506 Woodard Ave · Cleburne, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WOW, This older country charm 3Br. 1Ba. home setting on a super large beautiful corner lot with peacan trees thru out. Enclosed porch, large bedrooms, high ceilings and a little TLC this would make great place to live. Detached garage has a apartment that could be use for rental.
Key facts
- 0.57 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Public records list lot size as about 0.57 acre; No dock or horse permitted
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Second mortgage: No
- HOA & community: No association; Listed as a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (covered, 1 space)
- Security: Security features: Unknown
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Accessory unit present (approx. 1,200 sq ft); Property is not attached
- Construction: Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1960
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Large grass backyard; Back yard fencing (chain link); Wrap-around enclosed porch/patio; Guest house; Workshop with electric
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Primary bathroom with separate shower
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; One living area; One dining area; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-151 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (11.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (25.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.6% in Cleburne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cleburne ISD (town): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #537 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cooke El (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 630 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 56% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 660 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.87%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $309,103
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -27.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 W Wilson St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 3,176 (-7%) | 23mo | $345,000 | $109 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-50,985
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -30.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-75,785
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76033
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 660
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,670 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,355/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $-151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-18price $225,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$250,000 Active 553-char remark
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2011-12-08soldstatus
-
2011-12-05soldstatus Closed 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
WOW, This older country charm 3Br. 1Ba. home setting on a super large beautiful corner lot with peacan trees thru out. Enclosed porch, large bedrooms, high ceilings and a little TLC this would make great place to live. Detached garage has a apartment that could be use for rental.
-
2011-11-12status Pending 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
WOW, This older country charm 3Br. 1Ba. home setting on a super large beautiful corner lot with peacan trees thru out. Enclosed porch, large bedrooms, high ceilings and a little TLC this would make great place to live. Detached garage has a apartment that could be use for rental.
-
2011-08-22price $40,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
WOW, This older country charm 3Br. 1Ba. home setting on a super large beautiful corner lot with peacan trees thru out. Enclosed porch, large bedrooms, high ceilings and a little TLC this would make great place to live. Detached garage has a apartment that could be use for rental.
-
2011-06-28$47,500 Active 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
WOW, This older country charm 3Br. 1Ba. home setting on a super large beautiful corner lot with peacan trees thru out. Enclosed porch, large bedrooms, high ceilings and a little TLC this would make great place to live. Detached garage has a apartment that could be use for rental.
-
2011-06-18historical
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2011-05-09price $59,000
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2011-02-08price $68,000
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2010-12-15$74,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,355 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,118 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,762/yr (+$147/mo · 74.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,038
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,355
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,603
- − Management
- −$1,603
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$5,798
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,391
- After-tax cash flow
- $-418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleburne ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814310
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,788
- Composite
- 29.0/100
- National rank
- #6618
- State rank
- #537 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleburne
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #9292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleburne, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- City population
- 29,538
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,538
- Household income
- $76,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 927.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.75%
- Current HPI
- 246.0029
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+237.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
- 2011-12-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-12-05 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2011-11-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2011-08-22 Price Changed $40,000 NTREIS
- 2011-06-28 Listed $47,500 NTREIS
- 2011-06-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2011-05-09 Price Changed $59,000 NTREIS
- 2011-02-08 Price Changed $68,000 NTREIS
- 2010-12-15 Listed $74,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,355 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…