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201 Natchez Trce
D- Composite 39.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$178,000

201 Natchez Trce · Sandy Springs, GA 30350
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,126 sqft · Condo public records · 121 Days on market
Built 1982 $158/sqft · 13% below area Est $204k · 13% under $470/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and full of potential, this 2 bedroom / 1 bathroom first-floor condo in desirable Dunwoody Lakes offers comfort, convenience, and a fantastic location. Easy, step-less access inside and out! Enter to the cozy family room that flows seamlessly into the open concept dining area, creating an inviting space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features abundant counter and cabinet space along with a convenient breakfast bar for casual meals. Just off the family room, the bright sunroom is surrounded by windows and provides access to the covered patio-ideal for relaxing year-round. Both bedrooms are generously sized and include walk-in closets, while the shared full hall bathroom offers a shower/tub combo. A separate laundry room adds everyday convenience. Enjoy plenty of parking in both the front and back of the building, along with community amenities including a sparkling pool and tennis courts. Ideally located with easy access to the Chattahoochee River parks, the heart of Sandy Springs and Dunwoody, plentiful shopping and dining, and GA-400.

Key facts

  • First-floor condo
  • Covered patio
  • Bright sunroom

Tags

FIRST-FLOOR CONDOEASY STEP-LESS ACCESSOPEN CONCEPT DINING AREABREAKFAST BARBRIGHT SUNROOMCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $178k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-252 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (25.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (7.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.7% in Sandy Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#45 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $178k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,426 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.08%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,741
List price
$178,000
Delta
-12.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.1%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-49,535
Equity at exit
$26,540
10-year hold
IRR
-63.4%
Equity multiple
-0.64×
Total profit
$-81,639
Equity at exit
$15,390

Cash invested: $49,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30350

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,654 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$933
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $978/yr
Insurance
$74
HOA
$470
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$-252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,974
Max offer price $133,426
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,500
Closing costs
$5,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Natchez Trce Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,550 $1.38 16d 1 0.03mi
304 Natchez Trce Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,550 $1.38 43d 1 0.03mi
1302 Natchez Trce Unit 1302 Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,800 $1.60 3d 1 0.04mi
1309 Natchez Trce Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,550 $1.38 43d 1 0.04mi
1302 Natchez Trce Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1126 $1,800 $1.60 4d 1 0.04mi
205 Gettysburg Pl Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 5d 1 0.12mi
1203 Gettysburg Pl Unit Labs Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,595 $1.45 43d 1 0.12mi
8600 Roberts Dr Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1162 $1,786 $1.54 3d 10 0.24mi
8601 Roberts Dr Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 893 $1,480 $1.66 1d 21 0.29mi
700 Summit Place Dr Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,555 $1.76 1d 20 0.36mi
8802 Long Beach Cir Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1200 $4,000 $3.33 24d 1 0.40mi
100 Highland Park Trl Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1171 $1,993 $1.70 3d 10 0.44mi
8800 Dunwoody Pl Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 972 $1,795 $1.85 1d 42 0.44mi
8805 Dunwoody Pl Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1145 $1,672 $1.46 1d 33 0.54mi
550 Northridge Pkwy Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1074 $2,345 $2.18 1d 42 0.57mi
501 N River Dr Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1218 $1,769 $1.45 2d 29 0.66mi
100 Greyfield Ln Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $1,696 $1.52 5d 32 0.68mi
245 Winding River Dr Unit E Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,350 $2.16 10d 1 0.75mi
245 Winding River Dr Unit E Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,500 $2.29 22d 1 0.75mi
255 Winding River Dr Unit J Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 1090 $1,800 $1.65 5d 1 0.76mi
9200 Roberts Dr Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1085 $1,642 $1.51 1d 12 0.76mi
265 Winding River Dr Unit A Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 1090 $1,800 $1.65 43d 1 0.79mi
275 Winding River Dr Unit C Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1408 $2,100 $1.49 5d 1 0.80mi
330 Winding River Dr Unit C Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1392 $2,150 $1.54 43d 1 0.84mi
303 River Run Dr Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 858 $1,399 $1.63 43d 1 0.85mi
335 Winding River Dr Unit H Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1408 $1,600 $1.14 43d 1 0.89mi
9400 Roberts Dr Unit 3D Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 20d 1 0.93mi
9400 Roberts Dr Sandy Springs, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 19d 2 0.93mi
9400 Roberts Dr Sandy Springs, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 24d 2 0.93mi
590 Northridge Crossing Dr Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1250 $1,595 $1.28 43d 1 1.00mi
1800 Windridge Dr Sandy Springs, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 896 $1,400 $1.56 2d 16 1.07mi
1500 Huntcliff Village Ct Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $2,010 $1.95 1d 25 1.07mi
8350 Roswell Rd Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,569 $1.65 1d 41 1.08mi
1003 Wedgewood Way Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1160 $2,000 $1.72 43d 1 1.14mi
536 Granite Ridge Pl Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1252 $1,875 $1.50 43d 1 1.15mi
1306 Wedgewood Ct Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1088 $2,200 $2.02 5d 1 1.21mi
2907 Queen Anne Ct Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1160 $2,000 $1.72 5d 1 1.26mi
100 Chattahoochee Cir Roswell, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1333 $1,300 $0.98 12d 5 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$470 · $5,640/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $178,000 Active 121 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $178,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $178,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $178,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $178,000 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $178,000 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $178,000 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $178,000 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $178,000 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $178,000 Active 106 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $178,000 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $178,000 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-03-13
    price $188,000 1087-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1093 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this 2 bedroom / 1 bathroom first-floor condo in desirable Dunwoody Lakes offers comfort, convenience, and a fantastic location. Easy, step-less access inside and out! Enter to the cozy family room that flows seamlessly into the open concept dining area, creating an inviting space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features abundant counter and cabinet space along with a convenient breakfast bar for casual meals. Just off the family room, the bright sunroom is surrounded by windows and provides access to the covered patio—ideal for relaxing year-round. Both bedrooms are generously sized and include walk-in closets, while the shared full hall bathroom offers a shower/tub combo. A separate laundry room adds everyday convenience. Enjoy plenty of parking in both the front and back of the building, along with community amenities including a sparkling pool and tennis courts. Ideally located with easy access to the Chattahoochee River parks, the heart of Sandy Springs and Dunwoody, plentiful shopping and dining, and GA-400.

  14. 2026-03-13
    price $188,000 1093-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1093 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this 2 bedroom / 1 bathroom first-floor condo in desirable Dunwoody Lakes offers comfort, convenience, and a fantastic location. Easy, step-less access inside and out! Enter to the cozy family room that flows seamlessly into the open concept dining area, creating an inviting space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features abundant counter and cabinet space along with a convenient breakfast bar for casual meals. Just off the family room, the bright sunroom is surrounded by windows and provides access to the covered patio—ideal for relaxing year-round. Both bedrooms are generously sized and include walk-in closets, while the shared full hall bathroom offers a shower/tub combo. A separate laundry room adds everyday convenience. Enjoy plenty of parking in both the front and back of the building, along with community amenities including a sparkling pool and tennis courts. Ideally located with easy access to the Chattahoochee River parks, the heart of Sandy Springs and Dunwoody, plentiful shopping and dining, and GA-400.

  15. 2026-02-17
    listed $200,000 New 1087-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1093 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this 2 bedroom / 1 bathroom first-floor condo in desirable Dunwoody Lakes offers comfort, convenience, and a fantastic location. Easy, step-less access inside and out! Enter to the cozy family room that flows seamlessly into the open concept dining area, creating an inviting space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features abundant counter and cabinet space along with a convenient breakfast bar for casual meals. Just off the family room, the bright sunroom is surrounded by windows and provides access to the covered patio—ideal for relaxing year-round. Both bedrooms are generously sized and include walk-in closets, while the shared full hall bathroom offers a shower/tub combo. A separate laundry room adds everyday convenience. Enjoy plenty of parking in both the front and back of the building, along with community amenities including a sparkling pool and tennis courts. Ideally located with easy access to the Chattahoochee River parks, the heart of Sandy Springs and Dunwoody, plentiful shopping and dining, and GA-400.

  16. 2026-02-17
    listed $200,000 Active 1093-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1093 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this 2 bedroom / 1 bathroom first-floor condo in desirable Dunwoody Lakes offers comfort, convenience, and a fantastic location. Easy, step-less access inside and out! Enter to the cozy family room that flows seamlessly into the open concept dining area, creating an inviting space perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features abundant counter and cabinet space along with a convenient breakfast bar for casual meals. Just off the family room, the bright sunroom is surrounded by windows and provides access to the covered patio—ideal for relaxing year-round. Both bedrooms are generously sized and include walk-in closets, while the shared full hall bathroom offers a shower/tub combo. A separate laundry room adds everyday convenience. Enjoy plenty of parking in both the front and back of the building, along with community amenities including a sparkling pool and tennis courts. Ideally located with easy access to the Chattahoochee River parks, the heart of Sandy Springs and Dunwoody, plentiful shopping and dining, and GA-400.

  17. 2005-07-11
    soldstatus $89,900
  18. 2005-07-11
    soldstatus $89,900
  19. 1982-07-01
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$978 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,638 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$660/yr (+$55/mo · 67.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,850
− Mortgage interest
−$9,971
− Property taxes
−$978
− Insurance
−$890
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,588
− Management
−$1,588
− HOA
−$5,640
− Depreciation
−$5,178
Taxable loss
−$5,983
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,436
After-tax cash flow
$-1,592/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sandy Springs

Score
73/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#5106

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sandy Springs, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
108,027
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
35,170
Household income
$88,118
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
2081.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Estonian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.74%
Current HPI
215.186
Rent YoY
▼ -0.26%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+276.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $188,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $188,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $200,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
  • 2005-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 2005-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 1982-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $978 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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