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3371 Vaughn Rd
C Composite 59.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$165,000

3371 Vaughn Rd · Walnut Grove, AL 35952
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 2022

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BACK ON THE MARKET!!!!!! Check out this 8.80 Ac mini farm. Neat 3BR 2BA has 320 ft Rd ROW on line of fencing and your ready for livestock. About 5 Ac timber. Sits on a beautiful knoll with gorgeous views from the large covered front porch. Workshop behind garage and add on exercise room or large closet off Master Bedroom. New HVAC and metal roof. 15 min to Atalla or 20 min to Gadsden.

Key facts

  • Built 2022
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing is for the mobile home only
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer service
  • Home design: One-level residence; Frame construction; Built in 2022
  • Construction: Frame construction; Built in 2022
  • Exterior features: Property listed as a mobile home (manufactured home); Located on a lot measured in acres; Directions available to property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#396 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Etowah County (suburban): math 21% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #36 of 129 in AL (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sardis Middle School (math 11% / reading 41%, grade F, #155 of 257 statewide, top 61%, 398 students, 70% FRL); West End High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #216 of 305 statewide, top 72%, 370 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 41% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Etowah County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $104k; list at $165k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,091 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.61%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$357,396
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3910 Vaughn Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-4%) 23mo $345,000 $237 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$103,568
Equity at exit
$148,645
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
7.36×
Total profit
$294,041
Equity at exit
$320,559

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35952

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $806/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,267
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 605-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$806 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$806 · $67/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,491
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$806
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,479
− Management
−$1,479
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$141
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$34
After-tax cash flow
$2,628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Etowah County
NCES district ID
0101380
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$46,403
Composite
31.12/100
National rank
#6062
State rank
#36 of 129 in AL

Livability — Walnut Grove

Score
57/100
State rank
#396
US rank
#22282

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,901
Population (ZIP)
8,901

Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,500 people
By 2030
98,488 · -2.0%
By 2040
93,731 · -6.7%
By 2050
88,681 · -11.8%
By 2075
76,746 · -23.6%
By 2100
65,373 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Etowah

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
2008→2024 swing
-17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.05%
Current HPI
249.8629
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+175.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $165,000 VMLS
  • 2019-06-24 Sold (MLS) $98,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-06-24 Sold (MLS) $103,900 VMLS
  • 2019-05-23 Contingent VMLS
  • 2019-05-23 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-05-16 Price Changed $103,900 VMLS
  • 2019-05-16 Price Changed $103,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-05-14 Relisted VMLS
  • 2019-05-14 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-02-28 Listed Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-02-28 Listed VMLS
  • 2018-12-12 Listed $106,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-12-12 Listed $106,900 VMLS
  • 2016-04-22 Sold (MLS) $55,000 VMLS
  • 2014-05-06 Listed $59,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+41.9%/yr

Latest (2019): $806 · +101.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…