTER SUITE WITH GREAT MASTER BATHROOM/SEPARATE SHOWER AND TUB/GREAT KITCHEN WITH TONS OF CABINETS/CHECK OUT THE GREAT LAUNDRY ROOM/LARGE CUL DE SAC LOT BACKS TO A PERMANENT GREENBELT/DECK/SPRINKLERS/PROFESSIONALLY LANDSCAPED/AN AWESOME NEWER HOME IN LONG TIME PANTHER CREEK NEIGHBORHOOD/READY FOR QUICK POSSESSION!!!REDUCED $30,000
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1993
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure available
- Financial info: Lease considered
- HOA & community: Has an association (association listed as N/A for rental)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1993; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick, vinyl siding, and wood siding exterior; Shingle and wood roof
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Part of a subdivision; Has additional parcels
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Garbage disposal
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity; Primary bedroom with a full bath; Separate shower; Kitchen/dining combo; 1 fireplace; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Cap rate 907.9% vs local median 2.3% in The Woodlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in TX, #47 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Conroe ISD (other): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #69 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Glen Loch El (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 535 students, 48% FRL); Mccullough J H (math 82% / reading 81%, grade A+, #9 of 1,662 statewide, top 1%, 2,178 students, 14% FRL); The Woodlands H S (math 71% / reading 86%, grade A-, #53 of 1,632 statewide, top 3%, 4,361 students, 12% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 57% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Conroe ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $644 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 95.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 907.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3220.05%
- DSCR
- 144.27
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $381,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 Yewleaf Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 2,177 (+14%) | 2mo | $434,999 | $200 | 73 |
| 12 S Cypress Pine Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,001 (+5%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $174 | 71 |
| 23 S Tallowberry Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,070 (+9%) | 3mo | $349,900 | $169 | 69 |
| 9 Pineash Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,781 (-7%) | 2mo | $449,000 | $252 | 65 |
| 1 Fiddleleaf Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (-7%) | 4mo | $359,000 | $203 | 62 |
| 47 W Torch Pine Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 2,089 (+10%) | 5mo | $475,000 | $227 | 62 |
| 3 Meadow Beauty | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 2,186 (+15%) | 4mo | $419,000 | $192 | 61 |
| 18 N Wilde Yaupon Cir | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 2,020 (+6%) | 4mo | $525,000 | $260 | 59 |
| 18 Still Glen Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 2,156 (+13%) | 3mo | $397,000 | $184 | 57 |
| 20 Green Haven Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,790 (-6%) | 1mo | $353,500 | $197 | 56 |
| 10 Yewleaf Ct | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 1,636 (-14%) | 6mo | $299,900 | $183 | 52 |
| 62 S Woodstock Circle Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (-14%) | 6mo | $379,990 | $233 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 126.49×
- Total profit
- $80,816
- Equity at exit
- $343
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 265.36×
- Total profit
- $170,245
- Equity at exit
- $199
Cash invested: $644 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77381
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,208 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$12
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$3 /mo · $34/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $1,302
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,303 | -5% $1,302 | +0% $1,302 | +5% $1,301 | +10% $1,300 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,127 | -5% $1,214 | +0% $1,302 | +5% $1,389 | +10% $1,476 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,303 | -0.5pp $1,302 | base $1,302 | +0.5pp $1,301 | +1.0pp $1,300 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $575
- Closing costs
- $69
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 Tangle Brush Dr Unit 1258 The Woodlands, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,004 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3500 Tangle Brush Dr Unit 1114 The Woodlands, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,898 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3607 Dawnwood Dr Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,846 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3318 Kentwood Dr Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,800 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3419 Shadowcrest Ln Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,775 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3302 Long Shadows St Spring, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $1,895 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 15 Thorn Berry Pl Spring, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,595 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31remarks 198-char remark
-
2026-05-31$2,300 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$129
- − Property taxes
- −$34
- − Insurance
- −$5,130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,119
- − Management
- −$2,119
- − Depreciation
- −$67
- Taxable income
- $16,892
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,054
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conroe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815000
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,541
- Composite
- 50.65/100
- National rank
- #1833
- State rank
- #69 of 826 in TX
Livability — The Woodlands
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #47
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Woodlands, TX
- County
- Montgomery County · 663,713 people
- City population
- 106,505
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,139
- Household income
- $143,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 530.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 713,896 people
- By 2030
- 805,263 · +12.8%
- By 2040
- 992,708 · +39.1%
- By 2050
- 1,179,590 · +65.2%
- By 2075
- 1,628,084 · +128.1%
- By 2100
- 1,937,880 · +171.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.06%
- Current HPI
- 271.7165
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-99.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $2,300 HARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed for Rent $2,300 HARMLS
- 2025-05-18 Rental Removed $2,200 HARMLS
- 2025-05-05 Listed for Rent $2,200 HARMLS
- 2024-01-31 Rental Removed $2,100 HARMLS
- 2024-01-13 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
- 2016-12-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-12-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-07-31 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-07-08 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-06-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-06-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-05-12 Price Changed $199,000 HARMLS
- 2013-04-14 Listed $229,000 HARMLS
- 2005-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-04-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,288 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…