6959 Revere Dr · Highland-on-the-Lake, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own cosmetic touches and build equity. Nestled near a peaceful creek, the setting provides a relaxing outdoor atmosphere with plenty of charm and potential. The home features baseboard heating, a solid roof, and solid bones to work with, making it an ideal option for an investor, handyman, or owner-occupant looking for an affordable project. With a little vision and updating, this property could truly shine. Conveniently located close to Lake Erie, local amenities, and major routes.
Key facts
- Solid bones
- Major routes
- Close to lake erie
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 166
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Main-level primary bedroom; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $943 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 2.3% in Highland-on-the-Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Evans-Brant Central School District (Lake Shore) (suburban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #424 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.60%
- DSCR
- 3.25
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,038
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -62.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6665 Wellington Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (-0%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $159 | 69 |
| 6910 Hamilton Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+8%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $206 | 67 |
| 6795 Prescott Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,072 (+3%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $168 | 63 |
| 6614 Revere Dr | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (-7%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 6654 Hamilton Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 992 (-4%) | 11mo | $246,654 | $249 | 51 |
| 6674 Gates Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (+3%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $173 | 46 |
| 6861 Wayne Dr | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+14%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $93 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $47,249
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 54.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.32×
- Total profit
- $118,954
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14047
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,052 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,701/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $943
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $989 | -5% $966 | +0% $943 | +5% $921 | +10% $898 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $781 | -5% $862 | +0% $943 | +5% $1,024 | +10% $1,106 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $984 | -0.5pp $964 | base $943 | +0.5pp $923 | +1.0pp $902 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7008 Erie Rd Derby, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0 | 685 | $2,052 | $2.99 | 3d | 9 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$89,900 Active 537-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,701 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,701 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$2,701
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,970
- − Management
- −$1,970
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $10,780
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,587
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evans-Brant Central School District (Lake Shore)
- NCES district ID
- 3616560
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,433
- Composite
- 40.89/100
- National rank
- #3619
- State rank
- #424 of 590 in NY
Livability — Highland-on-the-Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highland-on-the-Lake, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,072
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 19% Scottish 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.60%
- Current HPI
- 334.5151
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $79,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $89,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,701 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…