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416335 Lagoon Dr
A Composite 85.72
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$59,900

416335 Lagoon Dr · Texanna, OK 74426
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1981 0.45 ac lot Est $109k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Lake Views, Easy Living, and Endless Possibilities If you've been dreaming of an affordable way to enjoy lake life, this charming two-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath mobile home may be exactly what you've been looking for. Situated on a large lot with stunning views of Lake Eufaula, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor enjoyment. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, you'll appreciate the peaceful setting and easy access to the lake. Located less than a mile from lake access, you'll be just minutes from boating, fishing, swimming, and all the recreation that makes Lake Eufaula such a popular desti

Key facts

  • Easy access to lake
  • Ample storage space
  • Covered parking

Tags

LAKE VIEWSLARGE LOTEASY ACCESS TO LAKEAMPLE STORAGE SPACECOVERED PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Carport
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home; South facing; Handicap accessible; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Built with wood frame and aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage structure; Chain link fencing; Mature trees on lot; Stream/creek on property; Spring on property; Less than 1 mile to Eufaula Lake

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet (first level); Additional bedroom without bath (first level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Master bath with shower (first level); Hall bath (first level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Propane heating; Two cooling units
  • Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Accessible approach with ramp; Laminate counters; Gas range and gas oven connections
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-194/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $57k (4.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.6% in Texanna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,039 (4.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
14.51%
Cash-on-cash
29.36%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,032
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108474 Starboard Dr 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 896 (-3%) 22mo $106,000 $118 60
108643 Bounty Rd 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (-3%) 11mo $69,000 $77 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$31,829
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.67×
Total profit
$95,016
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74426

Home prices YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $138/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$-16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $984
Max offer price $57,039
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-04
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$138 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$539 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$401/yr (+$33/mo · 290.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,558
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$138
− Insurance
−$5,418
− Repairs & maintenance
−$925
− Management
−$925
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable loss
−$945
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$227
After-tax cash flow
$32/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Checotah
NCES district ID
4007350
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,331
Composite
24.73/100
National rank
#7607
State rank
#72 of 270 in OK

Livability — Texanna

Score
65/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#13083

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,482

Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,935 people
By 2030
18,272 · -3.5%
By 2040
16,905 · -10.7%
By 2050
15,771 · -16.7%
By 2075
14,097 · -25.6%
By 2100
12,572 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.9% · R 75.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -52.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.7 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.32%
Current HPI
325.0751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+217.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-09-27 Listed $22,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $138 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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