416335 Lagoon Dr · Texanna, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lake Views, Easy Living, and Endless Possibilities If you've been dreaming of an affordable way to enjoy lake life, this charming two-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath mobile home may be exactly what you've been looking for. Situated on a large lot with stunning views of Lake Eufaula, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor enjoyment. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, you'll appreciate the peaceful setting and easy access to the lake. Located less than a mile from lake access, you'll be just minutes from boating, fishing, swimming, and all the recreation that makes Lake Eufaula such a popular desti
Key facts
- Easy access to lake
- Ample storage space
- Covered parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Carport
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; South facing; Handicap accessible; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Built with wood frame and aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage structure; Chain link fencing; Mature trees on lot; Stream/creek on property; Spring on property; Less than 1 mile to Eufaula Lake
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bath and walk-in closet (first level); Additional bedroom without bath (first level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Master bath with shower (first level); Hall bath (first level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Propane heating; Two cooling units
- Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Accessible approach with ramp; Laminate counters; Gas range and gas oven connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-194/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $57k (4.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.6% in Texanna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.36%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,032
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108474 Starboard Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 896 (-3%) | 22mo | $106,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 108643 Bounty Rd | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-3%) | 11mo | $69,000 | $77 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $31,829
- Equity at exit
- $53,963
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.67×
- Total profit
- $95,016
- Equity at exit
- $116,373
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74426
- Home prices YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $963 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $138/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $-16
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $59,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $138 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$401/yr (+$33/mo · 290.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,558
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$138
- − Insurance
- −$5,418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$925
- − Management
- −$925
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable loss
- −$945
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $32/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Checotah
- NCES district ID
- 4007350
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,331
- Composite
- 24.73/100
- National rank
- #7607
- State rank
- #72 of 270 in OK
Livability — Texanna
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #13083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,482
Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,935 people
- By 2030
- 18,272 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 16,905 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 15,771 · -16.7%
- By 2075
- 14,097 · -25.6%
- By 2100
- 12,572 · -33.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.9% · R 75.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -52.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.7 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.32%
- Current HPI
- 325.0751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+217.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-09-27 Listed $22,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $138 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…