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🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 47.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,300

101 Yewleaf Dr · The Woodlands, TX 77381
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,906 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1993 10,336 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CARPET INSTALLED/PAINTING THROUGHOUT COMPLETED 4/10/13/FABULOUS RYLAND HOME IN THE HEART OF THE WOODLANDS/FORMAL LIVING/DINING/FAMILY ROOM WITH HARDWOODS/HUGE MASTER SUITE WITH GREAT MASTER BATHROOM/SEPARATE SHOWER AND TUB/GREAT KITCHEN WITH TONS OF CABINETS/CHECK OUT THE GREAT LAUNDRY ROOM/LARGE CUL DE SAC LOT BACKS TO A PERMANENT GREENBELT/DECK/SPRINKLERS/PROFESSIONALLY LANDSCAPED/AN AWESOME NEWER HOME IN LONG TIME PANTHER CREEK NEIGHBORHOOD/READY FOR QUICK POSSESSION!!!REDUCED $30,000

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1993

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure available
  • Financial info: Lease considered
  • HOA & community: Has an association (association listed as N/A for rental)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1993; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick, vinyl siding, and wood siding exterior; Shingle and wood roof
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Part of a subdivision; Has additional parcels

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Garbage disposal
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Primary bedroom with a full bath; Separate shower; Kitchen/dining combo; 1 fireplace; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,300 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$381,200) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Cap rate 907.9% vs local median 2.3% in The Woodlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in TX, #47 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
  • Conroe ISD (other): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #69 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Glen Loch El (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 535 students, 48% FRL); Mccullough J H (math 82% / reading 81%, grade A+, #9 of 1,662 statewide, top 1%, 2,178 students, 14% FRL); The Woodlands H S (math 71% / reading 86%, grade A-, #53 of 1,632 statewide, top 3%, 4,361 students, 12% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 57% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Conroe ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $644 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,300

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
95.98%
Cap rate
907.91%
Cash-on-cash
3220.05%
DSCR
144.27
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$381,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
95 Yewleaf Dr 0.04mi 3/2.5 2,177 (+14%) 2mo $434,999 $200 73
12 S Cypress Pine Dr 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,001 (+5%) 4mo $349,000 $174 71
23 S Tallowberry Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 2,070 (+9%) 3mo $349,900 $169 69
9 Pineash Ct 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,781 (-7%) 2mo $449,000 $252 65
1 Fiddleleaf Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,772 (-7%) 4mo $359,000 $203 62
47 W Torch Pine Cir 0.38mi 3/2.5 2,089 (+10%) 5mo $475,000 $227 62
3 Meadow Beauty 0.25mi 3/2.5 2,186 (+15%) 4mo $419,000 $192 61
18 N Wilde Yaupon Cir 0.59mi 3/2.5 2,020 (+6%) 4mo $525,000 $260 59
18 Still Glen Ct 0.40mi 3/2.5 2,156 (+13%) 3mo $397,000 $184 57
20 Green Haven Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,790 (-6%) 1mo $353,500 $197 56
10 Yewleaf Ct 0.36mi 3/3.0 1,636 (-14%) 6mo $299,900 $183 52
62 S Woodstock Circle Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,632 (-14%) 6mo $379,990 $233 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
126.49×
Total profit
$80,816
Equity at exit
$343
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
265.36×
Total profit
$170,245
Equity at exit
$199

Cash invested: $644 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77381

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,208 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$12
Tax est. 1.5%
$3 /mo · $34/yr
Insurance
$1
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$1,302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $560
Max offer price $2,300
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,303 -5% $1,302 +0% $1,302 +5% $1,301 +10% $1,300
Rent -10% $1,127 -5% $1,214 +0% $1,302 +5% $1,389 +10% $1,476
Rate -1.0pp $1,303 -0.5pp $1,302 base $1,302 +0.5pp $1,301 +1.0pp $1,300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$575
Closing costs
$69
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3500 Tangle Brush Dr Unit 1258 The Woodlands, TX 2.0 2.0 1408 $2,004 $1.42 44d 1 0.62mi
3500 Tangle Brush Dr Unit 1114 The Woodlands, TX 2.0 2.0 1248 $1,898 $1.52 44d 1 0.62mi
3607 Dawnwood Dr Spring, TX 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,846 $1.18 14d 1 0.68mi
3318 Kentwood Dr Spring, TX 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,800 $1.45 14d 1 1.06mi
3419 Shadowcrest Ln Spring, TX 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,775 $1.33 25d 1 1.07mi
3302 Long Shadows St Spring, TX 3.0 2.0 1662 $1,895 $1.14 4d 1 1.21mi
15 Thorn Berry Pl Spring, TX 4.0 2.5 2100 $2,595 $1.24 21d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    remarks 198-char remark
  2. 2026-05-31
    listed $2,300 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,491
− Mortgage interest
−$129
− Property taxes
−$34
− Insurance
−$5,130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,119
− Management
−$2,119
− Depreciation
−$67
Taxable income
$16,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,054
After-tax cash flow
$11,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conroe ISD
NCES district ID
4815000
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$71,541
Composite
50.65/100
National rank
#1833
State rank
#69 of 826 in TX

Livability — The Woodlands

Score
91/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#47

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Woodlands, TX
County
Montgomery County · 663,713 people
City population
106,505
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,139
Household income
$143,565
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
530.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
713,896 people
By 2030
805,263 · +12.8%
By 2040
992,708 · +39.1%
By 2050
1,179,590 · +65.2%
By 2075
1,628,084 · +128.1%
By 2100
1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.06%
Current HPI
271.7165
Rent YoY
▲ 2.09%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $2,300 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed for Rent $2,300 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-18 Rental Removed $2,200 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-05 Listed for Rent $2,200 HARMLS
  • 2024-01-31 Rental Removed $2,100 HARMLS
  • 2024-01-13 Listed for Rent $2,100 HARMLS
  • 2016-12-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-12-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-08-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-08-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-07-31 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2013-07-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-06-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-06-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-05-12 Price Changed $199,000 HARMLS
  • 2013-04-14 Listed $229,000 HARMLS
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,288 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…