2693 Richie St · Ore City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look at this large custom home located 15 minutes outside of Longview. Located on a 1/2 acre lot in a mature neighborhood. This home offers high ceilings in the main living areas, a formal living room as well as a den located off the kitchen that would make a great game room or place for entertaining. There is also a dedicated sewing room that could make an ideal place to work from home. On the other end of the house you step up to find 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Out back you have a screened in porch that overlooks your spacious backyard. There is also a small outbuilding that would make for great storage, workspace or maybe a small cottage. This home is well taken care of and with minor updates it could make a great forever home! Come out and take a look to see what all this home has to offer.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- 1/2 acre lot
- Custom home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-475 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (36.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (35.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (36.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#568 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- New Diana ISD (rural): math 49% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #122 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Upshur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Upshur County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.86%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $331,929
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -30.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,677
- Equity at exit
- $102,146
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $30,894
- Equity at exit
- $156,472
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75640
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$344 /mo · $4,129/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $-475
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-28price $229,900 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
Take a look at this large custom home located 15 minutes outside of Longview. Located on a 1/2 acre lot in a mature neighborhood. This home offers high ceilings in the main living areas, a formal living room as well as a den located off the kitchen that would make a great game room or place for entertaining. There is also a dedicated sewing room that could make an ideal place to work from home. On the other end of the house you step up to find 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Out back you have a screened in porch that overlooks your spacious backyard. There is also a small outbuilding that would make for great storage, workspace or maybe a small cottage. This home is well taken care of and with minor updates it could make a great forever home! Come out and take a look to see what all this home has to offer.
-
2026-03-28price $229,900 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
Take a look at this large custom home located 15 minutes outside of Longview. Located on a 1/2 acre lot in a mature neighborhood. This home offers high ceilings in the main living areas, a formal living room as well as a den located off the kitchen that would make a great game room or place for entertaining. There is also a dedicated sewing room that could make an ideal place to work from home. On the other end of the house you step up to find 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Out back you have a screened in porch that overlooks your spacious backyard. There is also a small outbuilding that would make for great storage, workspace or maybe a small cottage. This home is well taken care of and with minor updates it could make a great forever home! Come out and take a look to see what all this home has to offer.
-
2026-02-06$259,900 Active 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
Take a look at this large custom home located 15 minutes outside of Longview. Located on a 1/2 acre lot in a mature neighborhood. This home offers high ceilings in the main living areas, a formal living room as well as a den located off the kitchen that would make a great game room or place for entertaining. There is also a dedicated sewing room that could make an ideal place to work from home. On the other end of the house you step up to find 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Out back you have a screened in porch that overlooks your spacious backyard. There is also a small outbuilding that would make for great storage, workspace or maybe a small cottage. This home is well taken care of and with minor updates it could make a great forever home! Come out and take a look to see what all this home has to offer.
-
2026-02-06$259,900 Active 813-char remark
Show marketing remark (813 chars)
Take a look at this large custom home located 15 minutes outside of Longview. Located on a 1/2 acre lot in a mature neighborhood. This home offers high ceilings in the main living areas, a formal living room as well as a den located off the kitchen that would make a great game room or place for entertaining. There is also a dedicated sewing room that could make an ideal place to work from home. On the other end of the house you step up to find 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Out back you have a screened in porch that overlooks your spacious backyard. There is also a small outbuilding that would make for great storage, workspace or maybe a small cottage. This home is well taken care of and with minor updates it could make a great forever home! Come out and take a look to see what all this home has to offer.
-
2025-06-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,129 · $344/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,207 · $351/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$7/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$4,129
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$9,914
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,379
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,325/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Diana ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832460
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,111
- Composite
- 45.95/100
- National rank
- #2540
- State rank
- #122 of 826 in TX
Livability — Ore City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #568
- US rank
- #10857
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,338
Population outlook (Upshur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,771 people
- By 2030
- 43,788 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 45,574 · +6.6%
- By 2050
- 46,683 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 49,137 · +14.9%
- By 2100
- 47,457 · +11.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Upshur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.0) · D 14.2% · R 85.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.0pp · 2024: -71.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.0 2020: R+68.5 2016: R+68.0 2012: R+59.8 2008: R+49.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Current HPI
- 182.461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-11.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $229,900 LAAR
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $229,900 GTAR
- 2026-02-06 Listed $259,900 GTAR
- 2026-02-06 Listed $259,900 LAAR
- 2025-06-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,129 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…